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The Evening CSIS: Yellen Effect, Oh Brother, Love and Happiness
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .


** The Yellen Effect
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Chair of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen gave her outlook for the US economy in testimony before the Senate Banking Committee today, pointing out that the Fed’s upcoming decisions would depend on the scope and impact of President Trump and Congress’s fiscal plans. The
Financial Times has this summary (https://www.ft.com/content/c41e1c98-f2c4-11e6-95ee-f14e55513608?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .


** Oh Brother
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South Korean news outlets are reporting that Kim Jong-nam, the half-brother of North Korean leader King Jong-un and the eldest son of Kim Jong-il, has been assassinated in Malaysia. The news comes amid reports of upheaval in North Korea’s leadership ranks. The
New York Times has this report (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/14/world/asia/kim-jong-un-brother-killed-malaysia.html?_r=0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .


** The 2%
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A new report by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) claimed that UK defense spending had fallen to 1.98% in 2016, missing the NATO target of spending 2% of national income on defense. The BBC has the story (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-38969697?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Read the IISS report in full here (https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/military?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789 balance/issues/the-military-balance-2017-b47b) .


**
Fighting Increases
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Clashes between extremist groups in Syria are increasing ahead of UN-brokered peace talks, with the last two days of fighting leaving 69 fighters dead according to a monitoring group. The AP (http://www.startribune.com/syrian-state-media-says-talks-should-focus-on-terrorism/413681643/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) has more on the groups involved.

Dive Deeper: Melissa Dalton, senior fellow and deputy director of the CSIS International Security Program, testified today before the House Foreign Affair Committee on “Defeating Terrorism in Syria: A New Way Forward.” Read the full testimony here (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/congressional_testimony/170214_Dalton_testimony_syria.pdf?FbHExZIVDeIUNwCRIpKpr6gTZnO9c.ak&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** 600
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The number of people Turkish police have detained for alleged links to Kurdish militants over the past two days. Source: Reuters (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-security-kurds-idUSKBN15T0HF?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “Russia’s intervention to save the Assad regime and its alliance with Iran and Hezbollah have eroded Israel’s deterrence by raising the costs of military action. It is one of the most significant strategic shifts facing Israel in nearly two decades.”
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—CSIS’s Haim Malka authored a piece in Defense One today: “When Netanyahu and Trump Meet, Russia Should Top the Agenda (http://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2017/02/russia-should-top-agenda-when-trump-netanyahu-meet/135415/?oref=d-river&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .”


** iDeas Lab
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CSIS’s Missile Defense Project has visualized North Korea’s ballistic missile capabilities (https://missilethreat.csis.org/country/dprk/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, audio, and video.


** Optics
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(Army National Guard photo by Sgt. Heidi Kroll.)
The Vermont National Guard’s 572nd Engineer Battalion hoists a log before building a log crib at Camp Ethan Allen Training Site in Jericho, Vermont. Setting up a series of log cribs slows down vehicles along roads in remote locations.


** Recommended Reading
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Today’s column by the
Wall Street Journal’s Jerry Seib, “After Mike Flynn, Donald Trump’s White House Is at a Crossroads (https://www.wsj.com/articles/after-mike-flynn-donald-trumps-white-house-is-at-a-crossroads-1487091180?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .”


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS’s Project on Prosperity and Development at 10:00 a.m. for “Saving for Development in Latin America and the Caribbean (https://www.csis.org/events/saving-development-latin-america-and-caribbean?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) ” and at 1:30 p.m. for “P20: Ending Extreme Poverty (https://www.csis.org/events/p20-ending-extreme-poverty?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .”

Join the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace at 2:00 p.m. for a report rollout of Uncommon Alliance for the Common Good: The United States and Japan After the Cold War (http://carnegieendowment.org/2017/02/15/continuing-evolution-of-post-cold-war-u.s.-japan-alliance-event-5505?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .

And join John’s Hopkins SAIS at 3 p.m. for a discussion on South Korea’s foreign policy (http://www.sais-jhu.edu/events-calendar?trumbaEmbed=date%3D20170215&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789#/?i=1) with Professor KIM Ki Jung, policy adviser to Mr. MOON Jae-in, a leading candidate in the next presidential election in South Korea.


** CSIS On Demand
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CSIS’s Russia and Eurasia Program hosted “Russian National Identity and Foreign Policy (https://www.csis.org/events/russian-national-identity-and-foreign-policy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) ” in December, which explored the driving forces behind Russia’s more assertive foreign policy.


** Sounds
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The latest from CSIS’s Energy and Geopolitics podcast explores recent offshore natural gas finds in East Africa (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/energy-and-geopolitics-episode-2-east-african-lng?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) , and what it might mean for domestic power generation and liquefied natural gas exports.


** Smiles
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Today is such a great day to smile and send smiles out to others. Musically, so many artists come to mind on Valentine’s Day—let’s take Al Green.

I came across this extraordinary clip of Green’s “Love and Happiness (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ig7yLiOVpy0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a6a89ca0de-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_14&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a6a89ca0de-145367789) .” I hope you all enjoy it as much as I do, Happy Valentine’s Day.


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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