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The Evening CSIS: Removed, Deployed, More Than a Feeling and More
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .


** Removed
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Iran removed a powerful missile from a launch pad east of Tehran within the past few days, Fox News’ Lucas Tomlinson and Jennifer Griffin report (http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/02/07/exclusive-iran-pulls-missile-from-launch-pad-after-apparent-prep-for-launch-u-s-officials-say.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) today in an exclusive. New satellite imagery from February 3, obtained by Fox News from ImageSat International and verified by US officials, showed Iran preparing a Safir for launch. That missile is the type Iran has previously used to put a satellite into space.

Meanwhile, as the New York Times’ Thomas Erdbrink reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/07/world/middleeast/trump-iran-ayatollah-ali-khamenei.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) , Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in caustic comments to Iranian air force commanders, thanked President Trump for revealing “the real face” of the United States.

Dive Deeper: The Washington Institute’s Farzin Nadimi has a new commentary: “Iran’s Latest Missile Test: Scenarios and Implications for the New Administration (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/irans-latest-missile-test-scenarios-and-implications-for-the-new-administra?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .”

And, CSIS’s Missile Defense Project has an interactive micro-website, “Missile Threat (https://missilethreat.csis.org/country/iran/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) ,” for analysis of Iran’s missile arsenal.


** Slaughterhouse
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Syrian authorities have killed at least 13,000 people since the start of the 2011 uprising in mass hangings at a prison north of Damascus known to detainees as “the slaughterhouse,” Amnesty International said in a report released today, as CBS News reports (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/at-least-13000-hanged-in-syrian-prison-since-2011-report-says/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: The full Amnesty International report: Human Slaughterhouse: Mass Hangings and Extermination at Saydnaya Prison, Syria (https://www.amnesty.org/en/documents/mde24/5415/2017/en/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .


** NATO Troops Deploy
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Germany and NATO today underscored their commitment to beefing up the defense of Eastern Europe’s border with Russia as the first of four new battalions under the North Atlantic alliance’s banner arrived in Lithuania. In moves agreed last year under former US president Barack Obama, NATO is expanding its presence in the region to levels unprecedented since the Cold War, prompted by Russia’s annexation of Crimea and accusations—denied by Moscow—that it is supporting a separatist conflict in eastern Ukraine, as Reuters reports (http://www.nasdaq.com/article/update-1nato-troops-deploy-in-lithuania-underscoring-commitment-to-defence-20170207-01091?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789#ixzz4Y2ZhrB4O) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman today released a new report: NATO and the Delicate Balance of Deterrence: Strategy versus Burden Sharing (https://www.csis.org/analysis/nato-and-delicate-balance-deterrence-strategy-versus-burden-sharing?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** 30,000
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The number of people who have returned to Mosul since Iraqi forces began an operation to retake the city in October. Source: AP (https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2017/02/07/world/middleeast/ap-ml-iraq.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “Mr. Chairman, I estimate that it is highly likely that the North will carry out another intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) test or nuclear test early in the Trump administration. The purpose would be to demonstrate advancements in their technology and to assert a position of strength that would put the President on his back heels.”
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—CSIS’s Victor Cha testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee today on "Countering the North Korean Threat: New Steps in U.S. Policy." You can read a transcript of his testimony here (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/congressional_testimony/ts170207_victor_Cha_testimony_korea.pdf?r7FvI3JKotcvocJ3c_rNTVlElSTfeOBL&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) or watch a video of it on demand here (https://www.csis.org/analysis/countering-north-korean-threat-new-steps-us-policy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video. See the CSIS Missile Defense Project’s visualization of Iran’s missile arsenal (https://missilethreat.csis.org/country/iran/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .


** Optics
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(Photo Credit: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.)
White House press secretary Sean Spicer takes questions from reporters during the daily press briefing at the White House today.


** Recommended Reading
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Via Fox News, “Federal workers turn to secret messaging to oppose Trump policies, nominees (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/02/06/federal-workers-turn-to-secret-messaging-to-oppose-trump-policies-nominees.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .”


** CSIS Today
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CSIS’s Global Food Security Project hosted the report launch of Recurring Storms: Food Insecurity, Political Instability, and Conflict (https://www.csis.org/events/recurring-storms-food-insecurity-political-instability-and-conflict-report-launch?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .

And CSIS’s Human Rights Initiative hosted “Financial Access for Nonprofit Organizations: An Evidence Base for Policy Action (https://www.csis.org/events/financial-access-nonprofit-organizations-evidence-base-policy-action?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .”


**
CSIS Tomorrow
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Join CSIS’s Technology Policy Program at 2:00 p.m. for “The Effect of Encryption on Lawful Access to Communications and Data (https://www.csis.org/events/effect-encryption-lawful-access-communications-and-data/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .”


**
This Town Tomorrow
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Join the Hudson Institute at 12:00 p.m. for “America’s Allies in the New Administration: Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States (https://www.eventbrite.com/e/americas-allies-in-the-new-administration-saudi-arabia-and-the-gulf-states-registration-31765928748?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .”

Join the Stimson Center at 2:00 p.m. for “Risks & Rewards: Examining Trump’s New Approach to Asia (https://www.stimson.org/content/risks-rewards-examining-trump%E2%80%99s-new-approach-asia?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .”

And, YPFP is hosting “President Trump’s East Asian Foreign Policy Options (http://www.ypfp.org/president_trump_s_east_asian_foreign_policy_options?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) ” with CSIS’s Zack Cooper at 6:30 p.m.


** CSIS On Demand
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CSIS’s Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) hosted “The Future of Alliances and Extended Nuclear Deterrence (https://www.csis.org/events/future-alliances-and-extended-nuclear-deterrence?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) ” last week, which featured a panel on “Nuclear Deterrence and the NATO Alliance: Risks of Conflict and Prospects for Cooperation” and another on “Nuclear Deterrence and the Asia-Pacific Alliances: Sustaining the U.S. Nuclear Umbrella in the Face of Rising Challenges.”


** Sounds
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Politico launched “The Global Politico (http://www.politico.com/global-politico?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) ” yesterday, a new podcast and column hosted by Susan Glasser, founding editor of POLITICO Magazine. The podcast’s first guest is former secretary of state Jim Baker. You can subscribe on iTunes here (https://itun.es/i67V7hc?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .


** Smiles
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I do take requests, and one came in for a Boston encore—“More Than a Feeling (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4QK8RxCAwo&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=84426c2601-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_07&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-84426c2601-145367789) .”


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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