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The Evening CSIS: Close Call, Iran Celebrates, and More Maceo
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .


** All Good
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President Trump today sought to improve relations with China by promising to honor the “One China” agreement between the world’s two biggest economies on his first phone call as president with Chinese president Xi Jinping, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Te-Ping Chen reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/beijings-patience-pays-off-with-trumps-reaffirmation-of-one-china-policy-1486737397?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See “What is the U.S. ‘One China’ Policy, and Why Does it Matter? (https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-us-one-china-policy-and-why-does-it-matter?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Bonnie Glaser and Mike Green.


** Close Call
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Two military aircraft from China and the US had an “unsafe” encounter over a disputed part of the South China Sea, the US Pacific Fleet said today, the first publicly confirmed incident since May last year, as Bloomberg’s David Tweed reports (https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-02-10/china-u-s-warplanes-had-unsafe-encounter-in-south-china-sea?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Visit the CSIS Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative’s (https://amti.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) interactive website for satellite imagery, mapping, and top analysis of developments in the South China Sea.


** Iran Celebrates
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Iran marked its national holiday today with nationwide rallies but far less of the usual vitriol for the United States, in what seemed a move calculated to avoid further inciting President Trump. Many observers had expected Iranian leaders to take aim at the new US president during rallies celebrating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, as the
New York Times’ Thomas Erdbrink reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/world/middleeast/iran-revolution-anniversary.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) from Tehran.

Dive Deeper: The Washington Institute’s Mehdi Khalaji has a new policy analysis: “The Future of Leadership in the Shiite Community (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/the-future-of-leadership-in-the-shiite-community?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .”


** In That Number
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** 83
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The Russian’s have ordered 83 times as many railcars for Zapad-2017 (a Russia-Belarus joint military exercise) than the amount they ordered for Zapad-2013—an exercise that involved 10,000-20,000 troops. Source: CBS News, quoting Gen. Philip Breedlove, fmr. NATO Supreme Allied Commander (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/putin-100k-russian-troops-belarus-zapad-drill-baltic-nato-allies-phillip-breedlove/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “I think the entire region will heave a sigh of relief here. One hopes that what this understanding has achieved is to enable the US and China to head off a major crisis.”
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—CSIS’s Bonnie Glaser on the President Trump’s decision to honor the ‘One China’ policy. Source: Guardian (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/feb/10/donald-trump-agrees-support-one-china-policy-phone-call-xi-jinping?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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While China’s expansion of its seven outposts in the Spratly Islands has dominated headlines since large-scale dredging began at the end of 2013, efforts to upgrade its capabilities in the Paracels farther north have received relatively little attention—until now (https://amti.csis.org/paracels-beijings-other-buildup/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** One to Watch
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Denise E. Zheng has been promoted (https://www.csis.org/news/denise-e-zheng-promoted-director-csis-technology-policy-program?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) to director of the CSIS Technology Policy Program. Prior to joining CSIS in 2014, Denise served as chief of staff and lead science and engineering technical adviser for the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) foundational cyber warfare program, Plan X.


** Recommended Reading
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“Taboo Italian Thinker Is Enigma to Many, but Not to Bannon (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/world/europe/bannon-vatican-julius-evola-fascism.html?smid=tw-nytimesworld&smtyp=cur&_r=0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) ,” via the
New York Times’ Jason Horowitz.


** This Town Monday
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CSIS’s Matt Goodman will join CFR for “President’s Inbox: U.S.-China Relations (http://www.cfr.org/china/presidents-inbox-us-china-relations/p38808?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) ” at 12:30 p.m. You can watch the event live here.

Join the New America Foundation at 12:15 p.m. for “Afghanistan: Prospects for 2017 and Beyond (https://www.newamerica.org/international-security/events/afghanistan-prospects-2017-and-beyond/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .”

And join the US Institute of Peace at 3:00 p.m. for “The Wars of Today and Tomorrow: A Conversation with Ambassador Douglas Lute (http://www.usip.org/events/the-wars-of-today-and-tomorrow?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .”


** CSIS On Demand
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CSIS’s Simon Chair in Political Economy hosted prominent Japanese scholars and businesspeople for recommendations on “Building the U.S.-Japan Economic Relationship in a New Era (https://www.csis.org/events/building-us-japan-economic-relationship-new-era?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) ” in December.


** Sounds
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Today’s new Russian Roulette (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/russian-roulette/id1112258664?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) podcast explores the US role in bolstering European security and prospects for US strategy toward Russia and Europe under the Trump administration.


** Smiles
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I’d like to end the week with a beautiful piece of music. This is Maceo Parker and Roots Revisited performing Marvin Gaye’s standard “Let’s Get it On (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JawQn7gKdJo&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=855602b425-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_10&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-855602b425-145367789) .” I wish everyone a happy weekend full of smiles.


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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