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The Evening CSIS: Meet the New Boss, Channel Cut, Astral Weeks & More
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please send me an email at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)


** Meet the UK’s New Boss…
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British prime minister David Cameron is to resign Wednesday, paving the way for Home Secretary Theresa May to take the reins after rival Andrea Leadsom abruptly terminated her leadership campaign, as the
Wall Street Journal reports (http://www.wsj.com/articles/low-profile-theresa-may-takes-spotlight-1468248393) .

The Guardian explains how “it all went wrong for Andrea Leadsom’s leadership bid (http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/11/how-it-all-went-wrong-for-andrea-leadsoms-leadership-bid) .”

Dive Deeper: Home Secretary May spoke at CSIS in mid-February on counterterrorism policy (https://www.csis.org/events/statesmens-forum-right-honourable-theresa-may-mp-home-secretary-united-kingdom) .


** South China Sea Decision
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A panel of five judges at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague will announce on Tuesday their ruling in a case brought by the Philippines against China over its actions in the South China Sea. But as the
Los Angeles Times reports (http://www.latimes.com/world/asia/la-fg-china-tribunal-20160711-snap-story.html) , no matter how the decision is rendered, it won’t end the fight in the South China Sea.

Reuters has this excellent “Factbox (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-ruling-factbox-idUSKCN0ZR283) ” on why the legal case matters.

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Mike Green, Amy Searight, Andrew Shearer, Greg Polling, and Ernest Bower recently held a briefing at CSIS: “The South China Sea Arbitration: Anticipating the Next Moves and Countermoves.” The event transcript is available here (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/event/160620_SChina_Sea_Arbitration.pdf) .

And, CSIS’s Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI) has a new interactive “Arbitration Support Tracker (http://amti.csis.org/arbitration-support-tracker/) .”


** North Korea Closes Channel
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North Korea said today that it had cut off its only official channel of diplomatic communications with the US in retaliation for Washington’s sanctions against its leader, Kim Jong-un, over human rights abuses, as
Foreign Policy’s John Hudson reports (http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/07/11/north-korea-just-cut-its-last-diplomatic-channel-to-the-u-s/) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Korea Chair recently launched “Beyond Parallel (http://beyondparallel.csis.org/dprk-provocations/) ,” a CSIS iDeas Lab micro website designed to deliver greater clarity and understanding to policymakers, strategists, and opinion leaders about Korean unification. In “Beyond Parallel,” CSIS’s Victor Cha underscores a particular risk of having no direct channel open ahead of the annual US-South Korea exercises in August, which focus on defending South Korea from a North Korean attack and typically prompt provocations from both sides.


** In That Number
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** 560
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President Obama will deploy 560 more troops to Iraq to help retake Mosul, the largest city controlled by the Islamic State, Defense Secretary Ashton B. Carter announced today. Source: New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/12/world/middleeast/us-iraq-mosul.html?smid=tw-share) .


** Critical Quote
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** “Simply put, US national security needs and challenges in the American Arctic far surpass existing Coast Guard implementation capabilities and the value added of acquiring one heavy icebreaker.”
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—CSIS’s Heather Conley testified before the House Subcommittee on Coast Guard and Maritime Transportation today on the Coast Guard’s Arctic implementation capabilities. Source: CSIS (https://www.csis.org/analysis/coast-guard-arctic-implementation-capabilities) .


** One to Watch
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Theresa May is poised to become Great Britain’s next prime minister, as the Guardian reports (http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/11/cameron-announces-he-will-step-down-after-pmqs-on-wednesday) . Then–Home Secretary May delivered an address at CSIS in February on counterterrorism policy. Watch it On Demand here (https://www.csis.org/events/statesmens-forum-right-honourable-theresa-may-mp-home-secretary-united-kingdom) .


** Optics
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(Photo Credit: Jack Taylor/Getty Images.)

UK prime minister David Cameron today in London announcing he will stand aside, after Andrea Leadsom’s decision to pull out of the Conservative leadership contest now leaves Home Secretary Theresa May as the sole contender for the position of prime minister.


** Highly Recommended
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“House GOP to tackle new Iran sanctions before leaving town (https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/house-gop-to-tackle-new-iran-sanctions-before-leaving-town/2016/07/11/e2cb620c-4790-11e6-90a8-fb84201e0645_story.html) ,” by Josh Rogin of the
Washington Post.


** CSIS Today
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CSIS’s Project on Prosperity and Development and Americas Program cohosted “US-Mexico Agricultural Trade Relations (https://www.csis.org/events/us-mexico-agricultural-trade-relations) .”


**
CSIS Tomorrow
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Tomorrow, CSIS’s Southeast Asia Program and Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative will cohost the “Sixth Annual CSIS South China Sea Conference (https://www.csis.org/events/sixth-annual-csis-south-china-sea-conference) ” at 9: 00 a.m. following the tribunal decision on China’s territorial claims to the South China Sea.


**
This Town Tomorrow
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Join the George Marshall Fund tomorrow at 9:00 a.m. for “NATO After the Warsaw Summit: A Transatlantic Talk with Congressman Michael Turner (http://www.gmfus.org/events/nato-after-warsaw-summit-transatlantic-talk-congressman-michael-turner) .”

And join the Brookings Institution tomorrow at 5:30 p.m. for “The Citizen-Soldier: The Evolving Role of the Soldier and the State (http://www.brookings.edu/events/2016/07/12-klay-essay) ,” with National Book Award winner and U.S. Marine Corps veteran Phil Klay.


** CSIS On Demand
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Learn more about the THAAD missile defense system and the US's overall missile defense posture by watching “The Future of U.S. Army Missile Defense (https://www.csis.org/events/future-us-army-missile-defense) ," hosted by CSIS’s Missile Defense Project last month.


** Sounds
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In the latest episode of the CSIS Russian Roulette podcast, “The Wines of Georgia (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/russian-roulette) ,” CSIS’s Russia and Eurasia Program explores Georgian culture and samples seven Georgian wines.


** I Like It Like That
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Meet the new “Playbook, (http://www.politico.com/playbook) ” as Mike Allen turns over his must morning read to Anna Palmer, Jake Sherman, and Daniel Lippman after more than nine years.


** Smiles
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I spent the last week in Ireland. To me, outside of New Orleans, Memphis, LA, Detroit, New York, Chicago and a few more great American towns, the most soulful music in the world comes from Dublin, Galway, Clifden and many other places in the Emerald Isles. I’d been waiting for most of my adult life to see it with my own eyes. And my eyes smiled when I did.

Glen Hansard, a Dubliner from Ballymun is best known in the US as the busker who made it big and won an Oscar for his collaboration with Marketa Irglova in the 2007 film “Once.” The duo won “Best Original Song” for a sublime track called “Falling Slowly.” The film has since been turned into a Broadway musical which won eight Tony Awards.

I saw a performance of “Once” last week in Dublin’s historic Olympia Theatre. It was otherworldly.

Hansard is also a solo artist and leader of The Frames, perhaps Dublin’s most famous band not led by Bono.

He began his career busking on the streets of Dublin at 13 years-old. If you’ve never seen Hansard perform solo with just his battered guitar, smile, and watch this rendition of Van Morrison’s “Astral Weeks (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MDG3pWK5CY) .”


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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