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Ralston Reports: Democrats continue to extend registration lead across the board<https://www.ralstonreports.com/blog/democrats-continue-extend-registration-lead-across-board>

by Jon Ralston<https://www.ralstonreports.com/about> Mon, 07/11/2016 - 06:45

Nevada Democrats continue to extend their voter registration advantage, not just statewide but in key political subdivisions, as GOP-aligned groups have been unable to slow the widening gap.

When I last checked more than two months ago<https://www.ralstonreports.com/blog/democrats-double-republicans-voter-reg-last-month-ominous-sign-gop>, the Democrats had a more than 64,000-voter edge in Nevada; it is now just under 70,000 voters. This remains well ahead of the pace in the last two presidential cycles.

I always say that demographics are not destiny -- especially with about a quarter of the electorate not registered with either major party. But the numbers mean something.

Here are the numbers since registration closed for the primary on May 24 and through the end of June, showing just how deep the advantage is across key subdivisions. The Clark County numbers are up more than 1,000 over the numbers below as of this morning --more than 121,000 more Democrats than Republicans registered.


Pre-Primary: 5.1 percent (66,096) statewide advantage
End of June: 5.3 percent (69,761) statewide advantage
Democratic gain of 3,665 statewide

Total: 1,321,912 (+26,290 since May 24)
Dem: 528,589 (+10,465 since May 24)
GOP: 458,828 (+6,800 since May 24)

Clark County - Democratic gain of 4,426
Pre-Primary: 13.0 percent (115,605) advantage
End of June: 13.2 percent (120,031) advantage

Congressional District 3 - Democratic gain of 555
Pre-Primary: 1.3 percent (4,649) advantage
End of June: 1.4 percent (5,204) advantage

Congressional District 4 - Democratic gain of 1,160
Pre-Primary: 10.1 percent (32,739) advantage
End of June: 10.2 percent (33,899) advantage

Senate District 5 - Democratic gain of 93
Pre-Primary: 5.3 percent (3,418) advantage
End of June: 5.3 percent (3,511) advantage

Senate District 6 - Democratic gain of 214
Pre-Primary: 5.8 percent (3,844) advantage
End of June: 5.9 percent (4,058) advantage

Assembly District 5 - Democratic Gain of 92
Pre-Primary: 7.1 percent (2,110) advantage
End of June: 7.2 percent (2,202) advantage

Assembly District 8 - Democratic gain of 189
Pre-Primary: 15.1 percent (3,926) advantage
End of June: 15.4 percent (4,115) advantage

Assembly District 9 - Democratic gain of 127
Pre-Primary: 7.7 percent (2,347) advantage
End of June: 7.9 percent (2,474) advantage

Assembly District 10 - Democratic gain of 226
Pre-Primary: 24.2 percent (5,600) advantage
End of June: 24.5 percent (5,826) advantage

Assembly District 21 - Democratic gain of 53
Pre-Primary: 7.4 percent (2,237) advantage
End of June: 7.5 percent (2,290) advantage

Assembly District 29 - Democratic gain of 40
Pre-Primary: 3.4 percent (1,181) advantage
End of June: 3.5 percent (1,221) advantage

Assembly District 34 - Democratic gain of 159
Pre-Primary: 13.3 percent (4,075) advantage
End of June: 13.5 percent (4,234) advantage

Assembly District 35 - Democratic gain of 80
Pre-Primary: 5.8 percent (1,991) advantage
End of June: 5.9 percent (2,071) advantage

Assembly District 41 - Democratic gain of 172
Pre-Primary: 7.6 percent (2,326) advantage
End of June: 7.9 percent (2,498) advantage

https://www.ralstonreports.com/blog/democrats-continue-extend-registration-lead-across-board

Courtney Collard-Meltzer
The Kauffman Group
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