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The Evening: Defense Bill, Oil Exports, Otis and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, December 12th.


** Defense Bill
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President Trump signed the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) Tuesday afternoon at the White House, approving spending levels for U.S. military efforts. The House and the Senate passed the $700 billion bill for fiscal year 2018 in mid-November, as CBS News reports (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-signs-national-defense-authorization-act-live-stream/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s “Analysis of the FY 2018 Defense Budget (https://www.csis.org/analysis/analysis-fy-2018-defense-budget?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) ,” by Todd Harrison.

Plus, see Brookings’ “Recommendations for future national defense strategy (https://www.brookings.edu/research/recommendations-for-future-national-defense-strategy/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) ,” by Mara Karlin.


** Crimes Against Humanity
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A new report released today by the International Bar Association details gruesome crimes against humanity at North Korean prisons, as
Time reports (http://time.com/5060144/north-korea-political-prisons/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Meanwhile, the US-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins SAIS issued a new report yesterday: “North Korea’s Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site: Tunneling at the West Portal (http://www.38north.org/2017/12/punggye121117/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .”


** Record U.S. Oil and Gas Exports
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The United States is exporting oil and gas at a record pace and is poised to expand even further, as Bloomberg reports (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-12/u-s-fuels-the-world-as-shale-boom-powers-record-oil-exports?cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business&utm_content=business&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the CSIS report by Sarah Ladislaw and Philippe Benoit, Energy and Development: Providing Access and Growth (https://www.csis.org/analysis/energy-and-development?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .


**
Risk of ISIS Comeback
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Iraq’s prime minister is celebrating the collapse of the Islamic State’s self-declared caliphate, but American and Iraqi officials are confronting a gnawing recognition that much more is needed to stabilize newly reclaimed areas and prevent militants from making a comeback, as the Wall Street Journal’s Michael Gordon reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/areas-newly-seized-from-isis-seen-at-risk-of-backsliding-1513098921?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the Institute for the Study of War’s recent analysis, “Iraqi Security Forces and Popular Mobilization Forces: Orders of Battle (http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iraqi-security-forces-and-popular-mobilization-forces-orders-battle?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .”


** In That Number
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** $700 Billion
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President Trump signed a nearly $700 billion annual defense policy bill today. Source: The (http://thehill.com/policy/defense/364457-trump-signs-nearly-700b-defense-policy-bill?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) Hill (http://thehill.com/policy/defense/364457-trump-signs-nearly-700b-defense-policy-bill?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “Ain’t nobody got no finger on the button.”
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— Dennis Rodman on North Korea via USA Today (https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2017/12/12/dennis-rodman-north-korea/943443001/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
China has emerged as one of the world’s largest providers of development finance—from 2000 to 2014, China provided a total of $354 billion in loans, grants, and other resources to countries across the globe. ChinaPower (https://chinapower.csis.org/china-development-finance/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) released a new feature exploring where China is targeting its development finance, and how it compares to other countries.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo credit: MUSA AL SHAER/AFP/Getty Images). A Palestinian protestor throws a rock toward Israeli security forces during clashes at the main entrance of the West Bank town of Bethlehem today.


** Recommended Reading
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“Why we must raise defense spending (https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/why-we-must-raise-defense-spending/2017/12/10/5f5aeb6e-dd2a-11e7-b1a8-62589434a581_story.html?utm_term=.aeabb212cadd&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) ,” by Robert Samuelson for the
Washington Post.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the CSIS Simon Chair at 8:45 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/building-us-trade-enforcement-agenda-works?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) for a conversation with former U.S. trade representative Michael Froman on the problems facing free trade today.

At 9:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/careers-global-development-susan-reichle?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) , join CSIS for this month’s installment of “Careers in Global Development,” featuring Susan Reichle, president and COO of the International Youth Foundation.

Join CSIS at 1:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/ballistic-missile-defense-evolving-threats-and-new-priorities-rear-admiral-jon-hill?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) for a discussion with Rear Admiral Jon A. Hill, deputy director of the Missile Defense Agency, on the evolving threats and new priorities for ballistic missile defense in the maritime domain.

At 1:30 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/cords-50-model-civil-military-collaboration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) , join CSIS for a discussion on the Civil Operations and Revolutionary Development Support (CORDS) program in Vietnam and its ongoing relevance.

And, at 3:30 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/human-face-trade-and-food-security-report-launch?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) , join the CSIS Global Food Security Project the launch of the report The Human Face of Trade: Lessons on the Enabling Environment from Kenya and India.


** Video
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This evening, CSIS hosts the launch (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ky0JiTVs6Vw&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) of Harlan K. Ullman’s new book,
Anatomy of Failure: Why America Loses Every War It Starts.


** Sounds
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In “Countering a North Korean Missile” from the CSIS Podcast, two resident experts on missile defense talk about the implications of the most recent North Korean test and the future of U.S. missile defense.

Listen Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-csis-podcast/id214886950?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789#episodeGuid=https%3A%2F%2Fcsis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fs3fs-public%2Ffield_soundcloud_audio%2F09_29_17_CSIS_Podcast_v02_n129.mp3%3FYuWCwvo20bqXcnB7sBaqUXtkzyMZApjb) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/how-to-counter-a-north-korean?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .


** Smiles
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When talking about some of the most intense performers in music history, it’s a must to mention the great Otis Redding. As one of our great Evening readers pointed out to me the other day, Redding passed away 40 years ago this week. He will never be forgotten because of music and performances like this one (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vUc17A0SNY&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789) .
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=75f357571c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_12_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-75f357571c-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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