EMAIL DETAILS

Amazing how it still comes down to GOTV of those surge voters - something we
heard from the DSCC nine months ago. My hope is that the DNC, DSCC,
Plouffe, etc have been practicing what they preach and have some secret plan
to get enough of these voters out. We should have the money to do it - just
a question of whether we can convince them. This could be like the poor
polling in the Iowa caucuses, where pollsters were using poor turnout
models. One can hope right?

GOP Holds Big Lead Heading Into Final
Months<http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/09/07/gop_holds_big_lead_heading_into_final_months.html>A
new Wall Street Journal/NBC News
poll<http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704206804575468220611099564.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_LEFTTopStories>
finds
American voters split at 43% each on which party they say they will vote for
this fall. But among those most likely to vote, Republicans hold a dramatic
49% to 40% advantage.

Key finding: Only 26% think the economy is going to get better in the next
year, down markedly from 47% a year ago. In addition, 61% think the country
is on the wrong track, up from 48% a year ago.

"One hope for Democrats is this: There are enough pro-Democrat, pro-Obama
voters available to help the party head off disaster -- if they can be
persuaded to show up and vote. In the survey, those who expressed the very
highest levels of interest in this year's election preferred a Republican
Congress by a margin of 53% to 35%. Among all other, less interested voters,
Democrats are preferred by a 20-point margin."
--
Eric D. Schwerin
Rosemont Seneca Partners
(202) 333-1880
eschwerin@rosemontseneca.co