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The Evening: Helsinki Aftermath, Iranian Lawsuit, Midnight Rambler and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, July 17th.


** Helsinki Aftermath
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A day after saying that he didn’t know why Russia would try to interfere in U.S. elections, President Donald Trump reversed course, saying he accepted U.S. intelligence findings that Russia meddled in the 2016 presidential election and that he had misspoke during his news conference with Vladimir Putin, as the
WSJ’s Vivian Salama reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-stands-by-his-positive-read-of-putin-summit-amid-criticism-1531847452?mod=hp_lead_pos1&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Trump on Russia: His Strategy Documents vs. His Meeting with Putin (https://www.csis.org/analysis/trump-russia-his-strategy-documents-vs-his-meeting-putin?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.


** Fed Rates and Trade
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Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell warned today that rising trade tensions could hit growth if they resulted in higher tariffs over the longer term, and said he did not view the EU as a “foe,” in contrast with comments by President Donald Trump, as the
FT’s Kadhim Shubber reports (https://www.ft.com/content/01019918-89ba-11e8-b18d-0181731a0340?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Supply Chains (https://www.csis.org/analysis/supply-chains?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s William Reinsch.

“Trump’s Latest $200 Billion Tariffs on China Threaten a Big Blow to American Consumers (https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/trumps-latest-200-billion-tariffs-china-threaten-big-blow?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) ,” by Peterson’s Chad Bown, Euijin Jung and Zhiyao (Lucy) Lu.


** Iranian Lawsuit
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Iran has filed a lawsuit in the International Court of Justice against the United States alleging that Washington’s decision in May to impose sanctions after pulling out of a nuclear deal violates a 1955 treaty between the two countries, as Reuters Toby Sterling reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-usa-sanctions/iran-files-suit-in-international-court-against-u-s-over-sanctions-idUSKBN1K71WU?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Reimplementing Iran Sanctions: Where, How, and How Much? (https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/reimplementing-iran-sanctions-where-how-and-how-much?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) ” by the Washington Institute’s Katherine Bauer, Daniel Glaser and Suzanne Maloney.


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** $400 billion
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Escalating trade tensions and current protectionist leanings are on track to derail global economic growth and could reduce global output by around 0.5 percent — or about $400 billion — by 2020, according to the International Monetary Fund (https://blogs.imf.org/2018/07/16/the-global-expansion-still-strong-but-less-even-more-fragile-under-threat/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “The sentence should have been ‘I don’t see any reason why it wouldn’t be Russia,’ sort of a double negative.”
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— President Trump


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
CSIS’s Beyond Parallel program has released additional declassified satellite imagery of a North Korean nuclear reactor facility. See the Yongbyon Declassified Part II: Progress on Building IRT-2000 Reactor here (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/yongbyon-declassified-part-ii/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images). President Donald Trump speaks about his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin ahead of a meeting with Republican lawmakers and cabinet members on tax cuts today at the White House.


** Recommended Reading
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“China can bear more trade pain than America (https://www.ft.com/content/bda408a2-88d0-11e8-affd-da9960227309?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) ,” by Weijian Shan for the
FT.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at 10:30 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/digitalization-industrial-sector-implications-energy-technology-and-policy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) for a discussion on the new services and opportunities created for companies and regions as the energy industry continues its trend toward digitalization.

At 12:00 p.m. (https://www.wola.org/events/future-colombias-peace-accord-implementing-peace-afro-colombian-indigenous-communities/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) , the Washington Office on Latin America (WOLA) will host a conversation on the future of Colombia’s peace agreement, with a specific focus on the impact for Afro-Colombian and indigenous peoples.

And at 1:00 p.m. (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/oil-and-iran-how-renewed-sanctions-will-affect-iran-and-world-markets?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) , the Atlantic Council will host a discussion on how the U.S. exit from the Iran nuclear deal will affect Iranian and world oil markets.


** Video
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Today, CSIS hosted a conversation on humanitarian assistance in South Sudan, where ongoing conflict has claimed over 300,000 lives. The conversation featured Ambassador Mary Catherine (Molly) Phee, former Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Organization Affairs at the U.S. Department of State. Watch the full event here. (https://www.csis.org/events/facilitating-humanitarian-assistance-south-sudan?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789)


** Sounds
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On the latest episode of Russian Roulette, CSIS Russia expert Jeff Mankoff sits down with CSIS Europe expert Jeff Rathke to discuss major takeaways from the most recent NATO summit.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/russian-roulette/id1112258664?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/of-summitry-and-asummitry?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) .


** Smiles
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I received a bunch of great emails from readers last week about Keith Richards. I love it. Yes, indeed, as the late Jim Dickinson once said, “When you open the dictionary and look up rock and roll, there should be a picture of Keith Richards there.”

Let me say something about Mick, too. In addition to being one of the all time great lead singers, he’s also one of the greatest harmonica players. This clip (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t87B4frtEh8&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789) captures Mick, Keith and the Stones in all of their glory.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=faaff55f87-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_17_05_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-faaff55f87-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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