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The Evening: NATO, Germany’s Immigration Plan, Into the Mystic and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, July 10th.


** NATO Summit
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President Trump leveled fresh criticism against allies over their military spending as he headed off on seven-day tour through Europe that begins with a NATO gathering and ends with a summit with President Vladimir Putin aimed at resetting U.S. relations with Moscow, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Rebecca Ballhaus reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-leaves-for-nato-gathering-with-european-allies-on-edge-1531215000?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) .

Meanwhile, European Council President Donald Tusk told President Trump today to stop berating NATO allies over military investment levels ahead of what is expected to be a fraught alliance summit, as Reuters’ Robin Emmott reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-europe-tusk/eu-council-chiefs-riposte-to-trump-respect-the-allies-you-have-idUSKBN1K019P?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) .

And, as Bloomberg’s Aaron Eglitis reports (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-07-10/trudeau-makes-baltic-troop-pledge-sees-unity-at-nato-summit?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) , Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau today pledged to extend Canada’s military mission in the Baltic region and said he sees this week’s NATO summit reaffirming member states’ commitment to the alliance.

Dive Deeper: “NATO ‘Burden Sharing’: The Need for Strategy and Force Plans, Not Meaningless Percentage Goals (http:// https://www.csis.org/analysis/nato-burden-sharing-need-strategy-and-force-plans-not-meaningless-percentage-goals?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

“Despite Trump’s attacks on NATO members, U.S. support also down (https://www.axios.com/contrary-to-trumps-criticisms-us-is-also-contributing-less-to-nato-0a318253-cb27-4ee4-90b8-7808e7828ab6.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Stephen Sestanovich.

“Trump Is Heading to Europe for an Ideological Battle (https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/trump-heading-europe-ideological-battle?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) ,” by Chatham House’s Robin Niblett.


** Snuffing out Syrian Rebellion
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Assad is poised to snuff out the Syrian rebellion in the city where it began more than seven years ago, as rebels said today they were seeking to withdraw with Russian guarantees, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria/assad-aided-by-russia-poised-to-seize-cradle-of-revolt-idUSKBN1K01BI?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789 ) .

Dive Deeper: “Could Assad and Russia Expel Iran from Syria? (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/could-assad-and-russia-expel-iran-from-syria?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) ” by the Washington Institute’s Omar Alradad.


** German Measures Limiting Immigration
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Germany’s Interior Minister Horst Seehofer unveiled scores of measures aimed at limiting immigration today, in the latest sign of a backlash against the arrival of 1.5 million refugees since 2015, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Andrea Thomas reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/germanys-interior-minister-unveils-master-plan-to-cut-immigration-1531230642?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “After the Storm: Learning from the EU Response to the Migration Crisis (https://www.migrationpolicy.org/research/after-storm-eu-response-migration-crisis?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) ,” by the Migration Policy Institute’s Elizabeth Collett and Camille Le Coz.


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** 5%
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Since 2014, almost 5 percent of Ukraine’s landmass and more than half of its coastline have been under illegal Russian occupation in Crimea.
Source: Heritage Foundation (https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/brussels-nato-summit-2018-dont-lose-focus-ukraine?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789)


** Critical Quote
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** "Will they reimburse the U.S.?"
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— President Donald Trump on NATO commitments (https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1016729137409486853?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1016729137409486853&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fthehill.com%2Fhomenews%2Fadministration%2F396316-trump-suggests-nato-members-reimburse-us-for-defense-costs&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789)


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
Hezbollah is the world’s most heavily armed non-state actor, with a large and diverse stockpile of unguided artillery rockets, as well as ballistic, antiair, antitank, and antiship missiles. Check out CSIS's Missile Defense Project’s new brief on Hezbollah's missiles and rockets here (https://www.csis.org/analysis/hezbollahs-missiles-and-rockets?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Lauren DeCicca/Getty Images). Onlookers watch and cheer as ambulances deliver boys rescued from a cave in northern Thailand to a hospital in Chiang Rai after they were transported by helicopters on July 8, 2018 in Chiangrai, Thailand. Divers began an effort to pull the 12 boys and their soccer coach on Sunday morning after they were found alive in the cave at northern Thailand.


** Recommended Reading
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“Trump’s Deal Is All Show, No Reality in Pyongyang (https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/07/10/trumps-deal-is-all-show-no-reality-in-pyongyang/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Victor Cha for Foreign Policy.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at (https://www.fpri.org/event/2018/stabilizing-the-fertile-crescent-after-the-fall-of-the-caliphate/?utm_source=Unknown+List&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-9fe96d34c9-&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) 9:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/what-future-americas-alliances?utm_source=Unknown+List&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-9fe96d34c9-&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) , for a conversation with CSIS's Heather Conley and Michael Green on the future of U.S. alliances in Europe and Asia after the G7 and Singapore Summits and on the eve of the NATO Brussels Summit.
At (http://events.r20.constantcontact.com/register/event?oeidk=a07efioophaf75e24c7&llr=jl8lflzab&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) 11:00 a.m. (http://events.r20.constantcontact.com/register/event?oeidk=a07efioophaf75e24c7&llr=jl8lflzab&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) , the Global Policy Institute will host a panel discussion on the second anniversary of the July 15 coup attempt that took place in 2016. They will discuss how the coup attempt shaped present day Turkey and the potential implications regarding U.S.-Turkey relations.
And at (https://www.fpri.org/event/2018/stabilizing-the-fertile-crescent-after-the-fall-of-the-caliphate/?utm_source=Unknown+List&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-9fe96d34c9-&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) 12:00 p.m (https://www.fpri.org/event/2018/stabilizing-the-fertile-crescent-after-the-fall-of-the-caliphate/?utm_source=Unknown+List&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-9fe96d34c9-&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) ., the National Press Club will host a panel discussion on the threat of terrorism emanating from the Fertile Crescent now that ISIS’s Caliphate is being undone, and will provide concrete policy recommendations to establish a tenable politico-economic status quo.


** Video
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Today, the CSIS Global Health Policy Center hosted an international conference highlighting the role the U.S. is playing in global polio eradication and how that role will evolve as eradication is achieved. The conference featured keynote speaker Senator Mitch McConnell, Senate Majority Leader, and panelists from diverse organizations working toward eradication efforts. Watch the full event here. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-7yptfvuDo&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789)


** Sounds
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On the latest episode of The Readout, CSIS’s Bill Reinsch discusses the trade war between the United States and China. How far will it go, and how does it affect the regular consumer? Later in the show we hear from Mexico expert Richard Miles on Mexico's new president and how he's likely to approach the U.S.-Mexico relationship.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/itunes-u/the-csis-podcast/id383703191?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/the-trade-war-begins-and-amlo?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) .


** Smiles
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This is one of the best covers of a Van Morrison tune that I’ve seen. Warren Haynes and the Allman Brothers doing “Into the Mystic (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OOwBDlcasZ8&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789) .” Total smile.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9fe96d34c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_10_05_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9fe96d34c9-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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