The Evening: Syria, Iran, Helpless and More

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2018-09-04 21:19:36
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The Evening: Syria, Iran, Helpless and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, September 4th.


** Syria’s Idlib Province
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The White House today said it is "closely monitoring" an imminent major Syrian regime attack on rebel holdouts in Syria's Idlib province—a military action that would defy admonitions from President Donald Trump and other senior U.S. officials, as
Politico’s Rebecca Morin reports (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/09/04/trump-attacks-syria-rebels-806415?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .

Meanwhile, Russian warplanes struck Syria’s Idlib province today as residents and rebels in the country’s last major opposition stronghold steeled for a regime offensive that the U.S. has warned could trigger a humanitarian disaster, as the WSJ’s Sune Engel Rasmussen reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-launches-strikes-ahead-of-offensive-on-syrian-rebel-bastion-1536081199?mod=hp_lead_pos6&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “The U.S. needs to rethink its Syria strategy (http://www.mei.edu/content/article/us-needs-rethink-its-syria-strategy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) ,” by the Middle East Institute’s Geoffrey Aronson.


** Iran Latest
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President Donald Trump will chair a United Nations Security Council meeting on Iran this month during the annual gathering of world leaders in New York, diplomats and U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley said today, as Reuters’ Michelle Nichols reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-un-usa-iran/trump-to-chair-u-n-security-council-meeting-on-iran-idUSKCN1LK2CF?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .

And, as Reuters’ Dan Williams reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-israel-syria-iran/israel-says-struck-iranian-targets-in-syria-200-times-in-last-two-years-idUSKCN1LK2D7?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) , Israel says has carried out more than 200 attacks against Iranian targets in Syria in the last two years.

Dive Deeper: “Iran: Military Spending, Modernization, and the Shifting Military Balance in the Gulf (https://www.csis.org/analysis/major-new-report-iran-military-spending-modernization-and-shifting-military-balance-gulf?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

“Iran’s Response to Sanctions? Ignore Them (https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/irans-response-to-sanctions-ignore-them?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Patrick Clawson.


** New NAFTA Hurdles
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President Trump’s effort to force Canada into signing on to a new NAFTA on his terms is facing new hurdles thanks to growing opposition at home to his threat to proceed without the U.S.’s northern neighbor, as Bloomberg’s Shawn Donnan reports (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-04/trump-faces-fight-with-canada-over-nafta-as-china-duties-near?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .

Meanwhile, as CNBC reports (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/04/canadian-dollar-drops-after-trump-says-there-is-no-political-necessity-to-keep-canada-in-new-trade-deal.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) , the Canadian dollar fell against its U.S. counterpart on today after President Donald Trump said over the weekend the U.S. and Mexico could move forward without Canada in a new NAFTA deal.

Dive Deeper: “So, What Just Happened? (https://www.csis.org/analysis/so-what-just-happened?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) ” by CSIS’s Bill Reinsch.

“Would Trade Promotion Authority Apply to Ratification of the US-Mexico Free Trade Agreement without Canada? (https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/would-trade-promotion-authority-apply-ratification-us-mexico?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) ” by the Peterson Institute’s Gary Clyde Hufbauer.

Plus, see the new CSIS’s Trade Guys website (https://tradeguys.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** 87
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An aerial survey discovered bodies of 87 slaughtered elephants near a wildlife sanctuary in Botswana.
Source: USA Today (https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation-now/2018/09/04/elephants-killed-wildlife-sanctuary-africa-poachers/1188864002/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789)


** Critical Quote
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** "Nobody’s ever done a better job than I’m doing as president."
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— President Donald Trump


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt CSIS's Trade Guys launched a new micro website that features trade trends, rules, lingo, history and more explained through short videos, hot takes, data visualizations and interactive graphs. Check out the new microsite here (https://tradeguys.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Kevin Hagen/Getty Images). U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley today at the UN.


** Recommended Reading
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“Turkey’s woes could be just the start as record global debt bills come due (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/turkeys-woes-could-be-just-the-start-as-record-global-debt-bills-come-due/2018/08/28/f9f144c6-a231-11e8-8e87-c869fe70a721_story.html?utm_term=.a6960bbb62ed&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) ,” by the
Washington Post’s David Lynch.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at 5:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/chairman-mac-thornberry-national-security-and-politics-turbulent-times?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) for the Sam Nunn 2018 Prize and Lecture featuring Representative Mac Thornberry, Chairman of the U.S. House Armed Services Committee. Chairman Thornberry's speech, "National Security and Politics in Turbulent Times," will touch on the most pressing national security issues facing America today.

At 9:00 a.m. (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/outsidethebox-sinoindian-and-indorussian-cooperation-on-afghanistan?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) , The Atlantic Council will hold a panel discussion surrounding Sino-Indian and Indo-Russian informal agreements to undertake joint projects in Afghanistan.

And at 12:00 p.m. (https://www.hudson.org/events/1591-china-s-war-on-terrorism-and-the-xinjiang-emergency92018?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) , The Hudson Institute will host a discussion on "China's 'War on Terrorism' and the Xinjiang Emergency."


** Video
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In 2012, a 20-year moratorium on state employment of chemical weapons use was broken. Since then there have been more than 200 uses – against civilians, military targets, and political enemies. Watch the new CSIS original video: Restoring Restraint: Enforcing Accountability for Users of Chemical Weapons (https://csis.us11.list-manage.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=8e09a9dff0&e=e731b56470&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .


** Podcasts
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Die Welt
The Smart Women, Smart Power (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/smart-women-smart-power-podcast?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) biweekly podcast features powerful, in-depth conversations with women leaders from around the globe who are experts in foreign policy, national security, international business, and international development.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/smart-women-smart-power/id924940383?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .


** Smiles
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Yes, I am still on my CSN&Y kick—I am and always will be obsessed with their music. Throw in Joni Mitchell and I’m “Helpless (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Vyah_MnPEU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789) .”
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d8f0de5f42-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_09_04_06_30&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d8f0de5f42-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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