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The Evening CSIS: NATO, Rio Arrests, State of Love and Trust & More
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s) .


** No to NATO?
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Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump said that if he is elected president the US would defend its NATO allies only on a conditional basis, and not automatically. He made the remarks during an interview (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/21/us/politics/donald-trump-issues.html) with David Sanger and Maggie Haberman of the
New York Times – full transcript here (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/22/us/politics/donald-trump-foreign-policy-interview.html) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Kath Hicks and Brookings’ Michael O’Hanlon authored “Donald Trump is Wrong About NATO (http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/columnist/2016/07/08/trump-nato-defense-summit-allies-column/86679096/) ” in USA Today on July 8.


** Counter Coup Continues
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As the crackdown against alleged conspirators in last Friday’s attempted coup in Turkey continues, the EU says the heavy handed measures taken by Erdogan’s government have been “unacceptable (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-36861154) .”

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Jeff Rathke and Lisa Sawyer Samp wrote this commentary today: “Security in the Eastern Mediterranean after the Coup Attempt: Turkey’s Reckoning and Washington’s Worries (https://www.csis.org/analysis/security-eastern-mediterranean-after-coup-attempt-turkey%E2%80%99s-reckoning-and-washington%E2%80%99s) .”


** Rio Arrests
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Brazilian authorities arrested ten individuals today for plotting an ISIS-inspired terror attack set to take place during the Olympic games, as CNN reports (http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/21/americas/brazil-olympics-terror-arrests/) .

And as CS Monitor’s Taylor Barnes reports (http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Americas/2016/0721/Olympic-security-Brazil-adjusts-to-new-threats-with-help-from-global-partners) , a group of 55 nations will gather and share intelligence with one another in order to thwart attacks as the Olympics get underway next month.


** Theresa May in Paris
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In a meeting in Paris today, French president Francois Hollande reiterated his call for British prime minister Theresa May and her newly formed government to develop a negotiating stance for Britain’s exit from the EU, as Reuters reports (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-may-hollande-idUSKCN1012MN) .

And as the Guardian reports (http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/21/may-gets-hollande-ultimatum-free-trade-depends-on-free-movement) , president Hollande took a firm stance on immigration controls, saying that Britain can’t enjoy the three freedoms of the single market (the free movement of capital, services, and goods) if it doesn’t also allow the fourth (the free movement of people).

Dive Deeper: A new episode of CSIS’s ChinaPower Podcast was released today. Listen to CSIS’s Bonnie Glaser and Brookings’ Philippe Le Corre in “Life after Brexit: What the Leave Vote Means for China’s Relations with Europe (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/chinapower-podcast) .”


**
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** Undersea Warfare
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CSIS’s International Security Program released a timely report today analyzing Russian intentions and capabilities in undersea warfare and the ability of NATO and partner nations to respond. The assessment identifies gaps in current Western organizations, capabilities, and posture and offers recommendations as to how NATO and partner nations can meet the Russian challenge (https://www.csis.org/analysis/undersea-warfare-northern-europe) .


** In That Number
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** $2.1 billion
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The amount of additional funding pledged by the international community to help stabilize Iraq. Source: State Department (http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2016/07/260352.htm) .


** Critical Quote
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** "Over the longer term, the fallout from the coup will exacerbate Turkey’s relative insecurity. Erdogan’s evisceration of the military will leave it less able to resist the expansion of Russian power, even as his crackdown on his perceived opponents risks estranging Turkey’s Western allies."
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—CSIS's Jeffrey Mankoff on Russia and Turkey's rapprochment. Source: Foreign Affairs (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/turkey/2016-07-20/russia-and-turkeys-rapprochement) .


** One to Watch
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Lisa Sawyer Samp (https://www.csis.org/people/lisa-sawyer-samp) is senior fellow in CSIS’s International Security Program, where she focuses on defense strategy and European security. Lisa previously served on the NSC staff as director for NATO and European strategic affairs, as well as chief of staff to the assistant secretary of defense for international security affairs. Today, she coauthored a commentary (https://www.csis.org/analysis/security-eastern-mediterranean-after-coup-attempt-turkey%E2%80%99s-reckoning-and-washington%E2%80%99s) with Jeffrey Rathke on security in the eastern Mediterranean after the coup attempt in Turkey.


** Optics
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(Photo Credit: Nicolas Kovarik/IP3/Getty Images)

President Francois Hollande and prime minister Theresa May arrive for a meeting at Elysee Palace today in Paris.


** Highly Recommended
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CSIS's Jeffrey Mankoff authored “Russia and Turkey's Rapprochement: Don’t Expect an Equal Partnership (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/turkey/2016-07-20/russia-and-turkeys-rapprochement) ” in
Foreign Affairs today.


** CSIS Today
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CSIS’s Europe Program hosted a Statesmen’s Forum (https://www.csis.org/events/statesmens-forum-he-jean-marc-ayrault-french-minister-foreign-affairs-and-international) , featuring H.E. Jean-Marc Ayrault, France’s minister of foreign affairs and international development.


** CSIS Tomorrow
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At 10:00 a.m., join CSIS’s International Security Program and the US Naval Institute for a Maritime Security Dialogue (https://www.csis.org/events/naval-innovation-and-capabilities-charting-future-today) , featuring Rear Admiral Mathias W. Winter.

And join CSIS’s International Security Program at 1:00 p.m. for “Undersea Warfare in Northern Europe (https://www.csis.org/events/undersea-warfare-northern-europe) ,” featuring Steve McCarthy, the British embassy’s minister of defense materiel.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the George Marshall Fund at 10:00 a.m. for “Europe in Times of Brexit: A Transatlantic Talk with Czech Foreign Minister Lubomír Zaorálek. (http://www.gmfus.org/events/europe-times-brexit-transatlantic-talk-czech-foreign-minister-lubom%C3%ADr-zaor%C3%A1lek) ”

And join the Institute of World Politics at 12:00 p.m. for “The Outlook for Indian Military Modernization (https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-outlook-for-indian-military-modernization-tickets-26642286797?aff=es2) ,” featuring Air Marshal M Matheswaran, former deputy chief of integrated defense staff for the Indian Air Force.


** CSIS On Demand
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CSIS’s Global Health Policy Center premiered “It’s Time to Listen: Young Women and HIV/AIDS in Zambia (https://www.csis.org/programs/global-health-policy-center/hivaids/it%E2%80%99s-time-listen-young-women-and-hivaids-zambia-0) ,” during this week’s AIDS Conference in Durban, South Africa.


** Sounds
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Listen to the latest episode of Smart Women, Smart Power: “Rethinking Venture Capital—More Women, Better Business. (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/smart-women-smart-power-podcast) ”


** I Like It Like That
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The first issue of the Global Business Brief (http://www.defenseone.com/business/2016/07/global-business-brief-inaugural-edition/130105/) weekly newsletter by Defense One’s Marcus Weisgerber was released today. You can subscribe to it here (http://www.defenseone.com/f/global-business-brief-subscribe/) .


** Smiles
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My buddy The Boz thinks Pearl Jam’s Eddie Vedder is one of the best front men in rock and roll—ever. I’ve never considered Eddie in this space. Maybe it’s because he glared at me in September of 1998 when I left my front row seat to grab a beer at Pearl Jam’s Constitution Hall show while Eddie was singing his ballad “Black.” His eyes went right through me. I remember thinking, “Mick wouldn’t care if I wanted to grab a beer while he was singing something as silly as ‘Angie.’”

So, I decided that while I love Pearl Jam, and that Eddie is one talented cat, he’s no Kurt, not even a Chris Cornell.

But…I have to say, his longevity, the quality of his music, and his musical intelligence several decades past his heyday are indeed impressive.

You are right The Boz. Eddie rocks. State of Love and Trust (https://youtu.be/FdgJl1AIsto) .


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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