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The Evening: LV Massacre, NK, Times Like These and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, October 2nd.

Note: Beginning this week, The Evening will be published Monday-Thursday, weekly.


** Las Vegas Massacre
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Police have identified Stephen Paddock as the gunman who opened fire on concertgoers from a hotel room in Las Vegas, killing at least 58 people and leaving 515 wounded in the deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history, as CBS News reports (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/las-vegas-shooting-stephen-paddock-what-we-know-about-shooter/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .


** Deal with NK
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The
New York Times’ Mokoto Rich reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/02/world/asia/north-korea-tillerson-nuclear-talks.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) that “a nuclear deal with North Korea may be Tillerson’s Mission Impossible.”

And, as Reuters’ Steve Holland reports (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-missiles/white-house-again-rejects-talks-with-north-korea-on-nuclear-issue-idUSKCN1C72KV?il=0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) , the White House today ruled out talks with North Korea except to discuss the fate of Americans held there.

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Korea Chair and the CSIS iDeas Lab have produced a new interactive report, 25 Years of Negotiations and Provocations: North Korea and the United States (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/25-years-of-negotiations-provocations/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .


** Kremlin Critic Jailed
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A Moscow court jailed opposition leader Alexey Navalny for 20 days, less than a week before he planned to lead a major rally in President Vladimir Putin’s hometown on the Russian leader’s birthday, as Bloomberg’s Henry Meyer and Stepan Kravchenko report (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-02/kremlin-critic-navalny-jailed-ahead-of-rally-in-putin-hometown?cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business&utm_content=business&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .

Plus see, “Russian Facebook ads showed a black woman firing a rifle, amid efforts to stoke racial strife (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/technology/russian-facebook-ads-showed-a-black-woman-firing-a-rifle-amid-efforts-to-stoke-racial-strife/2017/10/02/e4e78312-a785-11e7-b3aa-c0e2e1d41e38_story.html?pushid=59d28007b307a33c0000002f&tid=notifi_push_breaking-news&utm_term=.dec21a0ca1ce&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) ,” by the Washington Post’s Adam Entous, Craig Timberg, and Elizabeth Dwoskin.


** Iran Sends Tanks to Border with Kurdish Region
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Iran deployed a dozen tanks supported by artillery at its border with Iraq’s autonomous Kurdish region on Monday, a Kurdish official said, adding that the move was a dangerous escalation in the crisis triggered by Iraqi Kurdistan’s independence vote, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-kurds-referendum-iran/iran-sends-tanks-to-border-with-iraqs-kurdish-region-kurdish-official-says-idUSKCN1C71EF?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the Washington Institute’s “After the Kurdish Referendum: Regional Implications (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/after-the-kurdish-referendum-regional-implications?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .”


** In That Number
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** 90%
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Just under 90 percent of those who voted in the Catalan referendum backed independence.
Source: BBC (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-41472985?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “It was an act of pure evil.”
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—President Donald Trump
Source: Politico (http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/02/las-vegas-mass-shooting-concert-politicians-react-243359?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789 ) .


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
A new study from Beyond Parallel found that the periods when the United States negotiates with North Korea correlate with a decrease in North Korean provocations. Explore the interactive report here (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/25-years-of-negotiations-provocations/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo Credit: David Becker/Getty Images.) People run from the Route 91 Harvest country music festival in Las Vegas.


** Recommended Reading
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“France: the permanent state of emergency (https://www.ft.com/content/f5309ff8-a521-11e7-9e4f-7f5e6a7c98a2?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) ,” by the
FT’s Anne-Sylvaine Chassany.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the CSIS Europe Program at 10:00 a.m. for a book launch of After Europe by Ivan Krastev (https://www.csis.org/events/book-launch-after-europe?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) , chairman of the Centre for Liberal Strategies in Sofia and frequent contributing political writer for the
International New York Times.

At 1:30 p.m., join the CSIS Project on Prosperity and Development for a report launch and discussion on innovation-led economic growth in developing countries (https://www.csis.org/events/report-launch-innovation-led-economic-growth?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .

And, the Washington Post will host a Cyber Security Summit (http://cybersecuritysummit2017.splashthat.com/linktank?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) at 9:00 a.m. for discussion and debate on top issues in the field.


** Video
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CSIS hosted a discussion on the landmark documentary by Ken Burns, The Vietnam War (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HfLCMEkrz8&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) , with leading historians and veterans, including three who served on the production’s historical advisory panel.


** Sounds
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The Kremlin Playbook mini-series released a new episode today, “How Russia Does It,” on the strategies and campaigns Russia uses to influence elections.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-kremlin-playbook/id1287533700?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/how-russia-does-it?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789) .


** Smiles
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It's times like these you learn to live again
It's times like these you give and give again
It's times like these you learn to love again
It's times like these time and time again

Foo Fighters, “Times Like These (https://www.vevo.com/watch/foo-fighters/times-like-these-?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789(live-on-letterman)/TIVEV1113872) ”
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=e1add72553-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-e1add72553-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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