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Good Evening,

Welcome to The Evening CSIS \u2014my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please click here [ http://CSIS.informz.net/CSIS/profile.asp?fid=3087 ] and if you want to view this in your browser, click here [ http://CSIS.informz.net/InformzDataService/OnlineVersion/Individual?mailingInstanceId=5238614&subscriberId=1062005454 ] .

Charged
Late this afternoon, the Los Angeles Times reported [ http://lat.ms/1NArIcQ ] that Enrique Marquez, the friend of terrorist Syed Rizwan Farook, was arrested and charged with conspiring to give material support to a terrorist plot.

The LA Times\u2019s coverage is excellent and includes this scan of the criminal complaint [ http://bit.ly/1NArUJb ] .


And, as the Washington Post\u2019s Greg Jaffe reports [ http://wapo.st/1NAsabh ] , President Obama said today at the National Counterterrorism Center that U.S. intelligence agencies have detected no "specific and credible information" of any immediate terror plots aimed at the United States

Dive Deeper: CSIS\u2019s Anthony Cordesman today published a new commentary \u201cFear versus Fact: Getting the Facts on Terrorism [ http://bit.ly/1NAsy9y ] .\u201d

Chatham House\u2019s has published an essay by the ICC\u2019s Jean-Marie Guhenno, \u201cEurope\u2019s terror challenge [ http://bit.ly/1NAt3R1 ] .\u201d


And, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy\u2019s Matthew Levitt today published \u201cTwo Steps to Crack Down on Islamic State Financing Options [ http://bit.ly/1NAtsD0 ] .\u201d

Responding to Iran
As Reuters\u2019s Patricia Zengerle reports [ http://reut.rs/1NAvSSa ] , the Obama adminstration is considering how to respond to an Iranian ballistic missile launch that violated U.N. Security Council resolutions.

Dive Deeper: CSIS\u2019s Anthony Cordesman has published one of the definitive reports on Iran\u2019s missile capabilities with his analysis: \u201cIran\u2019s Rocket and Missile Forces and Strategic Options [ http://bit.ly/1LMfYsn ] .\u201d

Plus, Dr. Cordesman published an essay for CSIS\u2019s 2016 Global Forecast, \u201cIran after the Agreement [ http://bit.ly/1Nh2Aru ] .\u201d

And, CSIS\u2019s Sharon Squassoni has created a new interactive timeline [ http://bit.ly/1hYAA2H ] which depicts the complicated process which is the Iran nuclear deal implantation plan. This timeline extends to all the way to 2026 and shows the key deadlines that the agreement specifies. This is a must see for anyone interested in understanding how the Iran deal is intended to work.

China Cracks Down (on Maps)
The Atlantic \u2019s Linda Poon today reports in a smart blog post \u201cChina Cracks Down on Politcally Incorrect Maps [ http://bit.ly/1NAuNtF ] \u201d that getting caught with the \u201cwrong\u201d maps can result in a hefty fine of up to $31,000\u2014or criminal charges.

And, the International Business Times reports [ http://bit.ly/1NAuTRL ] that \u201cAustralia Will Not Stop Surveillance Flights Over Contested Chinese Islands.\u201d

Dive Deeper: CSIS\u2019s Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI), an interactive micro-website featuring regularly-updated information, analysis, and policy exchange on maritime security issues in Asia, today launched a trove of new material which explores the ongoing case between China and the Philippines at the arbitral tribunal at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague.

The Philippines argued the merits of its case against China\u2019s claims in the South China Sea before an arbitral tribunal at the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague from November 24 to 30. As it has since the case was filed in early 2013, China refused to recognize or take part in the proceedings.

A ruling on the merits of the case is now widely expected sometime in mid-2016. According to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, the tribunal\u2019s award will be final and legally binding despite China\u2019s nonparticipation. For further insights on the importance of the arbitration, AMTI spoke to Jose Cuisia, Philippine ambassador to the United States, John Norton Moore, director of the Center for Oceans Law and Policy at the University of Virginia Law School, and Paul Reichler, partner at Foley Hoag LLP and the Philippines\u2019 lead counsel in the case.

AMTI has also produced a unique series of maps [ http://amti.csis.org/a-case-of-rocks-islands ] detailing possible outcomes from the court case and how they impact the South China Sea.

New Edition of CSIS Middle East Notes and Comment
CSIS\u2019s Jon Alterman today published the the December edition of emMiddle East Notes and Comment [ http://bit.ly/1NAwabM ] , the monthly newsletter of the CSIS Middle East Program. Included in this month's issue:

Choosing Battles Wisely: For the next U.S. president, it is important not only to act, but also to minimize the cost of not acting.

Performing Hajj: Mecca\u2019s annual pilgrimage has become a major social media event\u2014and many are now asking whether social media helps pilgrims glorify their faith or themselves.

Plus, links to new publications: Developing the Middle East's Human Capital: The CSIS Middle East Program recently published two reports on human capital and workforce development in the region by Carolyn Barnett.


In that Number
1,300
The number of leads that the Treasury Department provided to their French and European counterparts immediately after the terror attacks in Paris in January and November. Source: US Department of the Treasury [ https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/jl0306.aspx ]

Critical Quote
\u201cThe US can\u2019t do everything, and the next president needs to minimize the cost of US inaction.\u201d
\u2014Jon Alterman, Senior VP, Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy, and director of CSIS\u2019 Middle East Program, on setting foreign policy priorities for the next president.
Source: CSIS, Choosing Battles Wisely [ http://Listen%20to%20some%20of%20the%20FT ]

One to Watch


( Photo Credit: Twitter )
Kevin Whitelaw (@KevinWhitelaw1 [ https://twitter.com/KevinWhitelaw1 ] ) is heading over to Bloomberg\u2019s DC bureau to edit congressional news. Kevin previously served as CQ Weekly \u2019s editor after serving as their appropriations editor and defense and national security editor. Kevin is one to watch for news from the hill.

Optics
Reuters has a great photo roundup of US tourists visiting Cuba [ http://www.reuters.com/news/picture/destination-cuba?articleId=USRTX1Z5JJ ] . According to Reuters, US tourism to Cuba is up 71% this year.

Highly Recommended
When Melinda Gates tweets about something and recommends reading it, I do. Such as \u201cThe Invisible Work That Women Do Around the World [ http://theatln.tc/1NAr5Qt ] \u201d via the Atlantic .

CSIS Today
Today, CSIS hosted a discussion on the results of a new study that broke ground in deriving contract outcomes from publically available data. Catch the recap here [ http://csis.org/event/striking-best-deal-fixed-price-vs-cost-based-contracting ] .

CSIS Tomorrow
Tomorrow at 10:00 a.m., CSIS will host a discussion [ http://csis.org/event/international-norms-cyberspace-discussion-minister-marina-kaljurand ] with Marina Kaljurand, Estonian minister of foreign affairs, on international norms in cyberspace. The event will also feature a broad range of panelists who will offer recommendations for government officials, academia, and the private sector on stability and security in cyberspace. And also at 10:00 a.m., the CSIS Sumitro Chair for Southeast Asia Studies will host panelists for a moderated discussion on \u201cIndia\u2019s Security Interests in Southeast Asia.\u201d [ http://csis.org/event/indias-security-interests-southeast-asia ]

This Town Tomorrow
Tomorrow at 1:00 p.m., the Council on Foreign Relations will host \u201cHomeland Security Implications of ISIS Attacks,\u201d [ http://www.cfr.org/homeland-security/homeland-security-implications-isis-attacks/p37320 ] as experts discuss the vetting of refugees, the implications for immigration policy, and the role of the NSA in the aftermath of ISIS attacks around the world.

CSIS on Demand
How has homeland security evolved over the years? CSIS hosted experts [ http://csis.org/event/unmanned-systems-homeland-security ] to discuss the key findings of the study Unmanned Systems in Homeland Security and how unmanned systems in security have evolved, along with their inherent limitations.

Sounds
Listen to some of the FT\u2019s best minds discuss France\u2019s political climate in the wake of the National Front\u2019s performance in last weekend\u2019s elections, via the F/spanspan style="color: #2c90c0; text-decoration: underline;"in/span/em/spanspan style="text-decoration: underline;"emspan style="color: #2c90c0; text-decoration: underline;"ancial/span /em/spanspan style="color: #2c90c0; text-decoration: underline;"emTimes/em\u2019s /spanspan style="text-decoration: underline;"span style="color: #2c90c0; text-decoration: underline;"World Weekly With Gi/spanspan style="color: #2c90c0; text-decoration: underline;"deon Rachman podcas/spanspan style="color: #2c90c0; text-decoration: underline;"t [ http://podcast.ft.com/2015/12/15/has-the-rise-of-frances-national-front-been-halted ] .

I Like It Like That
Eye-catching things in CSIS's orbit

Star Wars comes out tomorrow\u2014everyone on planet earth seems to know this. Coolest thing I\u2019ve read today is Motherboard\u2019s \u201cWhy the US Military\u2019s Plans for a Death Star Collapsed [ http://bit.ly/1NAqkXV ] .\u201d

Smiles
I had a poster in my room when I was growing up that said \u201cTrust\u201d in which Elvis Costello was peering at me through his ultra-hip Wayfarers.

When I was an undergrad at Tulane I had a poster of Elvis Costello in a crown peering down at me through his ultra-hip John Lennonesque spectacles.

\u201cTrust\u201d was an album by Elvis Costello and the Attractions, his fifth studio recording (1981). The poster with Elvis in the crown was from \u201cKing of America\u201d his tenth studio record (1986).

I can\u2019t underscore the influence that these two records, and everything Elvis recorded in between them, had on me. It just made sense to have Elvis in my room watching over.

Elvis\u2019s visage alone, the style, the attitude, intelligence, and the \u201ctake no prisoners\u201d posture he assumed\u2026was like nothing I had ever seen before or identified so much with. Or aspired to.

Sure, Jim Morrison, John Lennon, Keith Richards, Jimmy Page, and Jimi Hendrix were all colossal to me. But they were from another era. Elvis, the new Elvis, was now (then and now). And he was monstrous, sarcastic, powerful, weak, detached, attached, cool, a geek, plugged in, unplugged, confident, vulnerable, literate, illiterate, surreal and real all at the same time. Confusing yes, but also endlessly interesting.

And his music, well, his music, just bent about every genre you can think of and continues to. His expertise spans punk, new wave, country, funk, folk, gospel, jazz, and blues. The very DNA of modern music.

Nothing, nothing, makes me smile and understand more about musical passion than his intense performance on the David Letterman Show in 2003 of \u201cWhat\u2019s so Funny About Peace, Love and Understanding?\u201d

\u201cPeace, Love and Understanding\u201d is a song his friend and producer Nick Lowe wrote but that Elvis made all his own. With his superb band The Imposters on Letterman that night (actually hosting the entire show on Letterman\u2019s behalf) Elvis indeed proved so many of the titles of his catch phrase songs: that he wrote the book, his aim was true, and that we should trust him. It still gives me the chills [ http://bit.ly/1O9VZ1J ] .

Feedback
I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org.

As Reuters\u2019s Patricia Zengerle reports, the Obama adminstration is considering how to respond to an Iranian ballistic missile launch that violated U.N. Security Council resolutions. http://reut.rs/1NAvSSa [ http://reut.rs/1NAvSSa ]


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