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The Evening: Putin’s Invited, Tariff Tension, Faces and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Thursday, July 19th.


** Putin Proposal Rejected
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President Trump has rejected a proposal by Vladimir Putin that Russian investigators be allowed to question U.S. citizens, including former ambassador to Moscow Michael McFaul, the White House said today, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-russia-interviews/white-house-rejects-putin-proposal-to-interview-u-s-citizens-idUSKBN1K92PP?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .

Meanwhile, as the WSJ’s Thomas Grove reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-defends-trump-from-critics-says-summit-was-a-success-1532013731?mod=hp_lead_pos7&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) , Vladimir Putin today defended Donald Trump from angry criticism following their summit in Helsinki.

And, as Politico’s Louis Nelson and Stephanie Murray report (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/19/trump-russia-putin-second-meeting-732358?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) , President Trump asked his national security adviser to invite Russian President Vladimir Putin to Washington this fall.

Dive Deeper: “The Kremlin Playbook Spotlight (https://www.csis.org/blogs/kremlin-playbook-spotlight?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Heather Conley and Donatienne Ruy.

“The Trump-Putin summit produces little. What can come next? (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2018/07/18/the-trump-putin-summit-produces-little-what-can-come-next/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=fp&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) ” by Brookings’ Steven Pifer.

“The Oil Context of the Trump-Putin Meeting (https://www.cfr.org/blog/oil-context-trump-putin-meeting?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Amy Myers Jaffe.


** Criticizing the Fed
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President Trump today criticized the Federal Reserve for raising interest rates, a rare rebuke by a sitting president that upends longstanding executive branch protocol to avoid commenting on monetary policy, as the
New York Times’ Jim Tankersley reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/19/business/trump-fed-interest-rates.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .


** EU Warns Retaliation
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The European Union said today it would retaliate if President Trump imposes tariffs on car exports to the U.S., cautioning Washington against unilateral measures that threaten global free-trade, as the WSJ’s Emre Peker reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/europe-warns-of-retaliation-over-u-s-auto-tariffs-1532006556?tesla=y&mod=article_inline&mod=article_inline&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS Trade Guys Podcast: “U.S. Protectionism and the EU-Japan Trade Deal (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .”

“Trump's Proposed Auto Tariffs Would Throw US Automakers and Workers Under the Bus (https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/trumps-proposed-auto-tariffs-would-throw-us-automakers-and?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) ,” via the Peterson Institute.


**
Israel Declares National Homeland
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Legislation declaring Israel a national homeland for the Jewish people and prioritizing Jewish-only communities was voted into law today in Jerusalem, as the Washington Post’s Ruth Eglash reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/lawmakers-approve-nationalistic-bill-declaring-israel-the-jewish-homeland/2018/07/19/0ef9410e-8ac0-11e8-9d59-dccc2c0cabcf_story.html?utm_term=.2f4d23f010db&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** $6,972
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If the Trump administration tariff of 20-25 percent on imports of cars and parts is enacted, the Peterson Institute for International Economics estimates that it would raise car prices by $1,408 to $2,057 for a $17,000 vehicle, $2,093 to $3,066 for a $22,500 vehicle, and $4,708 to $6,972 for a $35,000 vehicle.
Source: Politico (https://www.politico.com/morningtrade/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789)


** Critical Quote
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** "The Summit with Russia was a great success."
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— President Trump


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Europe Program launched a new series today, The Kremlin Playbook Spotlight. This series offers a visual and contextual snapshot of the workings of Russian malign influence in Europe. Check out The Kremlin Playbook here (https://www.csis.org/blogs/kremlin-playbook-spotlight?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Drew Angerer/Getty Images). Steam rises near the site of a steam pipe explosion on Fifth Avenue near the Flatiron District today in New York.


** Recommended Reading
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“Presidents keep thinking of terrorism as a distraction. That’s dangerous (https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/opinions/presidents-keep-thinking-of-terrorism-as-a-distraction-thats-dangerous/2018/07/18/a3907cd6-8482-11e8-9e80-403a221946a7_story.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) ,” by Joshua Geltzer and Nicholas Rasmussen for the
Washington Post.


** This Town Tomorrow
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At (https://www.mepc.org/hill-forums/after-withdrawal-jcpoa-strategies-trump-administration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) 10:00 a.m. (https://www.mepc.org/hill-forums/after-withdrawal-jcpoa-strategies-trump-administration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) , the Middle East Policy Council will host a forum to discuss Iran, U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA and what it means for American national interests.

At (https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/perestroika-the-last-attempt-to-create-the-new-soviet-person?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) 10:30 a.m. (https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/perestroika-the-last-attempt-to-create-the-new-soviet-person?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) , the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars will host a conversation on the intentions of perestroika’s architects and how these pivotal reforms were designed to overcome a pervasive moral crisis in the Soviet Union.

And at (https://events.iadb.org/calendar/event/17758?lang=en&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) 12:30 p.m. (https://events.iadb.org/calendar/event/17758?lang=en&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) , the Inter-American Development Bank will host a discussion on the education voucher system in Chile and how it affects schools’ strategic behavior and provides effective accountability measures.


** Video
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This morning, CSIS hosted Senator Jeanne Shaheen and Senator Thom Tillis for a conversation on the July 11-12 NATO Summit. Both Senators were part of the U.S. delegation to the Summit as well as Co-Chairs of the Senate NATO Observer Group. They shared their analysis of the Summit, and the vital role that bipartisan Congressional leadership plays in tackling transatlantic security challenges. Watch the full event here (https://www.csis.org/events/washington-brussels-discussion-2018-nato-summit?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .


** Sounds
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On the latest episode of The Trade Guys, Bill Reinsch and Scott Miller discuss the United States’ counter-offensive against WTO lawsuits filed by China, the EU, Canada, Mexico, and Turkey. They also discuss Vice President Pence’s rebuke against China, and how U.S. producers are responding to the ongoing trade war.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/us-protectionism-and-the-eu-japan-trade-deal?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) .


** Smiles
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This week in Smiles started with the Small Faces and then transitioned to Keith and the Stones. The Faces (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=umxx2Qjxfww&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789) were a pretty darn great band too, and they are always a Smile.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a8873f39ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_19_05_52&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a8873f39ae-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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