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The Evening: NATO Support, Note from NK, How I Wish and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Thursday, July 12th.


** Reaffirming NATO Support
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President Trump reaffirmed support for NATO today, but only after stirring more discord with a vague threat that the United States could go its own way if the allies resisted his demands for additional military spending, as the
New York Times’ Julie Hirshfeld Davis and Katie Rogers report (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/12/world/europe/trump-nato-russia.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “NATO ‘Burden Sharing’: The Need for Strategy and Force Plans, Not Meaningless Percentage Goals (https://www.csis.org/analysis/nato-burden-sharing-need-strategy-and-force-plans-not-meaningless-percentage-goals?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

“To Engage America, Theresa May Should Recognize the Real Concerns that Trump Raises (https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/engage-america-theresa-may-should-recognize-real-concerns-trump-raises?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) ,” by Chatham House’s Leslie Vinjamuri.


** Note From North Korea
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Kim Jong Un told President Trump he believed their efforts could open up a “new future” between North Korea and the United States and expressed hope for “practical actions” in the future, according to a letter from the North Korean leader released today, as Reuters' Matt Spetalnick and Mohammad Zargham report (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-usa-note/trump-hails-progress-after-receiving-note-from-north-koreas-kim-idUSKBN1K22NM?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Listen to the latest episode (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-impossible-state/id1389951701?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) of the Impossible State podcast with CSIS’s Victor Cha and Sue Mi Terry.

“Congress Affirms Concern for North Korea Human Rights: Extends Human Rights Act (https://www.csis.org/analysis/congress-affirms-concern-north-korea-human-rights-extends-human-rights-act?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) ,” by Ambassador Robert King.


** U.S. Urges U.N. Action on North Korea Energy Caps
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The Trump administration asked a United Nations panel this week to ban oil-product sales to North Korea this year, calling out China and Russia for exports Washington alleges have often been in violation of the international body’s sanctions against Pyongyang, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Ian Talley reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-urges-u-n-to-reprimand-china-and-russia-for-selling-oil-products-to-north-korea-1531411312?mod=hp_lead_pos4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .


** Trade War
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China‘s Ministry of Commerce accused the U.S. of “slander” and said Washington is “fully responsible“ for an escalating trade war, according to a tersely worded statement Beijing released today in response to President Donald Trump's plan to hit $200 billion worth of Chinese goods with another round of tariffs, as Politico’s Adam Behsudi reports (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/12/china-us-trade-actions-enemy-to-all-715421?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .

Also of note, see Anthony Scaramucci’s op-ed for the FT, “A trade war risks all Donald Trump’s economic successes (https://www.ft.com/content/3f33d87a-85b6-11e8-9199-c2a4754b5a0e?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .”

Dive Deeper: “U.S.-China Trade War: How We Got Here (https://www.cfr.org/blog/us-china-trade-war-how-we-got-here?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Brad Setser.


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** 10,000
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President Trump’s trade war has escalated, as trade wars do, to include about 10,000 products.
Source: NYT (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/07/11/business/trade-war.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “I think NATO is much stronger now than it was two days ago.”
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—President Trump (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/12/world/europe/trump-nato-summit-uk.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
CSIS’s International Security Program released a new interactive map exploring NATO security investment and pre-crisis mobility. The map reflects countries’ composite scores for overall mobility, ground mobility, and air mobility, as well as data on individual defense budgets. Check out the map here (https://csis-ilab.github.io/defense360-viz/defense-metrics/d360euro_map/index.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo credit: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.) Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin testifies before the House Financial Services Committee today on Capitol Hill.


** Recommended Reading
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ICYMI, don’t. This is a thought provoking read from an incredible mind, Josh Geltzer for
Politico, “America’s Problem Isn’t Too Little Democracy. It’s Too Much (https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/06/26/america-democracy-trump-russia-2016-218894?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .”


** This Town Tomorrow
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At 9:00 a.m (http://carnegieendowment.org/2018/07/13/brexit-and-future-of-europe-event-6923?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) ., the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace will host a discussion on Brexit, the prospects for relations between the EU and the U.K. in its wake, and broader implications of Brexit on the EU’s role in the world.

And, on Monday (https://www.csis.org/events/partners-these-strategies-and-tools-counterterrorism-cooperation?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) , join CSIS's International Security Program for “With Partners Like These: Strategies and Tools for Counterterrorism Cooperation.”


** Video
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Yesterday, CSIS hosted a conversation on the future of U.S. alliances in Europe and Asia after the G7, Singapore, and NATO Summits. Watch the full event here (https://www.csis.org/events/what-future-americas-alliances?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .


** Sounds
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On the latest episode of The Impossible State, CSIS’s Victor Cha and Sue Mi Terry discuss Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s latest visit to North Korea. They also weigh in on the possibility of Kim Jong Un’s appearance at the 2018 United Nation General Assembly meeting in September.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-impossible-state/id1389951701?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/third-visit?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) .


** Smiles
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It doesn’t take much to get me to go on a Rolling Stones musical binge. England’s brilliant World Cup run got me there. After they lost in the semifinal I started hearing Keith Richards and the X-Pensive Winos’ “How I Wish (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMYpLyMoSsI&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789) ” run through my head. If you don’t know about Keith and the Winos, I highly recommend you listen to them—the band features some of my favorite musicians: Ivan Neville on the keys, Waddy Wachtel on guitar and Steve Jordan on drums. And of course there is Keith, who always makes me smile.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=99c8a1f89a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_07_12_08_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-99c8a1f89a-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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