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One Reason to Love 2016
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DATE:
2016-08-02 09:01:15
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Share The Viewa:visited { color: #00b9e7; } a:hover { text-decoration: underline !important; } a:hover#logo { text-decoration: none !important; } @media only screen and (max-device-width: 480px) { a[id=logo] { font-size: 34px !important; } body { width: 100% !important; } table { width: 100% !important; } } @media only screen and (min-device-width: 320px) and (max-device-width: 568px) { html { -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; } td[id=content] { font-size: 18px !important; } body { width: 100% !important; } table { width: 100% !important; } }Share The ViewThe Latest Opinions From Bloomberg ViewAug 02, 2016bloomberg.com/viewInvestors Like Election Years, No Matter Who WinsIf you're seeking a quick buck, a bet on the Republican candidate will probably pay off, while buy-and-hold folks tend to do better when the Democrat wins, according to a Bloomberg analysis. But either way, Matthew A. Winkler says, the stock market almost always goes up when Americans select a president. Call it confidence in democracy.Economists Turn a Blind Eye to Historical DataTo get the right view of post-recession recoveries, you have to look at debt-induced crises. Barry Ritholtz considers why experts ignore them -- and what they're missing.Reconciling the Contradictions of U.S. GDP DataTwo striking and persistent divergences in the U.S. economy played out yet again in the second quarter of this year: between corporate and household behavior, and between economic and financial risk-taking. Mohamed A. El Erian explains how to make sense of it all.Here's the Economist Whose Ideas Guide TrumpIf you want to understand the Republican candidate's views on China, Peter Navarro is the thinker to read. Tyler Cowen offers an introduction to one of the most versatile and productive American economists of the last few decades. (Relatedly, Paula Dwyer notes that Trump's Social Security plan depends on a few magic ingredients, including tax cuts, unrealistically high GDP growth -- and a fresh wave of immigrants.)How Public Bigotry Creeps Into Private LivesAmerican political campaigns have always been rancorous, but even jaded observers have been shocked by this year's insulting and even hateful rhetoric. Margaret Carlson says the Republican's nominee's attacks on the grieving parents of a war hero should be disqualifying, while Francis Wilkinson warns that a nasty strain of politics can subtly poison our most intimate thoughts and relationships.Ritholtz's ReadsWhy is the stock market so high? Ask the bond market (NYT)Investor cage match: gold bugs vs. equity bulls (Pension Partners)Are we at risk of an inverted yield curve? (A Wealth of Common Sense)(Read Barry Ritholtz's full daily news roundup.)Bloomberg GadflyUber wins by losing in ChinaCurrency risk poses a hurdle for TreasuriesBreakthrough drugs don't always break through(Read more from BV's sister site for fast business commentary.)For more information, email view@bloomberg.net.For media inquiries, contact Jill Watanabe at +1-212-617-1610 or jwatanabe11@bloomberg.net.You received this message because you signed up for Bloomberg View newsletters.bloomberg.com/view | 731 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY 10022 | Contact Us | Unsubscribe <a href="http://link.mail.bloombergview.com/click/7290334.19675/aHR0cDovL3d3dy5tYWlsLmJsb29tYmVyZ3ZpZXcuY29tIg/55086a4c3b35d051538c37ccBec6a00c0><img src="http://link.mail.bloombergview.com/img/55086a4c3b35d051538c37cc4c99a.f6j/90c92a4e.gif" alt="" border="0" /></a>
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