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[image: In this newsletter: Tax Increases v. Closing Tax LoopholesFinancial Shorts: New Hedge Fund Rules; Dismal Economic OutlookPolitical Shorts: Another Campaign Finance Ruling; Collective Bargaining] *Washington Update– June 28, 2011* [image: In this newsletter: Tax Increases v. Closing Tax LoopholesFinancial Shorts: New Hedge Fund Rules; Dismal Economic OutlookPolitical Shorts: Another Campaign Finance Ruling; Collective Bargaining] [image: In this newsletter: Tax Increases v. Closing Tax LoopholesFinancial Shorts: New Hedge Fund Rules; Dismal Economic OutlookPolitical Shorts: Another Campaign Finance Ruling; Collective Bargaining] [image: 1. Tax Increases v. Closing Tax Loopholes A bit more information has surfaced over the last few days detailing the exact state of the budget negotiations when they collapsed. Both sides, as they often said, were shooting for about $2.4 trillion in deficit reduction over 10 years. They'd already agreed on around $1 trillion in spending cuts and were making good progress on the rest of it. But Democrats insisted that $400 billion -- roughly 17 percent -- of the package be tax increases. And that's when Republicans walked. Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ), the No. 2 Republican in the Senate, left room for maneuver on raising revenue in ways that might not be defined as a tax increase. Proposed ways to reduce the US budget deficit include ending tax breaks for ethanol producers or other energy companies, and revising tax deductions for corporate jets. Some call those steps tax increases, while others describe them as closing tax loopholes.Earlier talks have focused on areas of easier agreement, including cuts to farm subsidies and possible reductions in retirement benefits to federal workers. Democrats are continuing to press for higher tax revenue. Republicans insist that spending cuts must exceed any increase in the debt ceiling. Many members of their party were elected last year on a pledge to force dramatic spending cuts. Republicans have insisted they won’t approve any tax increases. Still, Democrats say there is increased hope for a deal on revenue after a June 16 Senate vote in which 33 Republicans voted with Democrats in favor of eliminating a tax credit and a tariff that subsidize ethanol production.The targeting of long-protected tax breaks — for ethanol, research and development, manufacturing and foreign company income — is a sign that key House Republicans are ready to break with the orthodoxy of past tax debates while ditching special interests that have long held sway in tax reform discussions. In going after some of these tax credits, Republicans on the House Ways and Means Committee are proposing a trade-off by lowering corporate and individual tax breaks. And while Republicans would like to keep tax reform discussions separate from the deficit reduction talks, the negotiators may still discuss closing certain tax loopholes.If Republicans have successfully redefined tax increases as "new revenues that come from higher marginal rates" but not "new revenues that come from cutting tax breaks and closing loopholes," that opens up a lot of space for compromise. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, told reporters “We are not opposed to revenues. We are just opposed to tax increases." Coming on the heels of the consequential votes Senate Republicans cast against ethanol subsidies -- and for more revenues -- that's an important statement.There is some skepticism. Not of the fact that Republicans are increasingly interested in ridding the code of some special-interest tax breaks, but if they are ready to raise serious amounts of revenue by going after the big tax breaks, and therefore the sources of big revenue. According to the Tax Policy Center, the largest tax expenditures, in order, are the breaks for employer-provided health care, pension contributions, mortgage interest, depreciation of capital equipment, state and local tax payments, and charitable contributions- all of which are tax preferences for the middle class.So far, the discussion over raising revenues by cleaning out the code has used comfortably vague language about "tax breaks" and "loopholes" and "expenditures." But to see serious money from this effort, these are the sorts of breaks, loopholes and expenditures that they will have to go after. At this point, Republicans are looking at some green energy subsides they don't like and Democrats have mostly been talking about some fossil-fuel subsidies they don't like. But getting rid of subsidies for ethanol and oil and gas manufacturers will not do much for the deficit. And as of yet, no one has really been talking about the big tax breaks that will actually generate the big revenue.The President is meeting with Congressional leaders from both parties this week to try to obtain a deficit-reduction package from Congress in exchange for legislation to increase the country's borrowing limit from $14.2 trillion. Congress has until August 2 to increase the debt ceiling or risk a default that would agitate world markets. 2. Financial ShortsSEC’s New Hedge Fund RulesThe SEC has adopted new rules in which hedge fund and private equity funds that manage more than $150 million will have to register with the SEC as well as turn over crucial information, including the size of the funds they oversee, information about their investors and the names of their auditors and marketers. Some 750 hedge fund and private equity fund managers will face the new requirements, which take effect in March 2012. Managers of these private funds have been able to avoid registering with the SEC under a rule that exempts advisers with fewer than 15 clients, because each fund counted as a single client, even if it had scores of investors. Many funds are already making voluntary disclosures to the SEC.The rules come with some exceptions. For example, they do not apply to venture capital funds and hedge funds that manage less than $150 million. Venture funds can also invest up to 20 percent of their money in investments that don’t fit the description of venture capital and still qualify for lighter regulation. Also beyond the reach of the new regulations are family offices. To separate them from money managers that serve unrelated clients, the SEC had to define “family,” settling on a definition of all lineal descendants of a common ancestor no more than 10 generations in the past. Still, the exempt funds will have to file periodic reports that lay out basic information, like the name of their owner, potential conflicts of interest and disciplinary problems.The SEC split 3 to 2 on the key vote, with two Republican commissioners opposing the measure. They argued that the SEC went further than it should have by requiring some disclosures from fund managers that, under the law, it could have exempted from the new requirements. It remains unclear how much the SEC will be able to do with its new regulatory authority. Agency leaders have said the SEC’s budget has not kept pace with its growing responsibilities. But many hedge funds that previously reported to the SEC — an estimated 3,200 of the 11,500 now registered with the agency — will in the future become the responsibility of state regulators.An Adjusted Dismal Economic OutlookThe economic recovery is slowing and the outlook for next year has gotten worse, according to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, backing away from the view that the slowdown of the past few months was merely temporary. The central bank released new economic projections that showed weaker growth in both 2011 and 2012 than had been forecast just two months ago. Despite the slowdown, the Fed said it will end a program of buying vast sums of Treasury bonds (QE2) at the end of June as scheduled and gave no sign it is contemplating new action. The Fed left its policy of ultra-low interest rates unchanged and will continue to hold massive amounts of securities in a bid to foster growth. Bernanke said the Fed had no solid answers as to why, two years into an economic recovery, growth keeps disappointing. He suggested that problems in the financial sector and the housing market, and with consumers trying to pay down their debt, had been underestimated.The central bank’s new economic projections show how quickly the nation’s economic outlook has deteriorated since the last Fed projections were made in April. Fed officials now project GDP will rise 2.7 to 2.9 percent this year, which is too slow to put Americans back to work in any large numbers. Two months ago, they thought growth would be just over 3 percent. In January, they saw growth approaching 4 percent. That weaker 2011 growth is driven in part by temporary factors such as the run-up in oil prices over the first few months of the year and the supply disruptions caused by the Japanese earthquake. However, the adjustments the Fed made to its 2012 forecast show that the leaders of the central bank see a longer-lasting malaise.Bernanke did give a bit of new clarity on what the Fed would do if the situation worsened — if the economy seemed to be falling back into recession or if deflation became a risk. He mentioned several possible steps: making more purchases of securities, which would expand the money supply and put downward pressure on interest rates; cutting an interest rate that banks are paid for money they park at the Fed; or giving more specific promises for how long the Fed will keep its target interest low and its big balance sheet in place.3. Political ShortsAnother Campaign Finance RulingThe Supreme Court issued a 5-4 decision striking down part of an Arizona law providing public funds for campaigns. In the case, Arizona Free Enterprise Club’s Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett, the court struck down a provision in the Arizona law that provided additional funds to publicly funded candidates running against opponents who outspend them outside the system. Advocates for reducing the role of money in politics, feared that the high court, which has in the past issued sweeping rulings striking down campaign finance restrictions as violations of free speech, would use the case to rule broadly on the constitutionality of programs that provide public money to candidates. The ruling appears unlikely to impact the federal presidential public financing system, which lacks such a provision, but also has fallen out of favor since Barack Obama in 2008 declined to participate while raising a record-shattering $750 million for his campaign.The Arizona case was brought by a pair of small government groups – the Washington-based Institute for Justice and the Phoenix-based Goldwater Institute – on behalf of Arizona state candidates who rejected public funds and argued that the provision infringed on their freedom of speech by compelling them to spend less money to avoid triggering the additional funds.Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, agreed, writing: “We hold that Arizona’s matching funds scheme substantially burdens protected political speech without serving a compelling state interest and therefore violates the First Amendment.” In the dissent, however, Justice Elena Kagan wrote that the plaintiff candidates “are making a novel argument: that Arizona violated their First Amendment rights by disbursing funds to other speakers even though they could have received (but chose to spurn) the same financial assistance. Some people might call that chutzpah.”Advocates for strict campaign finance rules, many of whom filed briefs defending the law, blasted the decision as empowering special interests. But they also stressed that it did not rule unconstitutional public financing regimes, in general, and, in fact, left room for them to push long-shot proposals in Congress to overhaul the presidential system and to enact a congressional public financing system.Collective Bargaining in WisconsinThe Wisconsin State Supreme Court ordered the reinstatement of Gov. Scott Walker’s (R) controversial plan to end most collective bargaining for tens of thousands of public workers. The court found that a committee of lawmakers was not subject to the state’s open meetings law, and so did not violate that law when it hastily approved the collective bargaining measure in March and made it possible for the Senate to take it up. In doing so, the Supreme Court overruled a Dane County judge who had halted the legislation, ending one challenge to the law even as new challenges are likely to emerge.Republicans praised the majority decision, but Democrats decried the Supreme Court decision for finding lawmakers do not have to follow the open meetings law. They said they would move to amend the state constitution to make them subject to the meetings law, a process that would take years and be difficult to start while they remain in the minority.In February, Walker proposed eliminating most collective bargaining for public workers except police, firefighters and State Patrol troopers. The day the Senate was to take up the bill, the Democrats prevented action on the bill by fleeing the state. Under the state constitution, at least 20 senators had to be present to pass the measure because it included fiscal elements- Republicans hold just 19 seats. After three weeks, Republicans stripped out the parts of bill that were considered “fiscal”, passed the legislation and Walker signed it. The Democratic Dane County District Attorney filed a court complaint alleging the committee violated the open meetings law since it needed to give 24 hours’ notice before meeting and had to allow more people into the room. So, the Court majority found lawmakers must obey the state constitution, but not the open meetings law, which spells out when meeting notices must be published and when public entities can meet in closed session.] [image: 1. Tax Increases v. Closing Tax Loopholes A bit more information has surfaced over the last few days detailing the exact state of the budget negotiations when they collapsed. Both sides, as they often said, were shooting for about $2.4 trillion in deficit reduction over 10 years. They'd already agreed on around $1 trillion in spending cuts and were making good progress on the rest of it. But Democrats insisted that $400 billion -- roughly 17 percent -- of the package be tax increases. And that's when Republicans walked. Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ), the No. 2 Republican in the Senate, left room for maneuver on raising revenue in ways that might not be defined as a tax increase. Proposed ways to reduce the US budget deficit include ending tax breaks for ethanol producers or other energy companies, and revising tax deductions for corporate jets. Some call those steps tax increases, while others describe them as closing tax loopholes.Earlier talks have focused on areas of easier agreement, including cuts to farm subsidies and possible reductions in retirement benefits to federal workers. Democrats are continuing to press for higher tax revenue. Republicans insist that spending cuts must exceed any increase in the debt ceiling. Many members of their party were elected last year on a pledge to force dramatic spending cuts. Republicans have insisted they won’t approve any tax increases. Still, Democrats say there is increased hope for a deal on revenue after a June 16 Senate vote in which 33 Republicans voted with Democrats in favor of eliminating a tax credit and a tariff that subsidize ethanol production.The targeting of long-protected tax breaks — for ethanol, research and development, manufacturing and foreign company income — is a sign that key House Republicans are ready to break with the orthodoxy of past tax debates while ditching special interests that have long held sway in tax reform discussions. In going after some of these tax credits, Republicans on the House Ways and Means Committee are proposing a trade-off by lowering corporate and individual tax breaks. And while Republicans would like to keep tax reform discussions separate from the deficit reduction talks, the negotiators may still discuss closing certain tax loopholes.If Republicans have successfully redefined tax increases as "new revenues that come from higher marginal rates" but not "new revenues that come from cutting tax breaks and closing loopholes," that opens up a lot of space for compromise. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, told reporters “We are not opposed to revenues. We are just opposed to tax increases." Coming on the heels of the consequential votes Senate Republicans cast against ethanol subsidies -- and for more revenues -- that's an important statement.There is some skepticism. Not of the fact that Republicans are increasingly interested in ridding the code of some special-interest tax breaks, but if they are ready to raise serious amounts of revenue by going after the big tax breaks, and therefore the sources of big revenue. According to the Tax Policy Center, the largest tax expenditures, in order, are the breaks for employer-provided health care, pension contributions, mortgage interest, depreciation of capital equipment, state and local tax payments, and charitable contributions- all of which are tax preferences for the middle class.So far, the discussion over raising revenues by cleaning out the code has used comfortably vague language about "tax breaks" and "loopholes" and "expenditures." But to see serious money from this effort, these are the sorts of breaks, loopholes and expenditures that they will have to go after. At this point, Republicans are looking at some green energy subsides they don't like and Democrats have mostly been talking about some fossil-fuel subsidies they don't like. But getting rid of subsidies for ethanol and oil and gas manufacturers will not do much for the deficit. And as of yet, no one has really been talking about the big tax breaks that will actually generate the big revenue.The President is meeting with Congressional leaders from both parties this week to try to obtain a deficit-reduction package from Congress in exchange for legislation to increase the country's borrowing limit from $14.2 trillion. Congress has until August 2 to increase the debt ceiling or risk a default that would agitate world markets. 2. Financial ShortsSEC’s New Hedge Fund RulesThe SEC has adopted new rules in which hedge fund and private equity funds that manage more than $150 million will have to register with the SEC as well as turn over crucial information, including the size of the funds they oversee, information about their investors and the names of their auditors and marketers. Some 750 hedge fund and private equity fund managers will face the new requirements, which take effect in March 2012. Managers of these private funds have been able to avoid registering with the SEC under a rule that exempts advisers with fewer than 15 clients, because each fund counted as a single client, even if it had scores of investors. Many funds are already making voluntary disclosures to the SEC.The rules come with some exceptions. For example, they do not apply to venture capital funds and hedge funds that manage less than $150 million. Venture funds can also invest up to 20 percent of their money in investments that don’t fit the description of venture capital and still qualify for lighter regulation. Also beyond the reach of the new regulations are family offices. To separate them from money managers that serve unrelated clients, the SEC had to define “family,” settling on a definition of all lineal descendants of a common ancestor no more than 10 generations in the past. Still, the exempt funds will have to file periodic reports that lay out basic information, like the name of their owner, potential conflicts of interest and disciplinary problems.The SEC split 3 to 2 on the key vote, with two Republican commissioners opposing the measure. They argued that the SEC went further than it should have by requiring some disclosures from fund managers that, under the law, it could have exempted from the new requirements. It remains unclear how much the SEC will be able to do with its new regulatory authority. Agency leaders have said the SEC’s budget has not kept pace with its growing responsibilities. But many hedge funds that previously reported to the SEC — an estimated 3,200 of the 11,500 now registered with the agency — will in the future become the responsibility of state regulators.An Adjusted Dismal Economic OutlookThe economic recovery is slowing and the outlook for next year has gotten worse, according to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, backing away from the view that the slowdown of the past few months was merely temporary. The central bank released new economic projections that showed weaker growth in both 2011 and 2012 than had been forecast just two months ago. Despite the slowdown, the Fed said it will end a program of buying vast sums of Treasury bonds (QE2) at the end of June as scheduled and gave no sign it is contemplating new action. The Fed left its policy of ultra-low interest rates unchanged and will continue to hold massive amounts of securities in a bid to foster growth. Bernanke said the Fed had no solid answers as to why, two years into an economic recovery, growth keeps disappointing. He suggested that problems in the financial sector and the housing market, and with consumers trying to pay down their debt, had been underestimated.The central bank’s new economic projections show how quickly the nation’s economic outlook has deteriorated since the last Fed projections were made in April. Fed officials now project GDP will rise 2.7 to 2.9 percent this year, which is too slow to put Americans back to work in any large numbers. Two months ago, they thought growth would be just over 3 percent. In January, they saw growth approaching 4 percent. That weaker 2011 growth is driven in part by temporary factors such as the run-up in oil prices over the first few months of the year and the supply disruptions caused by the Japanese earthquake. However, the adjustments the Fed made to its 2012 forecast show that the leaders of the central bank see a longer-lasting malaise.Bernanke did give a bit of new clarity on what the Fed would do if the situation worsened — if the economy seemed to be falling back into recession or if deflation became a risk. He mentioned several possible steps: making more purchases of securities, which would expand the money supply and put downward pressure on interest rates; cutting an interest rate that banks are paid for money they park at the Fed; or giving more specific promises for how long the Fed will keep its target interest low and its big balance sheet in place.3. Political ShortsAnother Campaign Finance RulingThe Supreme Court issued a 5-4 decision striking down part of an Arizona law providing public funds for campaigns. In the case, Arizona Free Enterprise Club’s Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett, the court struck down a provision in the Arizona law that provided additional funds to publicly funded candidates running against opponents who outspend them outside the system. Advocates for reducing the role of money in politics, feared that the high court, which has in the past issued sweeping rulings striking down campaign finance restrictions as violations of free speech, would use the case to rule broadly on the constitutionality of programs that provide public money to candidates. The ruling appears unlikely to impact the federal presidential public financing system, which lacks such a provision, but also has fallen out of favor since Barack Obama in 2008 declined to participate while raising a record-shattering $750 million for his campaign.The Arizona case was brought by a pair of small government groups – the Washington-based Institute for Justice and the Phoenix-based Goldwater Institute – on behalf of Arizona state candidates who rejected public funds and argued that the provision infringed on their freedom of speech by compelling them to spend less money to avoid triggering the additional funds.Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, agreed, writing: “We hold that Arizona’s matching funds scheme substantially burdens protected political speech without serving a compelling state interest and therefore violates the First Amendment.” In the dissent, however, Justice Elena Kagan wrote that the plaintiff candidates “are making a novel argument: that Arizona violated their First Amendment rights by disbursing funds to other speakers even though they could have received (but chose to spurn) the same financial assistance. Some people might call that chutzpah.”Advocates for strict campaign finance rules, many of whom filed briefs defending the law, blasted the decision as empowering special interests. But they also stressed that it did not rule unconstitutional public financing regimes, in general, and, in fact, left room for them to push long-shot proposals in Congress to overhaul the presidential system and to enact a congressional public financing system.Collective Bargaining in WisconsinThe Wisconsin State Supreme Court ordered the reinstatement of Gov. Scott Walker’s (R) controversial plan to end most collective bargaining for tens of thousands of public workers. The court found that a committee of lawmakers was not subject to the state’s open meetings law, and so did not violate that law when it hastily approved the collective bargaining measure in March and made it possible for the Senate to take it up. In doing so, the Supreme Court overruled a Dane County judge who had halted the legislation, ending one challenge to the law even as new challenges are likely to emerge.Republicans praised the majority decision, but Democrats decried the Supreme Court decision for finding lawmakers do not have to follow the open meetings law. They said they would move to amend the state constitution to make them subject to the meetings law, a process that would take years and be difficult to start while they remain in the minority.In February, Walker proposed eliminating most collective bargaining for public workers except police, firefighters and State Patrol troopers. The day the Senate was to take up the bill, the Democrats prevented action on the bill by fleeing the state. Under the state constitution, at least 20 senators had to be present to pass the measure because it included fiscal elements- Republicans hold just 19 seats. After three weeks, Republicans stripped out the parts of bill that were considered “fiscal”, passed the legislation and Walker signed it. The Democratic Dane County District Attorney filed a court complaint alleging the committee violated the open meetings law since it needed to give 24 hours’ notice before meeting and had to allow more people into the room. So, the Court majority found lawmakers must obey the state constitution, but not the open meetings law, which spells out when meeting notices must be published and when public entities can meet in closed session.] [image: 1. Tax Increases v. Closing Tax Loopholes A bit more information has surfaced over the last few days detailing the exact state of the budget negotiations when they collapsed. Both sides, as they often said, were shooting for about $2.4 trillion in deficit reduction over 10 years. They'd already agreed on around $1 trillion in spending cuts and were making good progress on the rest of it. But Democrats insisted that $400 billion -- roughly 17 percent -- of the package be tax increases. And that's when Republicans walked. Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ), the No. 2 Republican in the Senate, left room for maneuver on raising revenue in ways that might not be defined as a tax increase. Proposed ways to reduce the US budget deficit include ending tax breaks for ethanol producers or other energy companies, and revising tax deductions for corporate jets. Some call those steps tax increases, while others describe them as closing tax loopholes.Earlier talks have focused on areas of easier agreement, including cuts to farm subsidies and possible reductions in retirement benefits to federal workers. Democrats are continuing to press for higher tax revenue. Republicans insist that spending cuts must exceed any increase in the debt ceiling. Many members of their party were elected last year on a pledge to force dramatic spending cuts. Republicans have insisted they won’t approve any tax increases. Still, Democrats say there is increased hope for a deal on revenue after a June 16 Senate vote in which 33 Republicans voted with Democrats in favor of eliminating a tax credit and a tariff that subsidize ethanol production.The targeting of long-protected tax breaks — for ethanol, research and development, manufacturing and foreign company income — is a sign that key House Republicans are ready to break with the orthodoxy of past tax debates while ditching special interests that have long held sway in tax reform discussions. In going after some of these tax credits, Republicans on the House Ways and Means Committee are proposing a trade-off by lowering corporate and individual tax breaks. And while Republicans would like to keep tax reform discussions separate from the deficit reduction talks, the negotiators may still discuss closing certain tax loopholes.If Republicans have successfully redefined tax increases as "new revenues that come from higher marginal rates" but not "new revenues that come from cutting tax breaks and closing loopholes," that opens up a lot of space for compromise. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, told reporters “We are not opposed to revenues. We are just opposed to tax increases." Coming on the heels of the consequential votes Senate Republicans cast against ethanol subsidies -- and for more revenues -- that's an important statement.There is some skepticism. Not of the fact that Republicans are increasingly interested in ridding the code of some special-interest tax breaks, but if they are ready to raise serious amounts of revenue by going after the big tax breaks, and therefore the sources of big revenue. According to the Tax Policy Center, the largest tax expenditures, in order, are the breaks for employer-provided health care, pension contributions, mortgage interest, depreciation of capital equipment, state and local tax payments, and charitable contributions- all of which are tax preferences for the middle class.So far, the discussion over raising revenues by cleaning out the code has used comfortably vague language about "tax breaks" and "loopholes" and "expenditures." But to see serious money from this effort, these are the sorts of breaks, loopholes and expenditures that they will have to go after. At this point, Republicans are looking at some green energy subsides they don't like and Democrats have mostly been talking about some fossil-fuel subsidies they don't like. But getting rid of subsidies for ethanol and oil and gas manufacturers will not do much for the deficit. And as of yet, no one has really been talking about the big tax breaks that will actually generate the big revenue.The President is meeting with Congressional leaders from both parties this week to try to obtain a deficit-reduction package from Congress in exchange for legislation to increase the country's borrowing limit from $14.2 trillion. Congress has until August 2 to increase the debt ceiling or risk a default that would agitate world markets. 2. Financial ShortsSEC’s New Hedge Fund RulesThe SEC has adopted new rules in which hedge fund and private equity funds that manage more than $150 million will have to register with the SEC as well as turn over crucial information, including the size of the funds they oversee, information about their investors and the names of their auditors and marketers. Some 750 hedge fund and private equity fund managers will face the new requirements, which take effect in March 2012. Managers of these private funds have been able to avoid registering with the SEC under a rule that exempts advisers with fewer than 15 clients, because each fund counted as a single client, even if it had scores of investors. Many funds are already making voluntary disclosures to the SEC.The rules come with some exceptions. For example, they do not apply to venture capital funds and hedge funds that manage less than $150 million. Venture funds can also invest up to 20 percent of their money in investments that don’t fit the description of venture capital and still qualify for lighter regulation. Also beyond the reach of the new regulations are family offices. To separate them from money managers that serve unrelated clients, the SEC had to define “family,” settling on a definition of all lineal descendants of a common ancestor no more than 10 generations in the past. Still, the exempt funds will have to file periodic reports that lay out basic information, like the name of their owner, potential conflicts of interest and disciplinary problems.The SEC split 3 to 2 on the key vote, with two Republican commissioners opposing the measure. They argued that the SEC went further than it should have by requiring some disclosures from fund managers that, under the law, it could have exempted from the new requirements. It remains unclear how much the SEC will be able to do with its new regulatory authority. Agency leaders have said the SEC’s budget has not kept pace with its growing responsibilities. But many hedge funds that previously reported to the SEC — an estimated 3,200 of the 11,500 now registered with the agency — will in the future become the responsibility of state regulators.An Adjusted Dismal Economic OutlookThe economic recovery is slowing and the outlook for next year has gotten worse, according to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, backing away from the view that the slowdown of the past few months was merely temporary. The central bank released new economic projections that showed weaker growth in both 2011 and 2012 than had been forecast just two months ago. Despite the slowdown, the Fed said it will end a program of buying vast sums of Treasury bonds (QE2) at the end of June as scheduled and gave no sign it is contemplating new action. The Fed left its policy of ultra-low interest rates unchanged and will continue to hold massive amounts of securities in a bid to foster growth. Bernanke said the Fed had no solid answers as to why, two years into an economic recovery, growth keeps disappointing. He suggested that problems in the financial sector and the housing market, and with consumers trying to pay down their debt, had been underestimated.The central bank’s new economic projections show how quickly the nation’s economic outlook has deteriorated since the last Fed projections were made in April. Fed officials now project GDP will rise 2.7 to 2.9 percent this year, which is too slow to put Americans back to work in any large numbers. Two months ago, they thought growth would be just over 3 percent. In January, they saw growth approaching 4 percent. That weaker 2011 growth is driven in part by temporary factors such as the run-up in oil prices over the first few months of the year and the supply disruptions caused by the Japanese earthquake. However, the adjustments the Fed made to its 2012 forecast show that the leaders of the central bank see a longer-lasting malaise.Bernanke did give a bit of new clarity on what the Fed would do if the situation worsened — if the economy seemed to be falling back into recession or if deflation became a risk. He mentioned several possible steps: making more purchases of securities, which would expand the money supply and put downward pressure on interest rates; cutting an interest rate that banks are paid for money they park at the Fed; or giving more specific promises for how long the Fed will keep its target interest low and its big balance sheet in place.3. Political ShortsAnother Campaign Finance RulingThe Supreme Court issued a 5-4 decision striking down part of an Arizona law providing public funds for campaigns. In the case, Arizona Free Enterprise Club’s Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett, the court struck down a provision in the Arizona law that provided additional funds to publicly funded candidates running against opponents who outspend them outside the system. Advocates for reducing the role of money in politics, feared that the high court, which has in the past issued sweeping rulings striking down campaign finance restrictions as violations of free speech, would use the case to rule broadly on the constitutionality of programs that provide public money to candidates. The ruling appears unlikely to impact the federal presidential public financing system, which lacks such a provision, but also has fallen out of favor since Barack Obama in 2008 declined to participate while raising a record-shattering $750 million for his campaign.The Arizona case was brought by a pair of small government groups – the Washington-based Institute for Justice and the Phoenix-based Goldwater Institute – on behalf of Arizona state candidates who rejected public funds and argued that the provision infringed on their freedom of speech by compelling them to spend less money to avoid triggering the additional funds.Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, agreed, writing: “We hold that Arizona’s matching funds scheme substantially burdens protected political speech without serving a compelling state interest and therefore violates the First Amendment.” In the dissent, however, Justice Elena Kagan wrote that the plaintiff candidates “are making a novel argument: that Arizona violated their First Amendment rights by disbursing funds to other speakers even though they could have received (but chose to spurn) the same financial assistance. Some people might call that chutzpah.”Advocates for strict campaign finance rules, many of whom filed briefs defending the law, blasted the decision as empowering special interests. But they also stressed that it did not rule unconstitutional public financing regimes, in general, and, in fact, left room for them to push long-shot proposals in Congress to overhaul the presidential system and to enact a congressional public financing system.Collective Bargaining in WisconsinThe Wisconsin State Supreme Court ordered the reinstatement of Gov. Scott Walker’s (R) controversial plan to end most collective bargaining for tens of thousands of public workers. The court found that a committee of lawmakers was not subject to the state’s open meetings law, and so did not violate that law when it hastily approved the collective bargaining measure in March and made it possible for the Senate to take it up. In doing so, the Supreme Court overruled a Dane County judge who had halted the legislation, ending one challenge to the law even as new challenges are likely to emerge.Republicans praised the majority decision, but Democrats decried the Supreme Court decision for finding lawmakers do not have to follow the open meetings law. They said they would move to amend the state constitution to make them subject to the meetings law, a process that would take years and be difficult to start while they remain in the minority.In February, Walker proposed eliminating most collective bargaining for public workers except police, firefighters and State Patrol troopers. The day the Senate was to take up the bill, the Democrats prevented action on the bill by fleeing the state. Under the state constitution, at least 20 senators had to be present to pass the measure because it included fiscal elements- Republicans hold just 19 seats. After three weeks, Republicans stripped out the parts of bill that were considered “fiscal”, passed the legislation and Walker signed it. The Democratic Dane County District Attorney filed a court complaint alleging the committee violated the open meetings law since it needed to give 24 hours’ notice before meeting and had to allow more people into the room. So, the Court majority found lawmakers must obey the state constitution, but not the open meetings law, which spells out when meeting notices must be published and when public entities can meet in closed session.] [image: 1. Tax Increases v. Closing Tax Loopholes A bit more information has surfaced over the last few days detailing the exact state of the budget negotiations when they collapsed. Both sides, as they often said, were shooting for about $2.4 trillion in deficit reduction over 10 years. They'd already agreed on around $1 trillion in spending cuts and were making good progress on the rest of it. But Democrats insisted that $400 billion -- roughly 17 percent -- of the package be tax increases. And that's when Republicans walked. Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ), the No. 2 Republican in the Senate, left room for maneuver on raising revenue in ways that might not be defined as a tax increase. Proposed ways to reduce the US budget deficit include ending tax breaks for ethanol producers or other energy companies, and revising tax deductions for corporate jets. Some call those steps tax increases, while others describe them as closing tax loopholes.Earlier talks have focused on areas of easier agreement, including cuts to farm subsidies and possible reductions in retirement benefits to federal workers. Democrats are continuing to press for higher tax revenue. Republicans insist that spending cuts must exceed any increase in the debt ceiling. Many members of their party were elected last year on a pledge to force dramatic spending cuts. Republicans have insisted they won’t approve any tax increases. Still, Democrats say there is increased hope for a deal on revenue after a June 16 Senate vote in which 33 Republicans voted with Democrats in favor of eliminating a tax credit and a tariff that subsidize ethanol production.The targeting of long-protected tax breaks — for ethanol, research and development, manufacturing and foreign company income — is a sign that key House Republicans are ready to break with the orthodoxy of past tax debates while ditching special interests that have long held sway in tax reform discussions. In going after some of these tax credits, Republicans on the House Ways and Means Committee are proposing a trade-off by lowering corporate and individual tax breaks. And while Republicans would like to keep tax reform discussions separate from the deficit reduction talks, the negotiators may still discuss closing certain tax loopholes.If Republicans have successfully redefined tax increases as "new revenues that come from higher marginal rates" but not "new revenues that come from cutting tax breaks and closing loopholes," that opens up a lot of space for compromise. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, told reporters “We are not opposed to revenues. We are just opposed to tax increases." Coming on the heels of the consequential votes Senate Republicans cast against ethanol subsidies -- and for more revenues -- that's an important statement.There is some skepticism. Not of the fact that Republicans are increasingly interested in ridding the code of some special-interest tax breaks, but if they are ready to raise serious amounts of revenue by going after the big tax breaks, and therefore the sources of big revenue. According to the Tax Policy Center, the largest tax expenditures, in order, are the breaks for employer-provided health care, pension contributions, mortgage interest, depreciation of capital equipment, state and local tax payments, and charitable contributions- all of which are tax preferences for the middle class.So far, the discussion over raising revenues by cleaning out the code has used comfortably vague language about "tax breaks" and "loopholes" and "expenditures." But to see serious money from this effort, these are the sorts of breaks, loopholes and expenditures that they will have to go after. At this point, Republicans are looking at some green energy subsides they don't like and Democrats have mostly been talking about some fossil-fuel subsidies they don't like. But getting rid of subsidies for ethanol and oil and gas manufacturers will not do much for the deficit. And as of yet, no one has really been talking about the big tax breaks that will actually generate the big revenue.The President is meeting with Congressional leaders from both parties this week to try to obtain a deficit-reduction package from Congress in exchange for legislation to increase the country's borrowing limit from $14.2 trillion. Congress has until August 2 to increase the debt ceiling or risk a default that would agitate world markets. 2. Financial ShortsSEC’s New Hedge Fund RulesThe SEC has adopted new rules in which hedge fund and private equity funds that manage more than $150 million will have to register with the SEC as well as turn over crucial information, including the size of the funds they oversee, information about their investors and the names of their auditors and marketers. Some 750 hedge fund and private equity fund managers will face the new requirements, which take effect in March 2012. Managers of these private funds have been able to avoid registering with the SEC under a rule that exempts advisers with fewer than 15 clients, because each fund counted as a single client, even if it had scores of investors. Many funds are already making voluntary disclosures to the SEC.The rules come with some exceptions. For example, they do not apply to venture capital funds and hedge funds that manage less than $150 million. Venture funds can also invest up to 20 percent of their money in investments that don’t fit the description of venture capital and still qualify for lighter regulation. Also beyond the reach of the new regulations are family offices. To separate them from money managers that serve unrelated clients, the SEC had to define “family,” settling on a definition of all lineal descendants of a common ancestor no more than 10 generations in the past. Still, the exempt funds will have to file periodic reports that lay out basic information, like the name of their owner, potential conflicts of interest and disciplinary problems.The SEC split 3 to 2 on the key vote, with two Republican commissioners opposing the measure. They argued that the SEC went further than it should have by requiring some disclosures from fund managers that, under the law, it could have exempted from the new requirements. It remains unclear how much the SEC will be able to do with its new regulatory authority. Agency leaders have said the SEC’s budget has not kept pace with its growing responsibilities. But many hedge funds that previously reported to the SEC — an estimated 3,200 of the 11,500 now registered with the agency — will in the future become the responsibility of state regulators.An Adjusted Dismal Economic OutlookThe economic recovery is slowing and the outlook for next year has gotten worse, according to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, backing away from the view that the slowdown of the past few months was merely temporary. The central bank released new economic projections that showed weaker growth in both 2011 and 2012 than had been forecast just two months ago. Despite the slowdown, the Fed said it will end a program of buying vast sums of Treasury bonds (QE2) at the end of June as scheduled and gave no sign it is contemplating new action. The Fed left its policy of ultra-low interest rates unchanged and will continue to hold massive amounts of securities in a bid to foster growth. Bernanke said the Fed had no solid answers as to why, two years into an economic recovery, growth keeps disappointing. He suggested that problems in the financial sector and the housing market, and with consumers trying to pay down their debt, had been underestimated.The central bank’s new economic projections show how quickly the nation’s economic outlook has deteriorated since the last Fed projections were made in April. Fed officials now project GDP will rise 2.7 to 2.9 percent this year, which is too slow to put Americans back to work in any large numbers. Two months ago, they thought growth would be just over 3 percent. In January, they saw growth approaching 4 percent. That weaker 2011 growth is driven in part by temporary factors such as the run-up in oil prices over the first few months of the year and the supply disruptions caused by the Japanese earthquake. However, the adjustments the Fed made to its 2012 forecast show that the leaders of the central bank see a longer-lasting malaise.Bernanke did give a bit of new clarity on what the Fed would do if the situation worsened — if the economy seemed to be falling back into recession or if deflation became a risk. He mentioned several possible steps: making more purchases of securities, which would expand the money supply and put downward pressure on interest rates; cutting an interest rate that banks are paid for money they park at the Fed; or giving more specific promises for how long the Fed will keep its target interest low and its big balance sheet in place.3. Political ShortsAnother Campaign Finance RulingThe Supreme Court issued a 5-4 decision striking down part of an Arizona law providing public funds for campaigns. In the case, Arizona Free Enterprise Club’s Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett, the court struck down a provision in the Arizona law that provided additional funds to publicly funded candidates running against opponents who outspend them outside the system. Advocates for reducing the role of money in politics, feared that the high court, which has in the past issued sweeping rulings striking down campaign finance restrictions as violations of free speech, would use the case to rule broadly on the constitutionality of programs that provide public money to candidates. The ruling appears unlikely to impact the federal presidential public financing system, which lacks such a provision, but also has fallen out of favor since Barack Obama in 2008 declined to participate while raising a record-shattering $750 million for his campaign.The Arizona case was brought by a pair of small government groups – the Washington-based Institute for Justice and the Phoenix-based Goldwater Institute – on behalf of Arizona state candidates who rejected public funds and argued that the provision infringed on their freedom of speech by compelling them to spend less money to avoid triggering the additional funds.Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, agreed, writing: “We hold that Arizona’s matching funds scheme substantially burdens protected political speech without serving a compelling state interest and therefore violates the First Amendment.” In the dissent, however, Justice Elena Kagan wrote that the plaintiff candidates “are making a novel argument: that Arizona violated their First Amendment rights by disbursing funds to other speakers even though they could have received (but chose to spurn) the same financial assistance. Some people might call that chutzpah.”Advocates for strict campaign finance rules, many of whom filed briefs defending the law, blasted the decision as empowering special interests. But they also stressed that it did not rule unconstitutional public financing regimes, in general, and, in fact, left room for them to push long-shot proposals in Congress to overhaul the presidential system and to enact a congressional public financing system.Collective Bargaining in WisconsinThe Wisconsin State Supreme Court ordered the reinstatement of Gov. Scott Walker’s (R) controversial plan to end most collective bargaining for tens of thousands of public workers. The court found that a committee of lawmakers was not subject to the state’s open meetings law, and so did not violate that law when it hastily approved the collective bargaining measure in March and made it possible for the Senate to take it up. In doing so, the Supreme Court overruled a Dane County judge who had halted the legislation, ending one challenge to the law even as new challenges are likely to emerge.Republicans praised the majority decision, but Democrats decried the Supreme Court decision for finding lawmakers do not have to follow the open meetings law. They said they would move to amend the state constitution to make them subject to the meetings law, a process that would take years and be difficult to start while they remain in the minority.In February, Walker proposed eliminating most collective bargaining for public workers except police, firefighters and State Patrol troopers. The day the Senate was to take up the bill, the Democrats prevented action on the bill by fleeing the state. Under the state constitution, at least 20 senators had to be present to pass the measure because it included fiscal elements- Republicans hold just 19 seats. After three weeks, Republicans stripped out the parts of bill that were considered “fiscal”, passed the legislation and Walker signed it. The Democratic Dane County District Attorney filed a court complaint alleging the committee violated the open meetings law since it needed to give 24 hours’ notice before meeting and had to allow more people into the room. So, the Court majority found lawmakers must obey the state constitution, but not the open meetings law, which spells out when meeting notices must be published and when public entities can meet in closed session.] [image: 1. Tax Increases v. Closing Tax Loopholes A bit more information has surfaced over the last few days detailing the exact state of the budget negotiations when they collapsed. Both sides, as they often said, were shooting for about $2.4 trillion in deficit reduction over 10 years. They'd already agreed on around $1 trillion in spending cuts and were making good progress on the rest of it. But Democrats insisted that $400 billion -- roughly 17 percent -- of the package be tax increases. And that's when Republicans walked. Senator Jon Kyl (R-AZ), the No. 2 Republican in the Senate, left room for maneuver on raising revenue in ways that might not be defined as a tax increase. Proposed ways to reduce the US budget deficit include ending tax breaks for ethanol producers or other energy companies, and revising tax deductions for corporate jets. Some call those steps tax increases, while others describe them as closing tax loopholes.Earlier talks have focused on areas of easier agreement, including cuts to farm subsidies and possible reductions in retirement benefits to federal workers. Democrats are continuing to press for higher tax revenue. Republicans insist that spending cuts must exceed any increase in the debt ceiling. Many members of their party were elected last year on a pledge to force dramatic spending cuts. Republicans have insisted they won’t approve any tax increases. Still, Democrats say there is increased hope for a deal on revenue after a June 16 Senate vote in which 33 Republicans voted with Democrats in favor of eliminating a tax credit and a tariff that subsidize ethanol production.The targeting of long-protected tax breaks — for ethanol, research and development, manufacturing and foreign company income — is a sign that key House Republicans are ready to break with the orthodoxy of past tax debates while ditching special interests that have long held sway in tax reform discussions. In going after some of these tax credits, Republicans on the House Ways and Means Committee are proposing a trade-off by lowering corporate and individual tax breaks. And while Republicans would like to keep tax reform discussions separate from the deficit reduction talks, the negotiators may still discuss closing certain tax loopholes.If Republicans have successfully redefined tax increases as "new revenues that come from higher marginal rates" but not "new revenues that come from cutting tax breaks and closing loopholes," that opens up a lot of space for compromise. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, told reporters “We are not opposed to revenues. We are just opposed to tax increases." Coming on the heels of the consequential votes Senate Republicans cast against ethanol subsidies -- and for more revenues -- that's an important statement.There is some skepticism. Not of the fact that Republicans are increasingly interested in ridding the code of some special-interest tax breaks, but if they are ready to raise serious amounts of revenue by going after the big tax breaks, and therefore the sources of big revenue. According to the Tax Policy Center, the largest tax expenditures, in order, are the breaks for employer-provided health care, pension contributions, mortgage interest, depreciation of capital equipment, state and local tax payments, and charitable contributions- all of which are tax preferences for the middle class.So far, the discussion over raising revenues by cleaning out the code has used comfortably vague language about "tax breaks" and "loopholes" and "expenditures." But to see serious money from this effort, these are the sorts of breaks, loopholes and expenditures that they will have to go after. At this point, Republicans are looking at some green energy subsides they don't like and Democrats have mostly been talking about some fossil-fuel subsidies they don't like. But getting rid of subsidies for ethanol and oil and gas manufacturers will not do much for the deficit. And as of yet, no one has really been talking about the big tax breaks that will actually generate the big revenue.The President is meeting with Congressional leaders from both parties this week to try to obtain a deficit-reduction package from Congress in exchange for legislation to increase the country's borrowing limit from $14.2 trillion. Congress has until August 2 to increase the debt ceiling or risk a default that would agitate world markets. 2. Financial ShortsSEC’s New Hedge Fund RulesThe SEC has adopted new rules in which hedge fund and private equity funds that manage more than $150 million will have to register with the SEC as well as turn over crucial information, including the size of the funds they oversee, information about their investors and the names of their auditors and marketers. Some 750 hedge fund and private equity fund managers will face the new requirements, which take effect in March 2012. Managers of these private funds have been able to avoid registering with the SEC under a rule that exempts advisers with fewer than 15 clients, because each fund counted as a single client, even if it had scores of investors. Many funds are already making voluntary disclosures to the SEC.The rules come with some exceptions. For example, they do not apply to venture capital funds and hedge funds that manage less than $150 million. Venture funds can also invest up to 20 percent of their money in investments that don’t fit the description of venture capital and still qualify for lighter regulation. Also beyond the reach of the new regulations are family offices. To separate them from money managers that serve unrelated clients, the SEC had to define “family,” settling on a definition of all lineal descendants of a common ancestor no more than 10 generations in the past. Still, the exempt funds will have to file periodic reports that lay out basic information, like the name of their owner, potential conflicts of interest and disciplinary problems.The SEC split 3 to 2 on the key vote, with two Republican commissioners opposing the measure. They argued that the SEC went further than it should have by requiring some disclosures from fund managers that, under the law, it could have exempted from the new requirements. It remains unclear how much the SEC will be able to do with its new regulatory authority. Agency leaders have said the SEC’s budget has not kept pace with its growing responsibilities. But many hedge funds that previously reported to the SEC — an estimated 3,200 of the 11,500 now registered with the agency — will in the future become the responsibility of state regulators.An Adjusted Dismal Economic OutlookThe economic recovery is slowing and the outlook for next year has gotten worse, according to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, backing away from the view that the slowdown of the past few months was merely temporary. The central bank released new economic projections that showed weaker growth in both 2011 and 2012 than had been forecast just two months ago. Despite the slowdown, the Fed said it will end a program of buying vast sums of Treasury bonds (QE2) at the end of June as scheduled and gave no sign it is contemplating new action. The Fed left its policy of ultra-low interest rates unchanged and will continue to hold massive amounts of securities in a bid to foster growth. Bernanke said the Fed had no solid answers as to why, two years into an economic recovery, growth keeps disappointing. He suggested that problems in the financial sector and the housing market, and with consumers trying to pay down their debt, had been underestimated.The central bank’s new economic projections show how quickly the nation’s economic outlook has deteriorated since the last Fed projections were made in April. Fed officials now project GDP will rise 2.7 to 2.9 percent this year, which is too slow to put Americans back to work in any large numbers. Two months ago, they thought growth would be just over 3 percent. In January, they saw growth approaching 4 percent. That weaker 2011 growth is driven in part by temporary factors such as the run-up in oil prices over the first few months of the year and the supply disruptions caused by the Japanese earthquake. However, the adjustments the Fed made to its 2012 forecast show that the leaders of the central bank see a longer-lasting malaise.Bernanke did give a bit of new clarity on what the Fed would do if the situation worsened — if the economy seemed to be falling back into recession or if deflation became a risk. He mentioned several possible steps: making more purchases of securities, which would expand the money supply and put downward pressure on interest rates; cutting an interest rate that banks are paid for money they park at the Fed; or giving more specific promises for how long the Fed will keep its target interest low and its big balance sheet in place.3. Political ShortsAnother Campaign Finance RulingThe Supreme Court issued a 5-4 decision striking down part of an Arizona law providing public funds for campaigns. In the case, Arizona Free Enterprise Club’s Freedom Club PAC v. Bennett, the court struck down a provision in the Arizona law that provided additional funds to publicly funded candidates running against opponents who outspend them outside the system. Advocates for reducing the role of money in politics, feared that the high court, which has in the past issued sweeping rulings striking down campaign finance restrictions as violations of free speech, would use the case to rule broadly on the constitutionality of programs that provide public money to candidates. The ruling appears unlikely to impact the federal presidential public financing system, which lacks such a provision, but also has fallen out of favor since Barack Obama in 2008 declined to participate while raising a record-shattering $750 million for his campaign.The Arizona case was brought by a pair of small government groups – the Washington-based Institute for Justice and the Phoenix-based Goldwater Institute – on behalf of Arizona state candidates who rejected public funds and argued that the provision infringed on their freedom of speech by compelling them to spend less money to avoid triggering the additional funds.Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, agreed, writing: “We hold that Arizona’s matching funds scheme substantially burdens protected political speech without serving a compelling state interest and therefore violates the First Amendment.” In the dissent, however, Justice Elena Kagan wrote that the plaintiff candidates “are making a novel argument: that Arizona violated their First Amendment rights by disbursing funds to other speakers even though they could have received (but chose to spurn) the same financial assistance. Some people might call that chutzpah.”Advocates for strict campaign finance rules, many of whom filed briefs defending the law, blasted the decision as empowering special interests. But they also stressed that it did not rule unconstitutional public financing regimes, in general, and, in fact, left room for them to push long-shot proposals in Congress to overhaul the presidential system and to enact a congressional public financing system.Collective Bargaining in WisconsinThe Wisconsin State Supreme Court ordered the reinstatement of Gov. Scott Walker’s (R) controversial plan to end most collective bargaining for tens of thousands of public workers. The court found that a committee of lawmakers was not subject to the state’s open meetings law, and so did not violate that law when it hastily approved the collective bargaining measure in March and made it possible for the Senate to take it up. In doing so, the Supreme Court overruled a Dane County judge who had halted the legislation, ending one challenge to the law even as new challenges are li
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