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The Evening CSIS: Growing Threats, Countering NATO, Welcome to NOLA & More
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Good Evening,

Welcome to The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please send me an email at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) .


** Growing Threats
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Exclusive footage (http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/may/04/charles-keating-iv-navy-seal-isis-battle-video?CMP=share_btn_tw) obtained by the Guardian shows the firefight between US Special Forces, Kurdish commandos, and ISIS fighters, in which Navy SEAL Charles Keating IV died. The footage, shot on a cellphone underscores the extent to which the US military is engaged in intense fighting in Iraq.

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Mark Cancian today released a new report: U.S. Military Forces in FY 2017: Stable Plans, Disruptive Threats, and Strategic Inflection Points (http://defense360.csis.org/u-s-military-forces-fy-2017/) .

For the latest CSIS defense analysis, visit our micro-website Defense 360 (http://defense360.csis.org/) .


** Aleppo Intensity
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Dozens of people were killed in an intense day-long battle between Syrian rebels and government forces in western Aleppo, which continued intermittently today. But after days of fighting, the US and Russia announced a new cessation of hostilities agreement for Aleppo, as Foreign Policy’s John Hudson and Colum Lynch report (http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/05/04/u-s-and-russia-forge-deal-on-ceasefire-in-aleppo/) .

Dive Deeper: The new Chatham House interactive report, “Syria and Its Neighbors (https://syria.chathamhouse.org/) ,” is an excellent resource for understanding the strain placed not only on Syria, but the entire region.


** Countering NATO
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Russia is creating three new divisions to counter NATO’s planned expansion along its eastern flank, Russian defense minister Sergei Shoigu said today, as the Wall Street Journal’s Thomas Grove reports (http:// http://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-says-it-is-creating-three-new-divisions-to-counter-nato-moves-1462360562) .

Dive Deeper: Read the CSIS commentary “NATO Needs Deterrence and Dialogue: Defining the New Balance in View of the Warsaw Summit (https://csis.org/publication/nato-needs-deterrence-and-dialogue-defining-new-balance-view-warsaw-summit) ” by Jeffrey Rathke of CSIS and Claudia Major of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs.


** In that Number
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** 308
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The US Navy’s force size will reach 308 ships in 2021. Source: CSIS’s Mark Cancian (http://defense360.csis.org/u-s-military-forces-fy-2017/) .


** Critical Quote
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** “But it is becoming increasingly clear that the status quo likely is not sustainable, and unexpected changes—including sudden regime collapse or a coup—cannot be ruled out.
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—Wendy R. Sherman, senior counselor, Albright Stonebridge Group, and former US undersecretary of state for political affairs, delivered a speech on North Korea at CSIS yesterday (http://csis.org/publication/may-2016-joongang-ilbo-csis-forum-luncheon-address-honorable-wendy-r-sherman) .


** One to Watch
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(Photo Credit: Twitter.)
Amanda Wills (@AmandaWills (https://twitter.com/AmandaWills) ) is joining CNN as senior editor on their digital news desk. Amanda previously served as the deputy executive editor of Mashable and as a contributing writer at HGTV. For innovative digital news, Amanda is one to watch.


** Optics
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(KHALIL MAZRAAWI/AFP/Getty Images.)
A Syrian refugee woman walks holding a baby between members of the Jordanian army as she waits to cross to the Jordanian side of the Hadalat border crossing, a military zone east of the capital Amman, after arriving from Syria on May 4, 2016.


** Highly Recommended
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“What books can learn from the Web/What the Web can learn from books (http://medium.stfi.re/@hughmcguire/what-books-can-learn-from-the-web-what-the-web-can-learn-from-books-64670171908f?sf=eagagw#.4fq9oi4ve) ” by Hugh McGuire.


** CSIS Today
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CSIS’s International Security Program hosted “Progress, Promise, and Challenges in U.S. Veterans’ Health Policy (http://csis.us11.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=aae7f45254&e=d556e146bd) ” with Secretary of Veterans Affairs Robert A. McDonald.

CSIS’s Energy and National Security Program hosted “Risk and Reform: An Outlook for Oil and Gas Exporting Countries (http://csis.us11.list-manage.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=428e6a92bf&e=d556e146bd) .”

And CSIS’s International Security Program hosted “Harbingers of Future War: Implications for the Army with Lieutenant General H.R. McMaster (http://csis.us11.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=f793d224ae&e=d556e146bd) .”


** CSIS Tomorrow
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Join CSIS’s Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. for “U.S. Nuclear Policy Post-2016 Conference (http://csis.org/event/us-nuclear-policy-post-2016-conference) .”

Join CSIS’s Middle East Program tomorrow at 10:00 a.m. for “The Middle East at an Inflection Point with Lisa Anderson (http://csis.org/event/middle-east-inflection-point-lisa-anderson) ,” who served as the president of the American University in Cairo from 2011 to 2016.

Next Tuesday, CSIS will host “Breaking ISIL’s Brand (http://csis.org/event/schieffer-series-breaking-isils-brand) ” with US under secretary of state for public diplomacy and public affairs Richard Stengel, CFR’s Farah Pandith, and the New York Times’s David Sanger.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join Georgetown University’s Center for Eurasian, Russian and East European Studies tomorrow at 12:00 p.m. for “Struggle for Security in Syria & the Greater Middle East: View from Russia (http://csis.us11.list-manage.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=b72264e971&e=d556e146bd) .”

Join Brookings tomorrow at 3:30 p.m. for “America’s place in the world (http://www.brookings.edu/events/2016/05/05-americas-place-in-the-world?rssid=UpcomingEvents&utm_source=feedblitz&utm_medium=FeedBlitzRss&utm_campaign=FeedBlitzRss&utm_content=America%E2%80%99s+place+in+the+world) .”


** CSIS on Demand
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Watch “Ebola in America: Epidemic of Fear (http://csis.us11.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=23eba1fd1c&e=d556e146bd) ,” a CSIS feature-length documentary film that tells the story of the 2014 Ebola outbreak’s effect on America, as well as the public health and government response.

The documentary features those at the heart of the response, some speaking publicly for the first time: Dr. Kent Brantly, the first American to return to the US to receive treatment for the disease; White House Ebola czar Ron Klain; CDC director Tom Frieden; and a host of others charged with dealing with Ebola in America.


** Sounds
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A must-listen podcast: “Zbigniew Brzezinski on Global Realignment (http://www.the-american-interest.com/podcast/episode-116-zbigniew-brzezinski-on-global-realignment/) ” via the American Interest.


** I Like It Like That
Eye-catching things in CSIS's orbit
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Twitter turns 10 years old on Monday. To celebrate, Twitter’s CEO appeared on the Today Show (http://csis.informz.net/z/cjUucD9taT01NDQ4NTEyJnA9MSZ1PTEwNjI1NTcxMTQmbGk9MzQxNDQ5NzU/index.html) this morning and told hosts Matt Lauer and Carson Daly that the 140-character limit is here to stay. #ILikeItLikeThat


** Smiles
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Since we’ve been talking about The Meters, New Orleans and the funk, I thought I might just provide one more little piece of video, just for smiles. This is drummer/vocalist Zig Modeliste and The Meters at their very best (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BdgIjNGI0yw) .


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org.


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CONNECT W/ H. ANDREW SCHWARTZ
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