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The Evening: China Trade Deals, International Hacking, Reggatta de Blanc and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Friday, May 12th.


** China Trade Deals
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The Trump administration has reached new deals with China to ease market access for a variety of industries, including beef and financial services, as the White House makes progress on trying to soften economic barriers between the two sides. The 10-part agreement, announced by Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross, comes as part of an ongoing negotiation between the two countries following a meeting between President Trump and President Xi Jinping last month, as the
Washington Post’s Damian Paletta and Simon Denyer report (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/05/11/trump-china-reach-preliminary-trade-agreements-on-beef-poultry/?utm_term=.ba6dd8b1ee78&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .

And see “Here's who wins with the new US-China trade deals (http://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/12/heres-who-wins-with-the-new-us-china-trade-deals.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) ” via CNBC’s Eunice Yoon.

Dive Deeper: See the Peterson Institute’s “The Payoff to America from Globalization: A Fresh Look with a Focus on Costs to Workers (https://piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/payoff-america-globalization-fresh-look-focus-costs-workers?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) ,” by Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Zhiyao (Lucy) Lu.


** Silk Road Summit
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The United States warned China today that North Korea's attendance at a weekend summit on China's new Silk Road could affect the participation of other countries, casting a shadow over what is Beijing's biggest diplomatic event of 2017, as Reuters’ Ben Blanchard and John Ruwitch report (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-silkroad-summit-northkorea-excl-idUSKBN188281?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s ChinaPower interactive feature “How will the Belt and Road Initiative advance China’s interests? (http://chinapower.csis.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) ”


** International Hacking
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Hackers responsible for the wave of cyber attacks that struck organizations across the globe on Friday, from the UK National Health Service to European telecoms company Telefónica, used cyber weapons stolen from the U.S. National Security Agency, the
Financial Times reported (https://www.ft.com/content/e96924f0-3722-11e7-99bd-13beb0903fa3?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) today.

And, the New York Times’ Russell Goldman has a report on the “ransomware” demanded by the hackers and “What We Know and Don’t Know About the International Cyberattack (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/12/world/europe/international-cyberattack-ransomware.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .”

Dive Deeper: A white paper from the cybersecurity firm Crypsis explains “ransomware” in “Targeted Ransomware: The Next Evolution in Cyber Extortion (http://www.crypsisgroup.com/images/site/CG_WhitePaper_Ransomware_FINAL.pdf?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .”


**
Russian Jet
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A Russian military jet "came within approximately 20 feet" of a U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon surveillance plane while it was flying in international airspace over the Black Sea earlier this week. The encounter occurred on Tuesday and was described by the U.S. Navy as "safe and professional,” as CNN reports (http://www.cnn.com/2017/05/12/politics/russian-jet-us-navy-surveillance-plane-encounter/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .

The Washington Post’s Dan Lamothe has more on this story (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2017/05/12/a-russian-jet-flew-within-20-feet-of-a-navy-surveillance-plane-the-pentagon-says-it-was-routine/?utm_term=.0ba5a154cc73&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** 85%
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The percent chance of a North Korean nuclear test or missile launch in the next 30 days. Source: CSIS Beyond Parallel and Predata (http://beyondparallel.csis.org/peaking-possibilities-of-may-north-korea-wmd-activity/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “This is a major challenge to the United States. If not through the TPP, we need to re-engage, to figure out another way to play in the Asia-Pacific arena.”
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—CSIS’s Matthew P. Goodman on China’s filling the void left by America’s retreat from the Asia Pacific. Source: Simon Denyer, Washington Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/as-us-retreats-in-the-asia-pacific-china-fills-the-void-with-an-ambitious-global-plan/2017/05/11/54771c0c-3593-11e7-ab03-aa29f656f13e_story.html?utm_term=.a75c56db7ddb&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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CSIS’s China Power Project and Reconnecting Asia Project have visualized China’s infrastructure projects and the Eurasian countries attending the May 14-15 Belt and Road Forum (http://chinapower.csis.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) in Beijing.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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(Army photo by Staff Sgt. Ken Scar)
Army ROTC cadets take the oath of office to become second lieutenants during a commissioning ceremony this week at Clemson University.


** Recommended Reading
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“Ahead of Trump’s Middle East tour, U.S. sells $2 billion worth of weapons to United Arab Emirates (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2017/05/12/ahead-of-trumps-middle-east-tour-u-s-sells-2-billion-worth-of-weapons-to-united-arab-emirates/?tid=sm_tw&utm_term=.955fa07fea36&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) ,” by the
Washington Post’s Missy Ryan.


** This Town Monday
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Join the Wilson Center at 3:00 p.m. for “Islam, Ritual, and the State in the Former Soviet Space (https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/islam-ritual-and-the-state-the-former-soviet-space?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .”


** On Demand
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In March, CSIS hosted “Cyber Disrupt 2017,” DC’s premier summit on cybersecurity. Thomas Bossert, assistant to the president for homeland security and counterterrorism, provided the keynote address. You can watch the event on demand here (https://www.csis.org/events/cyber-disrupt-2017?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) .


** Sounds
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“France’s ‘rock star’ president (http://www.wnyc.org/story/frances-rock-star-president?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) ,” via World Weekly with Gideon Rachman.


** Smiles
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When I think about the best music to head into the weekend…I often think of the energy (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OQGmaWYC4OE&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789) that The Police brought to every performance. Have a great weekend all.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=b8e455342b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-b8e455342b-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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