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=?utf-8?Q?POLITICO's_Morning_Score=2C_presented_by_MarketPredict:_What_to_?=
=?utf-8?Q?watch_for_on_Super_Tuesday_=E2=80=94_Iowa_House_primary_pits_San?=
=?utf-8?Q?ders_vs._EMILY's_List_vs._self-funder_=E2=80=94_Senate_Majority_?=
=?utf-8?Q?PAC_ad_hits_Braun=E2=80=99s_business_record_again?=
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2018-06-05 14:03:05
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By Elena Schneider | 06/05/2018 10:00 AM EDT With Zach Montellaro The following newsletter is an abridged version of Campaign Pro's Morning Score. For an earlier morning read on exponentially more races - and for a more comprehensive aggregation of the day's most important campaign news - sign up for Campaign Pro today. (http://www.politicopro.com/proinfo) WHAT TO WATCH - "The Super Tuesday of 2018 has arrived. Here's what you need to watch," by POLITICO's Steven Shepard, Elena Schneider, Carla Marinucci, David Siders: "Voters in eight states go to the polls today for the biggest single primary day of 2018. But the main event on this super Tuesday is in California. That's not just because California is the nation's largest state, home to 53 congressional districts, including some of the most competitive in the country. Tuesday's California primaries are potentially make-or-break contests for both parties." Breakdown: 1. Democratic lockouts. 2. 2016 re-runs. 3. Republicans grasp for statewide relevance. 4. How big is California's "blue wave?" 5. All you need is a little patience. 6. Can House Republicans break their losing streak? 7. Who will take on Jon Tester? 8. Will struggling liberals turn things around? 9. Martha Roby on red alert. Full story. DON'T FORGET ABOUT IOWA - "Iowa House primary pits Sanders vs. EMILY's List vs. self-funder," by Elena: "The primary race to take on Rep. David Young (R-Iowa) features all the tropes of 2018 Democratic candidates: a self-funding outsider, an EMILY's List endorsee with establishment backing, and a Bernie Sanders acolyte. But unlike a number of other Democratic primaries around the country, the race for the Des Moines-based seat has stayed 'relatively sleepy and quiet,' said Norm Sterzenbach, a Democratic consultant in the state. ... A poll conducted by The Des Moines Register in late May showed a tight race between [Eddie] Mauro and [Cindy] Axne, neither of whom are topping 35 percent. Mauro had 27 percent of the vote, followed by Axne with 26 percent. [Pete] D'Alessandro lagged further behind the other two with 11 percent support." Full story. - "Bernie vs. Hillary war fizzles in Iowa," by POLITICO's Edward-Isaac Dovere: "Democratic presidential wannabes, take note: Iowa politics looks nothing like it did just two years ago during the Hillary Clinton-Bernie Sanders smackdown. Ahead of Tuesday's Democratic primary for governor - the first and only statewide Democratic race before the 2020 caucuses - the Clinton-Sanders dynamic has been a non-factor. It's not that the dynamic isn't there: A pair of candidates in the crowded primary have aligned themselves with the 2016 presidential hopefuls who fought bitterly to a razor-thin Clinton win. But it's a wealthy, white 67-year old man with a long history in business and state politics who's expected to win. And even the gubernatorial contenders in the Clinton and Sanders molds say that the Democratic divide is so 2016." Full story. 'LAST MINUTE ENTRY' - "Ellison, DNC vice chairman, expected to run for Minnesota AG," by Isaac: "Rep. Keith Ellison (D-Minn.) is expected to make a last-minute entry into the race for Minnesota attorney general on Tuesday, according to two people familiar with his plans. 'I will make a decision tomorrow because it's the filing deadline,' Ellison said, not disputing that he is likely to enter the election. Ellison has been in Congress since 2007, and served as deputy chair of the DNC since last year, as a leader of the Bernie Sanders wing of the party. But he's been chafing for months at both roles: being in the minority in Congress and being subsumed to DNC Chairman Tom Perez, who beat him for the top job." Full story. FIRST IN SCORE - ON THE AIRWAVES - "Senate Majority PAC ad hits Braun's business record again," by Campaign Pro's James Arkin: "Senate Majority PAC is launching a new statewide TV ad in Indiana today attacking Republican Mike Braun over his business record. The ad is SMP's second of the cycle hitting Braun by highlighting details from an Associated Press report that showed his company, Meyer Distributing, took government subsidies, imported goods from overseas and faced lawsuits over working conditions." Full story. - Rauner pops Pritzker attack ad in Illinois governor's race: GOP Gov. Bruce Rauner released the first TV ad in the Illinois gubernatorial general election, attacking Democrat J.B. Pritzker for the "actual FBI wiretap of J.B. Pritzker and Rod Blagojevich." The ad shows Pritzker and Blagojevich laughing over saying, "God damn America." Watch the ad here. ICYMI - "'The race for governor has turned into a scam,'" by David in Los Angeles: "... [It] has devolved into a king-size flop. One day before the primary election here, the leading candidates sit largely indistinguishable on issues of substance, with little evidence of any intraparty, values-laden clash. Rather, election day will culminate a contest that has morphed into a bizarre exercise in gaming California's unusual, top-two primary system." Full story. Days until the 2018 election: 154 Upcoming election dates - June 5: Alabama, California, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota primaries - June 12: Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina and Virginia primaries. June 26: Colorado, Maryland, New York (congressional), Oklahoma and Utah primaries and Mississippi and South Carolina primary runoffs. Upcoming filing deadlines - Hawaii and Minnesota: June 5 - Connecticut: June 12. Thanks for joining us! You can email tips to the Campaign Pro team at sbland@politico.com, eschneider@politico.com, dstrauss@politico.com, mseverns@politico.com and jarkin@politico.com. You can also follow us on Twitter: @politicoscott, @ec_schneider, @danielstrauss4, @maggieseverns, @jamesarkin. Join the Global Public Affairs Club, a new global community dedicated to C-level public affairs professionals launched by POLITICO's sister company, DII. Members receive the GPAC weekly newsletter, including original reporting and analysis on new transparency standards, recent lobbying regulation, risk management and industry best practices. In addition, members have access to the Global Public Affairs Forum on Sept. 28 in Paris. For additional information on GPAC, email Chloé Mimault-Talagrand at cmimault@dii.eu. Join POLITICO Playbook Co-Authors Anna Palmer and Jake Sherman on Tuesday, June 12 at The D.C. Bar Headquarters, for a Playbook Interview featuring House Majority Whip Steve Scalise (R-La.). This conversation will provide intelligence and insight around Scalise's policy priorities and the Republican leadership agenda, along with politics and news of the day. Register today. 2020 WATCH - "Deval Patrick plans 2020 decision by end of the year," by POLITICO's Lauren Dezenski: "Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick is inching closer toward deciding on a 2020 presidential run. The former two-term Democrat plans to hit the campaign trail in a handful of races around the country this fall, which would 'help him sort it out by the end of the year,' said John Walsh, a close adviser who managed Patrick's 2006 insurgent gubernatorial campaign and later headed up his leadership PAC." Full story. ** A message from MarketPredict: Need live political data that is easy to understand and implement to help you win? With the launch of MarketPredict's live predictive modeling, data will be delivered to you when you need it. Covering Gubernatorial, Senate or Ballot and staffed with political-data and media experts to support your campaigns. Just consider us your extended team! info@market-predict.com | 202-408-2713 | Market-Predict.com ** ANOTHER CANDIDATE IN FLORIDA - "Billionaire Jeff Greene files to run for Florida governor," by POLITICO's Marc Caputo: "Palm Beach billionaire Jeff Greene has joined the crowded Democratic race for Florida governor, adding a new level of uncertainty to a wide-open and big-spending race. Greene, who unsuccessfully ran for U.S. Senate in 2010, filed his paperwork Friday after months of of behind-the-scenes discussions with consultants and no-so-subtle hints that he was considering joining the fray against former Miami Beach Mayor Phil Levine, former U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham, Orlando businessman Chris King and Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum." Full story. - And in Minnesota - AG Swanson jumps into governor's race: "Democratic Attorney General Lori Swanson announced her candidacy for governor of Minnesota [Monday]. The surprise announcement follows Swanson's failure to win a reelection endorsement from the Democratic Farmer-Labor Party at its state convention last weekend." Full story. FIRST IN SCORE - WEB WARS - The Tennessee Democratic Party is launching Google search ads attacking Rep. Marsha Blackburn, the state's Republican Senate candidate, by directing people to a microsite, marsha.foresale, where they highlight campaign donations and say she "sold out" to the opioid industry. - Giunchigliani releases ad on personal story: Nevada Democratic gubernatorial candidate Chris Giunchigliani revealed she was a victim of sexual abuse as a child in a new ad. "An eight year old girl was sexually abused for over a year. Her sister was kidnapped, held in a trailer and raped for three days. I'm Chris G and that eight year old girl was me. Now Steve Sisolak says I've let child molesters go free? It's untrue and it's offensive." Watch the ad here. ISSUE ADVOCACY - Koch network unleashes multimillion dollar trade blitz," via Campaign Pro's Maggie Severns: "The powerful network of outside groups founded by the Koch brothers is rolling out a multimillion dollar campaign promoting free trade, in the wake of new tariffs announced last week by the Trump administration. ... The campaign will include paid media, as well as lobbying and activist work, the Koch network said [Monday]. Three Koch network groups will participate in the drive: Freedom Partners, AFP and The LIBRE Initiative." Full story. POLLING DATA - "Grimm leads Donovan by 10 points in new NY1-Siena poll," by POLITICO's Laura Nahmias: "Former Rep. Michael Grimm is leading his Republican primary opponent, incumbent Dan Donovan, by 10 points in his hard-fought battle to win back his congressional seat, despite Donovan's recent endorsement by President Donald Trump. A new NY1/Siena poll shows Grimm winning against Donovan by 10 points, 47 to 37 percent in New York's 11th Congressional District." Full story. - PA-01 tight among likely voters, Monmouth poll finds: "A new Monmouth University poll found Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick with a 7-point lead over Democrat Scott Wallace among a wide sample of registered voters in Pennsylvania's 1st District, but the race is considerably tighter under a pair of different likely voter models. Fitzpatrick has 49 percent of the vote to Wallace's 42 percent among 'all potential voters,' which includes those who have voted since 2010 or are newly registered, while another 9 percent said they were undecided." Full story. GETTING THE NOD - Brady Campaign backs eight House challengers: Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence announced that it endorsed eight House candidates in competitive Democratic primaries, including Bryan Caforio (CA-25), Gil Cisneros (CA-39), Josh Harder (CA-10), Andy Kim (NJ-03), Dave Min (CA-45), Katie Porter (CA-45), Harley Rouda (CA-48) and Mikie Sherrill (NJ-11). STAFFING UP - For Our Future hires new state director: For Our Future and For Our Future Action Fund, a Democratic group, announced that it hired a new state director, Michelle White, who served as the executive director of the Nevada state Senate Democratic Caucus. CODA - QUOTE OF THE DAY: "I'll be thinking about a range of options for myself, from philanthropy to public service, but I'm a long way from knowing what the future holds." - Howard Schultz, eying a run at public office in 2020, steps down as CEO of Starbucks, POLITICO reported. ** A message from MarketPredict: MarketPredict provides a state-of-the-art way to optimize your media strategy. So what will you get? Our dashboards are interactive where you can adjust the outputs as you need to see them. Need to target females? Or just a 50+ demo? No Problem! We have you covered. Your dashboard will be focused on the three areas listed below (click links to see example): Media Optimization Recommendations: MarketPredict will focus your marketing where it will have the most impact on convertible voters. Program Ranker: Which programs should you be targeting? Station Ranker: Which stations should you be targeting? We can also do custom analyses upon request. Our most popular is what we're calling a 50+1 analysis, wherein we show how much money you need to raise to hit different levels of voter conversion using optimal media spends. We can also do crisis analysis where we show you the impact on vote share for major events like hurricanes or terrorist strikes. All this is value-add for our clients in Scripps markets! For those wanting a more robust approach covering all markets in a state, we offer competitive pricing and bulk purchase discounts! ** To view online: http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=63a3bc482cd705edac11635ac4a66e1e88f4770a5b3f1f7cb189fcf82a9dda75be3e587ae2427b10e5cfb0b84cddd47b To change your alert settings, please go to http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=63a3bc482cd705edbae2076e0727fb625ee5c023fad59d72bf0689468f9e411d2fbb010487edced6fab993de7c4f5079 or http://click.politicoemail.com/profile_center.aspx?qs=c1c81b2ef644fde1dd3c1f6178ef6a8ea3ee660992025bd4b60885aa3ecae2b41e9eebac3b193060ed8a75a9e60e51dab8b4675789419cbcc628e11689257784 This email was sent to Hbiden@rosemontseneca.com by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA To unsubscribe,https://www.politico.com/_unsubscribe?e=00000163-d040-db75-abfb-f7d667ba0000&u=0000014e-f0fe-dd93-ad7f-f8fffbc40000&s=592c01c57965a7e7d67d2a3b0cd3193941dc8dda75a31baf5597fd4426d204ead026902dac46cf2defe1f761f85667ff336b0e32be2aba427633e2cd950788a7
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