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per our convo yesterday:

Voters tend to think that the President can do a lot about gas prices. Angus
Reid found in 2006 and
2008<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXWKM6UISuoA0lRo3tVLhyr5rXETPkPU7V9kZQSdnGCH_MiuwaW0HG4BovoivlgO3JhTh_aGiTU002WRGtC6CVt3r6EbQyDS1eERFYserAZsYprMn5gNzxj80ZWVUGgbxuM4Qbo2iy9CByWBuS4-xgtBjBn_b-tI4zQ9bhRh21tD_BcIDtfhkXG_OPVZHgGTP8=>
that
more than 62% and 65% of voters respectively thought the president could do
a lot about gas prices, compared to 29% and 30% who thought it was beyond
his control. Gallup also found solid
majorities<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cVHdFM2auffw9RjzWUhHKDkPH8GwNu4RkRuujNQLdyXufdreFCHzhQjvpKKYlPDAwOmXqad9MyMa1k2NP4dZu2oab07Eu2AZbk16vc6ilzjNzGPaxx6276cOkQajIcQhdb2Xk80dqpLQ1yEHcGnlie6JdxXlmy3Ra71XZwtOB70XS7L-CDrCevC>
in
2001, 2006, and 2008 that said President Bush was not doing enough to solve
the country's energy problems-certainly bigger than just gas prices, but the
best public-polling proxy we have for them-and Gallup found in late
March<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXU9xRwOKDGNrzf49VDecD0XPWJ0tv_I7lcHrC_p4mbqJun5rkRo30NkzB0Co2wdW2fJpoph44sXX2bu13DldvoOCR9nhsKJRFuv5xd8KUn63Txzi_E2BO_7xVCbSaDvBaRyeCsLXGwIh7xVwQQNb53BrhB8A9UN9I=>
that
65% of voters thought President Obama was not doing enough to solve the
country's energy problems either.


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Anzalone Liszt Research <newsletter@anzaloneresearch.com>
Date: Thu, Apr 28, 2011 at 12:04 PM
Subject: Gas Prices Take Toll on Americans - ALR's National Polling Summary
To: smacklera@gmail.com


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[image: ALR Logo]

April 28, 2011

Anzalone Liszt Research

National Polling Summary

______________________________________________________________________________________

Friends,


Below you will find the weekly Anzalone Liszt Research National Polling
Newsletter, which provides a pollster's take on data and trends that affect
political campaigns.


This week, we take a look at how Americans are responding to higher gas
prices, how much they are blaming President Obama for the increases, and
what they want to do to solve the problem.


Following our analysis are additional news items and data we thought you'd
enjoy.


John Anzalone and Jeff Liszt

_______________________________________________________________________________________

*STORY THIS WEEK: GAS PRICES TAKE TOLL ON AMERICANS*


Spring and summer gas price hikes are no novelty, but this year is as bad,
or worse than, most years. Specifically, oil prices are jumping to reflect
turmoil in the Middle East. This is very good for oil companies' bottom
lines<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXy5DBvvG9XXJk3xEImyPRcLT8umQP_faziceWymIKI7rMW72Ok4_y7cBrt_qr0bd4Nxp2UooL9xWyXrufEy6JD1aRu97vz14PKiFjDMaL3vV4t0HNYPp92tXVoq6gIzuAL7_UAJo0voojIiPRO7nY37KncIWWFD3Ys3Wo02hsZcOm6WMha9HRtJLcELKxrsLL9y1GbHApVf7YPp8YshSu8>:
BP, for one, made $5.48 billion dollars this quarter in part due to
increased margins on oil. However, gas price spikes have hurt average
Americans. At $3.88/gallon, regular unleaded gas is up more than $1.00 per
gallon nationally since last April according to the
AAA<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cUJlb3XAEKjQ3FNwmXdixgEK5-vatqsw8juNshGFF_LLV7HGGy80AlaxRTiMfEdRo0pDI3oVVP3UY40PIYfMAcDQRuF_HRg3wHPdy9SQucxjDEijzTpOYrzYmxAq-bpM58=>,
and it is approaching record prices from the summer of 2008 ($4.11 for
regular unleaded).


How much does this hurt Americans' pocketbooks? The average American drives
more than 13,000 miles per
year<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cVm_jZCSdmdEsl2P4JrE1ozVl_9sJXWGGF7_uTkPEez7LC9mF-_-sxwZygJnpul9Yasznk2KKMNZ2oITJyJmLywLMic8zUZAAAFabvr5HhHyLNvv4bX2hZtICQqBBFGTX6SZZpfsHXO_A==>,
in a car or truck that gets them 22.6 or 18.1 miles per
gallon<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cVEyT2i-Pxg2fb7Sr5VvZf2aYTY-bRLBjJvQRbMVRnaUOZM-E_H24j8dYILvoCLh7RPge2UtvxLawxUn2lF4RxpuLKwCD-sSmsK4Q2HmG7hmlf2iTjSs0fRBmg_uJ51a2t8_RXqlLo-AWwcnHo9yWzoHkVYAois-cMSsqupiyHxtukvzeEO_OXPJmJiagm61yDdP3enB9Fk0A==>,
according to the US government. This means the average American driver is
consuming something on the order of 600-700 gallons of gas per year-in fact,
the US consumed more than 138 billion
gallons<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cWacU8Xpy4tbFhwCN7LDBrv2ffEYpeWpllOoKEyJ0y0eLdYXpKhmq7HaawHp2V8kNtPawl5Ky8HJ4BQiuH3mZ4ust4OUAVNBYViM6a-M83tlZK7F4CaDD2MwYBrtAwKpIeAmnf3lxhs3_Uu902btVs92VApmOnq5edW45PpT7VaEw==>
of
gasoline in 2010, according to the Energy Information Administration, or
about 450 gallons per person (including children and other non-drivers). So,
$1 higher gas prices are costing the average American driver about $50-$60
per month, or $600-$700 per year on top of the more than $2000 per year they
were already spending.


Survey data backs up the economic facts and figures: 71% of Americans told
the Washington Post<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cWacU8Xpy4tbFhwCN7LDBrv2ffEYpeWpllOoKEyJ0y0eLdYXpKhmq7HaawHp2V8kNtPawl5Ky8HJ4BQiuH3mZ4ust4OUAVNBYViM6a-M83tlZK7F4CaDD2MwYBrtAwKpIeAmnf3lxhs3_Uu902btVs92VApmOnq5edW45PpT7VaEw==>
that
they are feeling the financial strain from recent price increases, and 43%
said the increases have been a serious hardship. (To back up evidence that
spring and summer gas hikes are a regular occurrence, we would note in the
above link that the Washington Post has asked the same question about rising
gas prices in the spring or summer of 9 of the 12 years since 2000-they only
missed 2003 and the past two years during the economic downturn). Responses
have ranged from a low of 36% saying gas price hikes have caused them a
hardship (May 2000) to a high of 77% (June 2008), and the current result is
on the high end of Americans feeling the pinch.


The public is taking out its frustration over high prices on Obama, as even
he suggested<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXne1Glmaz7jxJHh2mjjor0JJ1TcE7WQT-NWAArKaHvHfPrqP1UYsWMj2OW_ZhuEqm9-c30-NwY71hr-F-u3l1YWwsYLUQA8R2r6Xua508CKGnhjXHL4Y6i_q_UvQwQ1Hd9Nw0zy8kFzZi0zUjjqHFGigkjOVKv2ekgSZcN89KGx_3RFYIwbCKNk7rjnBggvCEnciTMbA2B7Y0Ao2bTW8IC>.
According to Pollster.com, his job approval has
dipped<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cVogdDBD7y0ZHLfbI5fff8iQylI8TDhqgG7FbR63Gd8LOdDnZSjZQgB8Yz5zCD2v4T1nDinWgiiB_EyEdVVhpRGink1urXy1TCqj54G_R5037a8PgtY29LH2q0mY2UzJOGCROMTWu76VGPB6GzyawNJNvAy20QlVYgus-5aAzhHgVWOga-PZTfc>
in
the last couple months. We can't definitively link this drop to the recent
jump in gas prices (they may just be coincidental), but Gallup has noted
that gas price hikes were linked with voters souring
on<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cUrOdVE-GZW_Q2Jkr58jvw-tFy6-DWos3vE-wvvUs-_4G3OxFKAVZuWTVtYsPPi4knECZMRe3VKosPXq0uBdbbf3JFSIX_wREoKlIMaNKuuBnMPKAYoeligNvmpMFifJDoECKjQ50NWoZD0FhHhmnr84o_cyFSjn0JZ3HVgGjX32Qfd6u2sy_rqdzZ5E9OHxd99m8-5zS_7mQ==>
both Presidents Bush as well as President Carter and President Nixon. The
media has often linked gas prices and presidential approval before, too: a
Google search for "president gas prices poll" reveals articles linking the
two phenomena together not only this year but in
2005<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cVArvcZvX3Drp3GGPQ97cYVG8iXWYy__5fjbTF_DLH7kaP51GeZgfcnfrfQxEicYMy1Pooxvjt1DP1QHWKcBWWloXZoW_DD8X4sO-eSry9crNJ5bjmuWRXbgICFw3sk0bMOfW1ORa7frUQBjYHNWxe7opGKbt7Od7F72BVDEMX_xQ==>
and
2006<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cW6Sm4xJBbObwosASawHcRmfLjQcOsaXouqaCy_DiupBVPps93bbnHGVfzVrH8PsW2yhBNub4ighdDgUV6ON6LWuih2X6c94j_Lo0uor8qxBiJLdXzlyYCbl_DFo5UyyjwejBxWTzzBmommtXMmPdkIG53J56FwuT-7KGjKCv-Q__LZ3MXRbrpL>
for
President Bush.


Voters tend to think that the President can do a lot about gas prices. Angus
Reid found in 2006 and
2008<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXWKM6UISuoA0lRo3tVLhyr5rXETPkPU7V9kZQSdnGCH_MiuwaW0HG4BovoivlgO3JhTh_aGiTU002WRGtC6CVt3r6EbQyDS1eERFYserAZsYprMn5gNzxj80ZWVUGgbxuM4Qbo2iy9CByWBuS4-xgtBjBn_b-tI4zQ9bhRh21tD_BcIDtfhkXG_OPVZHgGTP8=>
that
more than 62% and 65% of voters respectively thought the president could do
a lot about gas prices, compared to 29% and 30% who thought it was beyond
his control. Gallup also found solid
majorities<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cVHdFM2auffw9RjzWUhHKDkPH8GwNu4RkRuujNQLdyXufdreFCHzhQjvpKKYlPDAwOmXqad9MyMa1k2NP4dZu2oab07Eu2AZbk16vc6ilzjNzGPaxx6276cOkQajIcQhdb2Xk80dqpLQ1yEHcGnlie6JdxXlmy3Ra71XZwtOB70XS7L-CDrCevC>
in
2001, 2006, and 2008 that said President Bush was not doing enough to solve
the country's energy problems-certainly bigger than just gas prices, but the
best public-polling proxy we have for them-and Gallup found in late
March<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXU9xRwOKDGNrzf49VDecD0XPWJ0tv_I7lcHrC_p4mbqJun5rkRo30NkzB0Co2wdW2fJpoph44sXX2bu13DldvoOCR9nhsKJRFuv5xd8KUn63Txzi_E2BO_7xVCbSaDvBaRyeCsLXGwIh7xVwQQNb53BrhB8A9UN9I=>
that
65% of voters thought President Obama was not doing enough to solve the
country's energy problems either.


As far as remedies, voters strongly back Obama's effort to end oil company
tax breaks (he proposes rolling back $4 billion in tax breaks this
year<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXnEPFQl3Re1IX0xlhbMA8AaZDVOryyHxoFb4zy5XkmRybKCEPgf8tYeFdS_TDE2YNX2H5bLXM6ZHMAgeSmQ9SZIkYFayV8FNwmt90VmY7fwxkcVx-C6hnf3pXLO-j3m9PQlPRN7o-nTDSJRT3AYu6Auc2sTLGnqI6ScAKyoRlc8U7FyPavCMjxomyIhuRx9aEZhk1lc1W35A==>).
Seventy four percent of voters
say<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXOtn0DvG6Kf3RijTQNkc3V8MSIFCy4-l-2CCBjfReG0rfFDND-CI65jzw-H7wvVC_VjjIb2pORdwuE_xq_0-NaDFhpLdM-nCrf7Qr_OpRvbH8JeIjW98jcyMDwqJ6FwTRNo_3CZOmqZOkH-U8FCW4e79yCAKUx8C4h8o-fHIvh0kZM507sCt52C8qi85NJuEhcHSEDd005yapg9phykuyuzNVt0ZZ2Xs4Ri7YToZb2_ZbuFBdsitaSmEJNL-vkn-WSSkqRNzXqDqzJvzjcQkN96mmCyG85CdOoZavFuNsq_3jfULCAsVbiWdGfbHv0QUIdYByicdccUsNpQ8DlvT1div-GdUIRvQKWY0u3_yMGQpWOLn0dhulV3dT9SrrbRwVFKA1Xkvu6OmGgS97Pt09mXTntNe0vk_esNm3vw2QnxA==>
that
would be an acceptable way to fix the deficit, while 22% say it would be an
unacceptable way to do so. Other actions voters support to with respect to
energy include, according to
Pew<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXWFiUcU44R16j8u7i8uPPmL-UAQj4w0t95rbE8A98OvIrTTCKcVc8fNyLm2vm7NeXx5jE4kBIiGsGFsagViEiUiCpPWuBRGvow0RHDuwW47ogrCGBGk0FEhiGuclxGk1J2g8pqYhIWnQjJjMIlA_Ve>
:


- Increasing federal funding for research on wind, solar, and hydrogen
technology (74% favor / 21% oppose)
- Spending more on subway, rail, and bus systems (61% favor / 31% oppose)
- Providing incentives for those who buy hybrid or electric vehicles (58%
favor / 35% oppose)
- Allowing more offshore drilling (57% favor / 37% oppose)

*OTHER NEWS FROM THE POLLING AND POLITICAL WORLD*


*Boehner's numbers fall: *John Boehner's short-lived honeymoon period after
the midterm elections is now over, and Americans are split on
him<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cXSbkxaKUi8Zqf1KDRAWyfE8jWqMwSg9-Gi3ZZLDPcmtSysvTqmCTLO42X_MGwWxvPmlc78T_wgwozdx_su1IBh7kWGK4fu308TzQW5WzIqkexukUXspPGJTQQDyg66gbM1k1K65o9cKS-q4THpm-CoBVY-Wy8dP8IxFKN20ccjWjhtjkamqzdwSVilfexrIc8=>.
34% are favorable towards him while 34% are unfavorable.

* *

*Obama's high-profile challengers face bleak prospects: *According to
Gallup<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cVvBmzr5UZ0jSoZXI3nXrrHL_M_l8XDZnU87Gq5F8p0ii0S3MQ85jLnou-Iuf3_hUauMOYDNHhIJk2_fYdqt6pep8pneNOVVoRidhc0Xf0YTJYOOoJcwYFigQLwApCuT1myezKZaMX60Q2F8Qlx4byzF6QnZaSMkPY=>,
54% of voters say they will vote for Obama or consider it, but far fewer say
the same about his high-profile challengers. Romney fares best (48%), with
Huckabee (46%), Trump (35%), and Palin (34%) trailing him. Not great signs
for candidates who have not had a single negative ad run against them
nationally or been the focus of a sustained campaign against them.

* *

*Donald Trump is not a credible candidate for President: *The public has
largely not cared much for Donald Trump, but they have further soured on him
since his recent foray into the right-wing fringe of politics. The same
Gallup poll finds voters largely do not like Donald Trump (36% favorable /
53% unfavorable).

* *

*In the time it took you to read this, Apple released a new iPhone: *While
this study should be taken with a grain of salt (it is a non-representative
survey<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cUVWiu_dXCvDwuTSoozk5SrLE52VSH4i5Sq5GMCLD_KgYisZfjeQUedBFfJMGPpKGbukwzQrKYgVaC8JvLtd-9WM_XE_Eq8b3ZmqvuHup6qswk0N2sxidsv438Wd-aPrVAcOX1jhCeGZodW1p0QbT87FGXYDNpe7BZaPsKiytufTYwFXFvnyvy82MhWy9M0x7k=>done
buy a company looking to sell smartphones), Retrevo finds that 62% of
smartphone owners believe their smartphone is out of date or will be by the
time their contract is up.

* *


*At work, most baby boomers find their age irrelevant or a net plus: *The AP
finds<http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=ajfmw9cab&et=1105324772080&s=2347&e=001jxKhCG8F7cUJihX1iKQQ1Oy73EM7o3oLBu0BHMHhzuK8bl223RT7RjG1TK_C9vxo2vDnZghKbroTtH7kArk98jzXM6e0xKkik1YjrjARur60ZF3wHbQXMqo8iNKV60UP_lVMQEIJiDWHntNnqJA2KlsgkHG-plshSPimWnXBFFa5QhwcE_3HJVVjhtzk1n8C4Of8zTB18xE=>that
more baby boomers (defined as being born between 1946 and 1964) find
their age an asset than a liability in the workplace: 25% call it an asset
while 14% call it a liability. Sixty one percent say their age is not an
issue. The same amount of boomers feel they have faced age discrimination at
work (18%) as the overall US population 18 and over (16% of adults say they
have faced discrimination at work).

*PUBLIC POLLING *


*PRESIDENT OBAMA'S JOB RATING*

*Polling Firm*

*Date*

*Sample*

*Approve*

*Disapprove*

Gallup

4/23-26/11

Adults

43%

48%

CBS/NY Times

4/15-20/11

Adults

46%

45%

Gallup

4/17-19/11

Adults

42%

49%


*DIRECTION OF THE COUNTRY*

*Polling Firm*

*Date*

*Sample*

*Right Direction*

*Wrong Track*

CBS/NY Times

4/15-20/11

Adults

26%

70%

Marist

4/10-14/11

Reg Voters

31%

64%

Ipsos/Reuters

4/7-11/11

Adults

25%

69%


*Republican Party Favorability*

*Polling Firm*

*Date*

*Sample*

*Favorable*

*Unfavorable*

NBC/WSJ

Apr 2011

Adults

31%

44%

NBC/WSJ

Jan 2011

Adults

34%

40%

NBC/WSJ

Dec 2010

Adults

38%

37%


*Democratic Party Favorability*

*Polling Firm*

*Date*

*Sample*

*Favorable*

*Unfavorable*

NBC/WSJ

Apr 2011

Adults

38%

39%

NBC/WSJ

Jan 2011

Adults

39%

37%

NBC/WSJ

Dec 2010

Adults

37%

41%


*PARTY SELF ID*

*Polling Firm*

*Date*

*Sample*

*Dem*

*Rep *

*Ind / other*

Pollster.com Trend

4/5/11

Adults

31%

24%

39%


* *


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