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From: Eric Schwerin [mailto:eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com]
Sent: Wednesday, May 04, 2011 4:36 PM
To: Hunter Biden; Ryan, Evan M.
Subject: Fwd: Students Predicted Bin Laden's Location Two Years Ago


Students Predicted Bin Laden's Location Two Years Ago<http://politicalwire.com/archives/2011/05/03/students_predicted_bin_ladens_location_two_years_ago.html>
A UCLA geography class predicted in 2009 that there was an 88.9% chance that Osama bin Laden was hiding out in Abbottabad, Pakistan, where he was killed on Sunday, Science Insider<http://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2011/05/geographers-had-calculated.html?ref=hp> reports.

"Based on information from satellites and other remote sensing systems, and reports on his movements since his last known location, the students created a probabilistic model of where he was likely to be. Their prediction of a town was based on a geographical theory called 'island biogeography': basically, that a species on a large island is much less likely to go extinct following a catastrophic event than a species on a small one."

Eric D. Schwerin
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