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The Evening: Syria, Trade Talks, Sail On Sailor and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, January 7th.


** Syria
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President Trump today pushed back against media reports that he had altered the timeline for removing U.S. troops from Syria, denying his administration had issued a series of contradictory statements about plans for ending America’s role in the war, as the
Washington Post’s Missy Ryan reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/no-different-from-my-original-statements-trump-denies-changes-to-syria-exit-plan/2019/01/07/d93922f2-128f-11e9-90a8-136fa44b80ba_story.html?utm_term=.4a8fd44f6c3d&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) .

Meanwhile, National Security Adviser John Bolton arrived in Tukey today to make an effort to persuade Ankara not to attack American-backed Kurdish forces in Syria, as the FT reports (https://www.ft.com/content/8413f2a8-1298-11e9-a581-4ff78404524e?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) .

And, in an op-ed for the New York Times published today, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan warned (https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/07/opinion/erdogan-turkey-syria.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fopinion&action=click&contentCollection=opinion®ion=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=2&pgtype=sectionfront&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) that the U.S. withdrawal from Syria must be planned carefully and with the right partners, saying Turkey was the only country “with the power and commitment to perform that task.”

Dive Deeper: “Iraq, Iran, the Gulf, Turkey, and the Future: The Meaningless Debate over the Trump Strategy in Syria (https://www.csis.org/analysis/iraq-iran-gulf-turkey-and-future-meaningless-debate-over-trump-strategy-syria?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

“Learning from Trump’s Syria debacle—What Congress can do (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2019/01/07/learning-from-trumps-syria-debacle-what-congress-can-do/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) ,” by Brookings’s John Allen and Michael O’Hanlon.


** Trade Talks
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The U.S. and China opened negotiations today in Beijing to resolve their trade fight, as the
WSJ’s Lingling Wei reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-pushes-china-to-follow-through-on-trade-promises-11546869147?mod=hp_lead_pos4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) .

Dive Deeper: “China Can No Longer Afford an Indecisive Approach to Economic Reform (https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/china-can-no-longer-afford-indecisive-approach-economic-reform?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) ,” by Chatham House’s Yu Jie.


** Brexit
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The European Union is considering ways to help Prime Minister Theresa May convince the British parliament to back the Brexit treaty she agreed with EU leaders last month but ruled out any change to the deal today, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-commission/eu-looks-at-help-for-may-but-will-not-rework-brexit-deal-idUSKCN1P10YS?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) .


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** CSIS’s Trade Guys Crash Course
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Now enrolling for CSIS
Crash Course, a one-day seminar on the fundamentals of U.S. international trade policy and politics for trade professionals. This program will be conducted by CSIS experts Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch, known as the Trade Guys from their highly-rated weekly podcast. Information here (https://csis.us11.list-manage.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=355ce7485b&e=ac579c85b9&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** $1 Trillion
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Banks and other financial companies have shifted at least £800 billion ($1 trillion) worth of assets out of the United Kingdom and into the European Union because of Brexit.

Source: CNN (https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/07/investing/brexit-banks-moving-assets/index.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 )


** Critical Quote
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** “We're pulling out of Syria but we're doing it, and we won't be finally pulled out until ISIS is gone."
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— President Donald Trump


** iDeas Lab
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CSIS
CSIS's Beyond Parallel released Making Solid Tracks: North Korea's Railway Connections with China and Russia, (https://beyondparallel.csis.org/making-solid-tracks-north-koreas-railway-connections-china-russia/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) the second in a series of original reports on the inter-Korean and Korea-Eurasian railway connections. Should inter-Korean cooperation result in the re-connection of the railways in North and South Korea, the rail networks of the Korean peninsula can then be joined with those across the Eurasian continent through China and Russia.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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CSIS (Photo Credit: Kobi Gideon/GPO via Getty Images). Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with White House National Security Adviser John Bolton yesterday in Jerusalem.


** Recommended Reading
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“The Big Read: U.S.-China: farmers count the cost of the trade war (https://www.ft.com/content/93a21e84-0f55-11e9-a3aa-118c761d2745?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) ,” by the
FT’s Gregory Meyer.


** This Town Tomorrow
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At 9:30 a.m. (https://www.brookings.edu/events/islam-as-statecraft-how-governments-use-religion-in-foreign-policy/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) , Brookings Institution will hold a panel discussion and release its report on how various governments have incorporated the religion of Islam into their foreign policy.

And at 12:00 p.m. (http://keia.org/event/northeast-asia-and-new-congress?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) , the Korea Economic Institute of America will host a discussion on how the new U.S. Congress might influence foreign policy toward Northeast Asia.


** Video
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National Security Adviser John Bolton has arrived in Ankara for talks with Turkish officials regarding the Trump administration's policy towards Syria. Max Markusen of the CSIS Transnational Threats Program explains how Syria’s Idlib Province encapsulates the complexity of the Syrian Civil War in our “What’s Happening” series. Watch the full video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_T9GAji33i0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_T9GAji33i0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) .


** Podcasts
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Die Welt
The Smart Women, Smart Power biweekly podcast features powerful, in-depth conversations with women leaders from around the globe who are experts in foreign policy, national security, international business, and international development.

Listen on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/sets/smart-women-smart-power?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/smart-women-smart-power/id924940383?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789) .


** Smiles
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One of my first smiles of 2019 was that my two oldest sons (17 and 15) finally took my advice and watched the Academy Award-winning Scorsese film, “The Departed.”

Of course, they both said that it was the “best movie ever,” which was not what they said about “The Godfather.”

It’s a generational thing. They find the pace of “The Godfather” to be slow, and it inhibits their ability to absorb its timeless wisdom. “The Departed,” by contrast, was made in 2006 and moves with contemporary energy. Plus, Leo, Matt Damon and Mark Wahlberg are current icons—one of my kids didn’t know who Jack Nicholson was and they both don’t know who Pacino and DeNiro are, really.

I predict (and this will also be a smile) that my boys will watch “The Departed” many times over the years and come to me with: “Dad, the soundtrack to The Departed is sick!” Sick, in case you didn’t know, means “awesome.”

The Departed soundtrack features some incredible, memorable music: the Dropkick Murphy’s “I’m Shipping Up to Boston,” Allman Brothers’ “One Way Out,” Stones’ “Let it Loose,” and “Gimme Shelter,” Plastic Ono Band “Well Well Well,” and Patsy Cline’s “Sweet Dreams (Of You)” to name a few essential tunes. The Roger Waters/Van Morrison duet on “Comfortably Numb,” Badfinger’s “Baby Blue,” and Nas’ “Thief’s Theme” are also very serious tracks.

But the soundtrack cut that absolutely destroys me every time is the Beach Boys’ “Sail on Sailor.”

“Sail on Sailor” is a fascinating tune written by some combination of Brian Wilson, Van Dyke Parks, and other collaborators. There are so many great Brian Wilson songs. “Sail on Sailor” (1973) has always been one of my favorites even though Brian didn’t sing it—his bandmate Blondie Chaplin did.

Blondie is a musician you might not have heard of—he’s a musicians’ musician. Here’s Blondie, singing a rollicking version of “Sail on Sailor (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JfDKow9kcpU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789 ) ” with The Band’s Rick Danko and Paul Butterfield in ’79 in a gloriously raw, organic version of the song. What a smile.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=234983d744-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_07_08_51&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-234983d744-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran and Brad Honigberg.

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