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The Daily GAB Monday, November 14, 2016
U.S. Global Leadership Coalition | www.usglc.org
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Transition 2016

POLITICO
Trump Will Honor NATO Commitment, Obama Says |

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Madeline Conway

President-elect Donald Trump is committed to NATO, President Barack
Obama said Monday. Trump, the Republican president-elect whose
unexpected victory last week shocked other world leaders, was often
critical of NATO on the campaign trail, going so far as to call it
"obsolete." Those statements, coupled with his praise of
Russian leader Vladimir Putin -- with whom Trump spoke by phone on
Monday -- have alarmed foreign leaders, especially in the front-line
states in Eastern Europe and the Baltics.Obama, who is preparing to
embark on his last trip to Europe as president, said Trump signaled
when they met last week that he would not be throwing out the
decades-old alliance. "He expressed a great interest in
maintaining our core strategic relationships," Obama said at his
first press conference since last week's election. "And
so, one of the messages I will be able to deliver is his commitment to
NATO and the Transatlantic Alliance."

DEVEX
What Happens Now? 5 Questions About US Aid Under Trump |

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Michael Igoe

Donald Trump's shock election victory over Hillary Clinton
raises a lot of questions for the development community to mull over
in the 10 weeks before he takes office as the next president of the
United States. As Trump assembles his cabinet over the coming weeks
- and as it becomes clearer who he might tap as Secretary of
State to implement his foreign policy agenda - the outlook for
U.S. aid agencies and their development partners should get at least a
little clearer. But for now, here are some of the biggest questions
about the future of U.S. development cooperation as the Obama-Trump
transition kicks off. 1. Will USAID remain independent from the State
Department? 2. Where will Trump's development leaders come from?
3. What's the future of the foreign assistance budget? 4. Will
any development initiatives be on the chopping block? 5. Can the world
convince Trump that development matters?

THE WASHINGTON POST
The Two Immediate Tests for Trump's Foreign Policy |

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Jackson Diehl

The Trump administration will put an end to the 100 years of U.S.
global leadership that began in 1918. It will rend the NATO alliance,
cede Eurasia to Russia and the Pacific to China, and adopt as the
United States' best friends populist and authoritarian regimes
that despise immigrants and globalization. Or, after a few early
scrapes, its foreign policy will slowly devolve into a somewhat ruder
version of President Obama's. You could hear both these
predictions in Washington last week...But two big tests will show us
where Trump is going, and the first will come quickly: appointments.
The top appointments matter because they will determine whether scores
of Republican foreign policy professionals join or shun the new
administration. The other big test will be Trump's handling of
Putin.

THE GUARDIAN

Will Trump Honour Pledge to 'Stop Sending Aid to Countries That Hate
Us'? |

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Larry Elliott

Concerns that Donald Trump will dramatically cut US aid spending and
oversee a withdrawal from global development have sent shockwaves
through NGOs and others who fear what the impact of his presidency
will be on the world's largest donor of international
humanitarian and development funding. Following a campaign in which he
said little about the issue, those searching for clues are pouring
over a handful of tweets and other brief references, such as his
pledge to "stop sending foreign aid to countries that hate us
and use that money to rebuild our tunnels, roads, bridges and
schools".

POLITICO
Lawmakers Fear Trump Will Undercut America's 'Soft Power' |
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Nahal Toosi

Lawmakers and U.S. officials who have championed foreign aid,
democracy and human rights fear that President-elect Donald Trump will
financially and rhetorically cripple America's non-military influence
around the world - damage that could prove harder to repair than
the kind inflicted by George W. Bush's use of torture. By pledging to
block Syrian refugees from U.S. shores, supporting the use of
waterboarding and suggesting the U.S. isn't getting enough out of
"deals" with its allies, Trump badly hurt America's reputation during
the campaign. His victory was so shocking that some stakeholders now
wonder whether the Trump era will mark the end of America's "soft
power."

Who's in the News

THE ATLANTIC
World Chaos and World Order: Conversations With Henry Kissinger |

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Jeffrey Glodberg

The new president should enter office realizing that his or her vision
and, yes, credibility will be determined by the reaction to emerging
crises as well as the ability to impart a sense of direction to
existing ones. That presupposes a clear definition of interests and
goals. The overriding challenge for the next president will be how to
address concurrent upheavals in many parts of the world simultaneously
with defeating terrorism. Out of this process conducted in terms of
different histories and cultures, a new world order must be distilled.
Failing that, the country will go from crisis to crisis without ever
really advancing America or the world.

AMERICA'S TRADE POLICY

A Trade Agenda for President (elect) Trump On China, NAFTA, TPP & the
"Benefit" Of A Trade War

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Bill Lane is the former Catepillar Senior Director of Global
Development & Corporate Affairs and serves as the Chairman Emeritus of
the U.S. Global Leadership Coalition.

As the election demonstrated, the politics of trade is being
challenged in ways we haven't experienced since the 1930s. Today
protectionist and isolationist rhetoric seem to again be in fashion.
Part of the problem is fear. Speak out in favor of NAFTA or the Trans
Pacific Partnership or any of the other free trade agreements and
one risked the wrath of Donald Trump and an eerie silence from
Secretary Clinton. Consequently, most of the traditional business and
agricultural champions of free trade cowered in the political
shadows.So, what do we need to do? Here's my take in descending
order: 1. Improve American competitiveness. 2. Start/complete a WTO
Round. 3. Aggressively defend and expand the free trade agreements. 4.
Aggressively defend and expand the free trade agreements.

Development & Diplomacy

NPR

Weeks After Defeated Deal, Colombia And FARC Rebels Reach A New Peace
|

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Colin Dwyer

For the second time in just six weeks, it appears that Latin America's
longest-running war may finally end in peace. The Colombian government
and Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, or FARC, announced an
agreement Saturday night that would end their 52-year guerrilla war
- another attempt at peace after Colombian voters narrowly
rejected a previous deal in an October referendum. "We have reached a
new final accord to end the armed conflict that integrates changes,
precisions and proposals suggested by the most diverse sectors of
society," both groups announced in a statement.

THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Report: US Close to Accepting 100s of Australia's Refugees |

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Rod McGuirk

The United States and Australia are close to announcing a deal in
which the U.S. would resettle hundreds of asylum seekers banished by
Australia to Pacific island camps, a newspaper reported on Friday. The
U.S. had agreed to accept up to 1,800 refugees held for up to three
years at Australia's expense in camps on the impoverished island
nations of Nauru and Papua New Guinea, The Australian newspaper
reported. Such an agreement struck with the Obama administration could
be opposed by President-elect Donald Trump, who has called for a
moratorium or tight restrictions on Muslim immigration. Most of the
asylum seekers are Muslims from the Middle East, Africa and Asia.

THE GUARDIAN
Natural Disasters Push 26m into Poverty Each Year, Says World Bank |

http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=j8Rd8cMMCOTcMdjJKXT5Pg

Anugs Chen

Floods, earthquakes, tsunamis and other extreme natural disasters push
26 million people into poverty each year and cost the global economy
more than half a trillion dollars in lost consumption, the World Bank
has said. A bank study of 117 countries concluded that the full cost
of natural disasters was $520bn (£416bn) a year 60% higher than any
previous estimate once the impact on poor people was taken into
account. The World Bank published its findings at the COP22 climate
change conference in Marrakech and said the report underlined the need
to protect the most vulnerable against the effects of global warming.

Politics & Foreign Policy

THE NEW YORK TIMES
U.S. Fingerprints on Attacks Obliterating Yemen's Economy |

http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=PnwrC2-HXDngMzeeA-3Pdw

Ben Hubbard

The Saudi-led coalition has bombed Yemen for the last 19 months,
trying to oust a rebel group aligned with Iran that took control of
the capital, Sana, in 2014. The Saudis want to restore the
country's exiled president, Abdu Rabbu Mansour Hadi, who led an
internationally recognized government more aligned with its interests.
But instead of defeating the rebels, the campaign has sunk into a
grinding stalemate, systematically obliterating Yemen's already
bare-bones economy. The coalition has destroyed a wide variety of
civilian targets that critics say have no clear link to the rebels.

REUTERS
Obama Asks for $11.6 Billion More in Supplemental Defense Budget |

http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=SjZ8XY6pSRRhsTPl6GEBFg

Idrees Ali

U.S. President Barack Obama on Thursday sent a request to Congress for
an additional $11.6 billion in supplemental war-related funding, which
would include money to fight Islamic State militants and sustain high
overseas troop levels. The request, detailed in a letter released by
the White House, seeks an additional $5.8 billion for the Pentagon for
military operations in Afghanistan and fighting Islamic State in Iraq
and Syria, and an $5.8 billion for the State Department and United
States Agency for International Development (USAID) for fiscal 2017.

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Afghan Attacks Force Temporary Closure of U.S. Embassy in Kabul |

http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=v8FVyn3nDoFjcXyobc12QA

Jessica Donati and Ehsanullah Amiri

The U.S. Embassy in Afghanistan temporarily closed on Sunday in
response to Taliban attacks that killed four people inside a highly
fortified U.S. military base north of Kabul and seven in the vicinity
of the German consulate in the northern city of Mazar-e-Sharif. A
Taliban suicide bomber infiltrated multiple layers of security at
Bagram Air Field and detonated explosives inside the base on Saturday,
killing four Americans including two service members and wounding 17
others, Afghan and coalition officials said. The conditions of those
wounded, including 16 U.S. service members and one Polish soldier,
weren't released.

THE LOS ANGELES TIMES

Obama Will Spend His Final Presidential Trip Abroad Trying to Reassure
the World About Trump |
http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=zA2QdUP1nzZ_Yv-OP_sRzA

Christi Parsons and Michael A. Memoli

President Obama on Monday heads for Europe and then South America to
face world leaders wondering what to expect from the U.S. after he
leaves office, and to deliver the only honest answer he has: He just
doesn't know. Aides to the president have spent the last few
days wrestling with what to say about President-elect Donald Trump on
the global stage. A private one-on-one meeting in the Oval Office a
few days ago between Trump and Obama did little to shed light. As a
result, Obama is planning simply to note Trump's public
commitment to work with him on a peaceful transfer of power, and to
point to the historical precedent of U.S. presidents honoring
longstanding alliances.


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