David Hale: Fifteen Predictions for 2015

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davidhale@davidhaleweb.com

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2015-01-01 02:45:29

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R. Hunter Biden <hbiden@rosemontseneca.com>

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Dear R. Hunter,

As we begin 2015, we wanted to provide you with the fifteen potential
developments next year that are not properly priced into markets.
Although the likelihood of each prediction materializing varies, we
believe that every scenario is more likely to occur than is currently
being anticipated. Attached you will find our latest report, "Fifteen
Predictions for 2015".

Key potential developments include (Likelihood of occurring):

US economic growth exceeds 3% (Medium-High)

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates before July (High)

There will be the most political uncertainty in Europe in three years
(High)

Government stimulus measures will sustain Chinese growth around 7%
(Medium)

The oil price will decline to $30-$40 per barrel temporarily if a deal
between Iran and major global powers is reached (Medium)

The entire team at David Hale Global Economics wishes you and yours a
joyous and prosperous 2015.

With all best wishes,

David Hale

Chairman

David Hale Global Economics, Inc.

546 Lincoln Avenue, 2 nd Floor

Winnetka, Illinois 60093 USA

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847-386-6011 (fax)

davidhale@davidhaleweb.com

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