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The Evening CSIS: Some Space, Nasty Surprise, Green Grass and High Tides & More
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .

Note: The Evening CSIS will be “gone fishin’” until Monday, January 23.


** Some Space
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President Obama in his final news conference today said that President-elect Donald Trump deserves space to pursue his agenda, while also suggesting his successor tread carefully on such volatile issues as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Carol Lee and Damian Paletta report (http://www.wsj.com/articles/barack-obama-in-news-conference-says-donald-trump-deserves-room-1484773123?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the Washington Institute’s Robert Satloff’s “Moving the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem: From Campaign Promise to Policy Challenge (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/moving-the-u.s.-embassy-to-jerusalem-from-campaign-promise-to-policy-challe?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .”


** Nasty Surprise
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Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen today warned that the US risks a “nasty surprise” if it waits too long to continue raising interest rates, adding that she expects the US central bank to tighten monetary policy a few times a year until 2019, as the
Financial Times’ Barney Jopson and Sam Fleming report (https://www.ft.com/content/d756b1fc-ddb7-11e6-86ac-f253db7791c6?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: Watch Peterson’s “Global Economic Growth Will Bring New Challenges (https://piie.com/experts/peterson-perspectives/global-economic-growth-will-bring-new-challenges?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .”


** Bracing for Trade War
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Liu He has consolidated his status as Chinese president Xi Jinping’s top economic adviser, amassing influence that some believe rivals that of China’s prime minister. Now, as President-elect Donald Trump prepares to enter the White House renewing warnings of China’s economic menace, Liu is bracing for a trade war, as the
New York Times’ Chris Buckley and Keith Bradsher report (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/18/world/asia/liu-he-china-trade-trump.html?ref=world&_r=0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the CSIS Asia Economic Strategy Commission report: Reinvigorating U.S. Economic Strategy in the Asia Pacific (https://www.csis.org/analysis/reinvigorating-us-economic-strategy-asia-pacific?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** $2.5 trillion
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The Southeast Asian countries collectively make up a $2.5 trillion economic area and are home to 630 million potential customers for US goods and services. Source: “Engaging Southeast Asia: Economic Recommendations for the New Administration (https://www.csis.org/analysis/engaging-southeast-asia-economic-recommendations-new-administration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) ” by CSIS’s Amy Searight and Murray Hiebert.


** Critical Quote
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** “Patriotism is to a country, not to any single political outcome. It is bigger than any leader, and it outlives any leader. However much one distrusts a political leader, opportunities arise to move history in a constructive direction.”
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—CSIS’s Jon B. Alterman authored a new Middle East Notes and Comment newsletter today, “Politics and Patriotism (https://gallery.mailchimp.com/833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac/files/01_17.01.pdf?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .”


** One to Watch
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Todd Harrison (@ToddHarrisonDC (https://twitter.com/toddharrisondc?lang=en&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) ) is director of Defense Budget Analysis and director of the Aerospace Security Project at CSIS. Today, Todd authored a new essay for our Transition45 series: “Defense Reform in a New Administration (https://defense360.csis.org/defense-reform-in-a-new-administration/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .”


** Optics
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(Photo Credit: Brendan Smialowski/Getty Images.)
Christi Parsons interviews then–Senator Barack Obama in the Capitol Building in January 2007 as he announced the formation of an exploratory committee. Today, Christi got the final question in President Obama’s last press conference as commander-in-chief.


** Highly Recommended
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“At the US Holocaust Memorial Museum, a virtual encounter with a Syrian refugee (http://www.jta.org/2017/01/18/news-opinion/united-states/at-the-us-holocaust-memorial-museum-a-virtual-encounter-with-a-syrian-refugee?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789#.WH-D1wfeG4M.twitter) ” by the Jewish Telegraphic Agency’s Ron Kampeas.


** CSIS Today
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CSIS’s Global Food Security Project hosted “A Look Back: Food Security and the Obama Administration (https://www.csis.org/events/look-back-food-security-and-obama-administration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) ,” featuring Nancy Stetson, special representative for global food security at the State Department.

CSIS’s Energy and National Security Program hosted “Power Africa’s Understanding Natural Gas & LNG Options (https://www.csis.org/events/power-africas-understanding-natural-gas-lng-options?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .”

CSIS’s Russia and Eurasia Program hosted the launch of a special edition of the Strategic Affairs journal entitled “Russia in Global Affairs (https://www.csis.org/events/russia-global-affairs?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .”


** CSIS Monday
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Join CSIS’s International Security Program at 10:30 a.m. for “Prospects for the Defense Budget in the New Administration (https://www.csis.org/events/prospects-defense-budget-new-administration?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) ,” featuring a discussion with Mackenzie Eaglen, resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and Richard Kogan, senior fellow at Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.


** CSIS On Demand
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Last week, Secretary of Defense Ash Carter received the CSIS Sam Nunn National Security Leadership Prize. Watch the lecture here (https://www.csis.org/events/sam-nunn-national-security-leadership-prize-and-lecture?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) .


** Sounds
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CSIS Korea Chair Victor Cha joins the cogitAsia podcast (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/cogitasia/id962095834?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) this week to discuss President Park Geun-hye’s impeachment, the Trump administration’s Korea policy, and potential North Korean provocations on the horizon.


** I Like It Like That
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It’s launch day at Axios (https://www.axios.com/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) , the new Mike Allen–Jim VandeHei–Roy Schwartz (no relation) venture into digital journalism. It launched with a Trump interview and a lot more.


** Smiles
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“If you don’t sign the Outlaws, you’re the dumbest music person I’ve ever met—and I know you’re not.”

Wise advice indeed for music impresario Clive Davis from the late, great Lynyrd Skynyrd singer Ronnie Van Zandt in 1974.

The Outlaws never became as famous or as influential as Skynyrd, but they recorded some seriously memorable southern rock.

For me, The Outlaws “Green Grass and High Tides (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIaS_vYIQ_A&app=desktop&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d1ababb4cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_18&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d1ababb4cf-145367789) ” isn’t just a staple of early FM album rock. It has a majestic quality to it that endures in the way very few songs do.

“Green Grass” isn’t any ordinary rock song. True, it is formulaic in that it has a stunningly good guitar lick that anchors it. But it also shares the type of expansive compositional characteristics Jazz virtuoso Charlie Parker created. When performed live, it’s as improvisational as any Jazz performed by Bird, Dizzy or Miles.

Many people wrongly assume the song is about marijuana. It’s not. Outlaws founding member and author of the song Hughie Thomasson says he wrote “Green Grass and High Tides” in St. Augustine, Florida during a band cookout on the beach. The band members had left their guitars at home and Thomasson says the lack of instruments laying around allowed the song to find him.

“I was standing by the ocean and there was a breeze and the words kept coming to me,” Thomasson said. “It’s about all the rock stars I liked that died had come back and were playing a show just for me. Like Jimi Hendrix, Janis Joplin and Jim Morrison.”

The song has a regal set of lyrics. “As kings and queens bow and play for you,” is one of them. But my favorite is “castles of stone, soul and glory.”

And if you don’t buy into any of this jazz, and you don’t believe in the deification of rock’s departed, just ask yourself this: Is there a better song to blast out of your pickup truck on a warm summer night with a breeze coming off the ocean in some parking lot somewhere with your friends drinking Budweiser?


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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