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The Evening CSIS: Aid to Israel, Extended Cease-Fire, Tenth Avenue Freeze Out & More
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s) .


** Aid to Israel
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The US agreed today to provide Israel a record $3.8 billion a year in new military aid over the next decade, as
USA Today’s Oren Dorell reports (http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2016/09/14/united-states-military-aid-israel/90358564/) .

Dive Deeper: Brookings’ William Galston today authored a commentary: “Could this man bring the next big shake-up to Israeli politics? (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/markaz/2016/09/14/could-this-man-bring-the-next-big-shake-up-to-israeli-politics/) ”


** Extended Cease-fire
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US secretary of state John Kerry and Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov agreed to extend the cease-fire in Syria for another 48 hours, as CNN reports (http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/14/middleeast/syria-ceasefire/) .

Dive Deeper: Brookings’ Michael Ignatieff, Juliette Keeley, Besty Ribble, and Keith McCammon today released a new report: The refugee and migration crisis: Proposals for action, U.N. Summit 2016 (https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-refugee-and-migration-crisis-proposals-for-action-u-n-summit-2016/) .

CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman had a commentary last week: “Syria and Iraq: What Comes After Mosul and Raqqa? (https://www.csis.org/analysis/syria-and-iraq-what-comes-after-mosul-and-raqqa) ”


** Not Quiet in North Korea
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North Korea mocked a US show of force as bluster, calling flights by bombers near its border reckless “bluffing,” as NBC News’ Cassandra Vinograd reports (http://www.nbcnews.com/news/north-korea/north-korea-blasts-u-s-b-1-bomber-flyover-bluffing-n648026) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Victor Cha today testified on Capitol Hill before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs’ Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific on “North Korea’s Perpetual Provocations: Another Dangerous, Escalatory Nuclear Test (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/congressional_testimony/ts160914_Cha.pdf) .”


** In That Number
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** $53 billion
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The amount that the United States spends on espionage each year. Source: Washington Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/as-russia-reasserts-itself-us-intelligence-agencies-focus-anew-on-the-kremlin/2016/09/14/cc212c62-78f0-11e6-ac8e-cf8e0dd91dc7_story.html) .


** Critical Quote
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** “There are two camps in Washington—one that thinks Duterte is about to push the alliance off a cliff and there is nothing U.S. policy makers can do about it, and one that continues to argue that the alliance is just too important to both countries and so a way forward must be found. But that latter group is losing the argument day by day as Duterte continues this anti-American rhetoric.”
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— CSIS's Gregory Poling in "Duterte Signals Shift in U.S.-Philippine Military Alliance (http://www.wsj.com/articles/duterte-signals-shift-in-u-s-philippine-military-alliance-1473774873) " via the Wall Street Journal.


** One to Watch
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Murray Hiebert is a senior adviser and deputy director of the Southeast Asia program at CSIS and coauthor of the recent report: Myanmar's New Dawn (https://www.csis.org/analysis/myanmar%E2%80%99s-new-dawn) . As Aung Sun Suu Kyi visits the US, Murray is a source for insight in to the future of US-Myanmar relations.


** Optics
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(Photo credit: Amer Almohibany/AFP/Getty Images.)

Syrian boys play on swings in the Syrian rebel-held town of Arbin, in the eastern Ghouta region on the outskirts of the capital Damascus, as they celebrate the Muslim Eid al-Adha holiday on September 13, 2016, the day after an internally backed cease-fire for Syria came into effect.


** Highly Recommended
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ICYMI,
Politico’s Mike Allen spoke with Charlie Rose (https://charlierose.com/videos/28793?curator=MediaREDEF) about the new venture he’s starting after the election.


** CSIS Today
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Today, CSIS hosted “The National Security Division at 10 (https://www.csis.org/events/national-security-division-10) ,” a full day of discussions on the evolving national security threat since 9/11, the progress that NSD has made over the past 10 years, and key issues and threats that NSD will face in the next decade. Keynote speakers included Attorney General Loretta Lynch, Director James Comey of the FBI, Director John Brennan of the CIA, and more.

CSIS’s Southeast Asia Program hosted “Pacific Day 2016 (https://www.csis.org/events/pacific-day-2016) ” at the Embassy of New Zealand.


** CSIS Tomorrow
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Join CSIS’s International Security Program at 9:00 a.m. for a Military Strategy Forum, “Research & Development Across the Defense Enterprise with the Hon. Stephen Welby (https://www.csis.org/events/research-development-across-defense-enterprise-hon-stephen-welby) .”

Join CSIS’s Freeman Chair in China Studies tomorrow at 9:00 a.m. for “Cross-Strait Relations Under the Tsai Ing-wen Administration (https://www.csis.org/events/cross-strait-relations-under-tsai-ing-wen-administration) ,” with Brookings and the Institute of International Relations at National Chengchi University.

Join CSIS’s Southeast Asia Program at 11:00 a.m. for “Philippines CSIS Forum with Foreign Secretary Perfecto Yasay Jr (https://www.csis.org/events/philippines-csis-forum-foreign-secretary-perfecto-yasay-jr) .”

Join the CSIS Japan Chair tomorrow at 1:00 p.m. for “The Evolving Japan-U.S. Alliance—Keeping Asia and the Pacific Peaceful and Prosperous (https://www.csis.org/events/evolving-japan-us-alliance-keeping-asia-and-pacific-peaceful-and-prosperous-0) ,” featuring Her Excellency Tomomi Inada, minister of defense of Japan.

Join CSIS’s Project on Prosperity and Development at 3:00 p.m. for a book launch (https://www.csis.org/events/great-surge-ascent-developing-world) of The Great Surge: The Ascent of the Developing World, by Dr. Steven Radlet.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the Wilson Center at 10:00 a.m. for “Stateless But Not Silenced: A Conversation on Refugees with Refugees (https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/stateless-not-silenced-conversation-refugees-refugees#sthash.HtGTtdy9.dpuf) .”

And join AEI tomorrow at 5:00 p.m. for “Terrorism and the Bill Of Rights: An Address by Former Attorney General Michael Mukasey (http://www.aei.org/events/terrorism-and-the-bill-of-rights-suicide-pact-or-not/) .”


** CSIS On Demand
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Assistant Attorney General John Carlin joined CSIS’s Strategic Technologies Program in June to discuss his article, “Detect, Disrupt, Deter: A Whole-of-Government Approach to National Security Cyber Threats.” Watch on demand here (https://www.csis.org/events/detect-disrupt-deter-whole-government-approach-national-security-cyber-threats) .


** Sounds
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On Violent Extremism released a new podcast today, “Voice of a Former Australian National Security Adviser (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/violent-extremism) ” featuring CSIS senior adviser on Asia-Pacific security Andrew Shearer.


** I Like It Like That
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Instant Replay (http://www.salon.com/2016/09/13/an-open-letter-to-the-commission-on-presidential-debates-bring-on-instant-replay/?curator=MediaREDEF) for the presidential debates—yes!!!


** Smiles
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These days the sequencing of songs on most record albums don’t matter. Many popular recording artists don’t even release full albums anymore. Singles, playlists, compilations, mixtapes and other assorted forms of musical chazerai dominate the landscape.

But that wasn’t always the case. Vinyl records, of course had an “A” side and a “B” side. And the sequence in which the artist’s songs unfolded was important—unless you were one of those people who like to read the last chapter of a book before the first.

Certain records have such memorable sequences that aficionados can name them as sure as they can name the first five amendments to the United States Constitution or the 10 Commandments.

Every serious rock fan knows that The Beatles’ seminal record “Sgt. Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band” begins its A-side with the title track immediately followed by “With a Little Help from My Friends” and “Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds.” Of course the B-side ends with the swirling, orchestral “A Day in the Life.”

Similarly, Led Zeppelin II’s B-side (one of the most blistering sides in the history of rock and roll) opens with “Heartbreaker” and “Living Loving Maid.”
And then there’s Springsteen’s “Born to Run,” with its eight epic tracks (four per side.) Each song on this album stands alone as a monument. But together, listened to in proper sequence, the songs evoke a story of grit, majestic street heroes, American tragedy, beauty, love and loss.

The album opens with “Thunder Road,” a song the legendary critic Greil Marcus called “what rock and roll is supposed to sound like” in his 1975 review for Rolling Stone Magazine. We played a clip of the Boss performing “Thunder Road” yesterday. In proper sequence, “Tenth Avenue Freeze Out (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4R35bw9N0vI) ” comes next. I can’t imagine one without the other.


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, Jackie Ramsay, and James Dunton.

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