EMAIL DETAILS
SUBJECT:
Re: Questions
PRI: NORMAL
FROM:
V
vpetrovic@robertiwhite.com
DATE:
2015-05-19 19:55:55
MSG_ID:
<7B669E34-878E-4A59-A5DE-A4BF12CAAA0E@robertiwhite.com>
RECIPIENTS:
TO:
E
Eric Schwerin
<eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com>
CC:
H
Hunter Biden
<hbiden@rosemontseneca.com>
S
Sasa Boljanovic
<sashaboljanovic@gmail.com>
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PROCESSED
Eric: As discussed here are the answers. If it helps we can schedule a conference call to answer any other questions they might have. Good to see you guys. Vladimir 1) The official process and scope of the transaction: our current understanding is that the Government of Serbia is selling its controlling stake in TS , but some news reported that the Government will decide the scope and form of the transaction after Lazard presents their recommendations. Would be helpful to get more guidance on how large the stake is being offered and the official time line of the transaction, and whether the government is open for a transaction of selling a minority stake? Also could you clarify on the exact % of stake in TS that the Government is entitled to? From what I can see on page 3 of “Telekom Srbija Acquisition Options - Government v21.pdf”, it seems that if sold upfront, the “effective” stake of government is 72.64%, given the treasury stocks have already been bought back (and therefore out of the equation). Kindly let me know if my understanding is correct. Yes, this is correct. TS owns 20% out of 72.64% but since TS is owned by GoS, GoS owns all of the 72.64%. Lazard will recommend privatization model and all options are open, BUT, if you look at the proposal based on the negotiations that the PM is personally overseeing with Novator it is the minority stake purchase they will recommend to be privatized as stated in the documents we sent. 2) Roles and participants: it seems Lazard sits at the sell side advising the Government of Serbia. In this case what roles do Novator and VTB play here (as in the materials sent over by you)? What other participants, particularly potential investors, are currently in the game? News run shows Telekom Austria (had unsuccessful bid a few years back), Deutsche Telekom, and investors from Russia, the UAE and the US might also be in the race. Any color on that? I've already answered Novator/VTB role to Eric. My understanding is that, at this moment this is the preference deal for the PM. Deutsche Telekom will not buy TS as is, they need someone to clean it up before they jump in. I have active communication with them. Telekom Austria already has operator in Serbia and they would need to clear regulatory body in order to buy it, or they would have to sale operator they currently own. No buyer from UAE and Russians are Novator/VTB. There is no serious fund from the US looking at it at the moment. Keep in mind that all newspapers-media in Serbia are controlled by the PM and lots of articles are for confusion purposes only. 3) Any view on the potential political sensitivity associated with this transaction? Reported opponents to the potential privatization may include the Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) and the movement Dveri, as well as the labor union. Also it is speculated that Russians and the US both see this as a strategic asset in the region. It is sensitive matter, but the drama is the way that the PM runs the country. "Create the problem" then come back to fix problem he created. TS will go for sale regardless of any opposition as IMF arrangement is tide to sale of TS (this is also answer to Q4). Strategically this deal is important for Russians as they already own energy sector in Serbia and telecommunications is the only stratigic industry they don't own. 4) The Government has been trying to offload for several years. What is the rationale and motivation for the sale? Is any specific legal and regulatory requirement governing such a divestiture by the government? On May 19, 2015, at 12:28 PM, Eric Schwerin <eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com<mailto:eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com>> wrote: Hunter and I will see you at the Four Seasons at 2:30pm. In advance of that, below are the questions from BHR. Some of these we can answer based on what you have told us already but I wanted you to see them and we can discuss further at 2:30pm. 1) The official process and scope of the transaction: our current understanding is that the Government of Serbia is selling its controlling stake in TS , but some news reported that the Government will decide the scope and form of the transaction after Lazard presents their recommendations. Would be helpful to get more guidance on how large the stake is being offered and the official time line of the transaction, and whether the government is open for a transaction of selling a minority stake? Also could you clarify on the exact % of stake in TS that the Government is entitled to? From what I can see on page 3 of “Telekom Srbija Acquisition Options - Government v21.pdf”, it seems that if sold upfront, the “effective” stake of government is 72.64%, given the treasury stocks have already been bought back (and therefore out of the equation). Kindly let me know if my understanding is correct. 2) Roles and participants: it seems Lazard sits at the sell side advising the Government of Serbia. In this case what roles do Novator and VTB play here (as in the materials sent over by you)? What other participants, particularly potential investors, are currently in the game? News run shows Telekom Austria (had unsuccessful bid a few years back), Deutsche Telekom, and investors from Russia, the UAE and the US might also be in the race. Any color on that? 3) Any view on the potential political sensitivity associated with this transaction? Reported opponents to the potential privatization may include the Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) and the movement Dveri, as well as the labor union. Also it is speculated that Russian and the US both see this as a strategic asset in the region. 4) The Government has been trying to offload for several years. What is the rationale and motivation for the sale? Is any specific legal and regulatory requirement governing such a divestiture by the government? Eric D. Schwerin Rosemont Seneca Partners, LLC 1010 Wisconsin Ave., NW Suite 705 Washington, DC 20007 (202) 333-1880 eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com<x-msg://59/eschwerin@obblaw.com> P Consider the environment before printing this email.
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