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RSP News for Week of Sept 13
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FROM:
J
jpeugh@rosemontseneca.com
DATE:
2010-09-28 15:16:06
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<b3c5cba4b778f2b8bf46600f8058adb6@mail.gmail.com>
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Eric Schwerin
<eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com>
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Hunter Biden
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Neil Callahan
<ncallahan@rosemontseneca.com>
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Guys, I updated the tax cuts section a tad. I also added a little contact us if you have questions part at the end and disclaimer…should we be more direct on who they should contact, ie Eric, Rob, Arlene, etc? Please let me know if we need more commentary or info, etc. * [image: :RS_Letterhead.jpg]* * ------------------------------ * *In this Newsletter:* v *Appointment of Elizabeth Warren* v *Bush Tax Cuts* v *2010 Primary Elections* ------------------------------ 1. Appointment of Elizabeth Warren v *Stealthy appointment raises skepticism of the credibility of the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.* President Obama has appointed Elizabeth Warren as assistant to the President and a special advisor to the Treasury Secretary responsible for overseeing creation of the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Officials did not rule out the possibility that Ms. Warren, a Harvard law professor, might eventually get the nomination to be the Bureau’s first director, a five-year presidential appointment that requires the consent of the Senate. Ms. Warren first proposed the idea of a consumer financial-products regulator in 2007, and many Democrats want her to be the first person to lead the agency. Elizabeth Warren faces logistical, legal and political challenges as she attempts to build credibility for the new Bureau. In selecting Ms. Warren, administration officials picked an outspoken critic of many credit-card and mortgage-lending practices who has called for an overhaul of the way banks treat consumers. And because she will instead be a senior adviser, Ms. Warren won't have the full powers that a Senate-confirmed director of the agency might have, but will also bypass the Senate confirmation process. This has created a stir of skepticism as supporters want to see a more permanent director in place and business groups fear Ms. Warren's loosely described job description will make the creation of the new agency less easy to track, especially since White House assistants are typically shielded from the Freedom of Information Act and can refuse to testify before Congress. A White House official said that Mr. Obama and Ms. Warren both felt that it was better to get her started on establishing an agency from scratch than on getting mired on a long confirmation fight or a controversy over a recess appointment. And until the agency’s first director is confirmed and powers from existing regulators are fully transferred to the new agency, much of the work at the CFPB will be planning and structural decisions as opposed to examinations *Check out: *WSJ’s Deal Journal: “Elizabeth Warren: Why Is Everyone Afraid of Her?”*-*<http://blogs.wsj.com/deals/2010/09/17/elizabeth-warren-why-is-everyone-afraid-of-her/>Compiles various opinions regarding Ms. Warren’s new appointment. * * ------------------------------ 2. Bush Tax Cuts v *The fate of the Bush tax cuts remains highly unlikely to be resolved before the midterm elections in November.* The expiration of President George W. Bush's 2001 tax cuts at the end of the year, has developed into a thorny economic issue for Congress as mid-term elections loom with expectations for a shift in control in the House and possibly Senate. Obama has repeatedly called for Congress to extend the Bush tax cuts benefiting the middle-class while letting tax breaks for the wealthy to expire on schedule at the end of the year. The fate of the Bush tax cuts remains highly unlikely to be resolved before the midterm elections in November. The Senate has already announced it will not take up the Bush tax cuts until after the election, but there are mixed signals in the House. As expected, both Democrats and Republicans are finding their stated positions on the issue to be valuable for electoral purposes. There are sharp divisions among Democrats in both chambers, and party leaders appear unwilling to force the issue at a time when their party is battling to retain control amid voter anger over the economy. But if Republicans win the Senate races in Illinois, Delaware and West Virginia, the new members could be sworn in immediately following the elections, instead of January, because the lawmakers who currently occupy those seats were appointed with terms ending after Nov. 2. This means Democrats could have a harder time in November to pass legislation that extends the middle-class tax cuts while allowing tax breaks for the wealthy to expire on schedule at the end of the year. Republican leaders in both chambers have repeatedly stated that a tax increase on anyone while the economy is weak would hinder recovery efforts. Several rank-and-file Democrats also support this position. There is no emerging consensus on a path forward, and thus there is a significant possibility that these tax breaks expire at year-end due to inability to find consensus in Congress. *Check out: *WSJ Political Diary: “Let Them Eat Tax Hikes”-<http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703904304575497894157033342.html?KEYWORDS=tax+cut>Discusses the letter from House Democrats to Speaker Nancy Pelosi urging a vote on extending the tax credits and the conundrum from all sides of the spectrum the Speaker faces in allowing or not allowing the vote. ------------------------------ 3. 2010 Primary Elections v *It is unlikely the Republicans will take back control of the Senate in November's midterm elections**.* Christine O’Donnell’s surprise victory in the Delaware Senate GOP primary left Republicans worried that the Senate is now out of their reach come November. Delaware, a state that would have almost certainly been a pick-up for the GOP is now likely to stay with the Democrats. This was the culmination of a primary season that saw voters turn against establishment Republicans. Tea Party-backed candidates have toppled two of the party’s incumbents and six candidates who were supported by insiders in Washington. Ms. O’Donnell’s win almost certainly reduces the possibility of a Republican takeover of the Senate. Strategists in both parties believe the number of competitive Senate races has now dropped to 10 from 11, which means winning the chamber would require Republicans to take every one of those races. Democrats and independents that caucus with them currently hold 59 seats in the 100-member Senate. It is obvious with these results that the GOP has largely failed to harness the power of Tea Party voters. Party leaders had hoped to tap into the frustration with the Democratic agenda and the hunger for a change in direction, especially with regard to the economy, however it has become obvious Tea Party voters have no desire for one party’s agenda over another. In effect, Democrats now can counter the GOP’s attempt to nationalize the election around the unpopular policies of the administration and Congress by making the case that the Republican Party has been taken over by extremists and asking voters if that’s the Republican Party they want to return to power. Together, the victories of the insurgent candidates in Republican primaries have given some hope to a dispirited Democratic party. *Check out:* NYT: The Caucus, “The Morning After: Whose Party Is It?”<http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/15/the-morning-after-whose-party-is-it/?hp> *- *Discusses the uneasy relationship with the Republican Party and the Tea Party movement, questioning how unified the command structure is within the GOP now, and how these two can get along as Democrats become the common enemy. ------------------------------ Please do not hesitate to contact us for any specific questions you may have regarding the above information or for any other issues you may have questions about. Best, Rosemont Seneca Partners 202-333-1880 *Please note that **the information given in this bulletin is solely for informational purposes**. *** *Joan K. Peugh* *Rosemont Seneca Partners* 1010 Wisconsin Avenue, NW Suite 705 Washington, DC 20007 T:(202) 333-1880 F: (202 333-1886 M: (202) 841-8543 jpeugh@rosemontseneca.co
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