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Good Evening,

Welcome to The Evening CSIS \u2014my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. If you want to view this in your browser, click here [ http://CSIS.informz.net/InformzDataService/OnlineVersion/Individual?mailingInstanceId=5344482&subscriberId=1062005454 ] . To subscribe, please send me an email at aschwartz@csis.org [ mailto:aschwartz@csis.org ] .

ISIS to Attack US
Director of National Intelligence James Clapper said today that ISIS was likely to attempt direct attacks on the US in the coming year and that the group was infiltrating refugees escaping from Iraq and Syria to move across borders, as Brian Bennett of the Los Angeles Times reports [ http://cs.is/1mqSGfM ] .

Dive Deeper: CSIS\u2019s Anthony Cordesman has published a new analysis, Key Trends in the Uncertain Metrics of Terrorism [ http://cs.is/1PKI2w6 ] . For this analysis, Dr. Cordesman has prepared a graphic survey of reporting from different officials, media, and research centers on the recent trends in terrorism and key related factors.

Budget Proposal
President Obama today sent a $4.1 trillion budget to Congress, which, as the Wall Street Journal\u2019s Nick Timiraos reports [ http://cs.is/1mqTIII ] , is not just \u201cdead on arrival\u201d but was probably \u201cdead before arrival.\u201d

Congressional Quarterly offers extensive coverage [ http://cs.is/1SeIaWV ] of the President\u2019s FY 17 budget proposal.


And, in an exclusive interview [ http://cs.is/1mqU2qN ] for Breaking Defense, Sydney Freedberg spoke with Deputy Defense Secretary Bob Work on details of the Pentagon\u2019s 2017 budget proposal.


Plus, Andrew Clevenger of Defense News reports [ http://cs.is/1SeGs87 ] that the DoD budget request seeks more for research and development and the fight against ISIS.

Dive Deeper: In a new Critical Questions (CSIS\u2019s signature series of asked & answered short papers) CSIS\u2019s Lisa Sawyer Samp and Mark Cancian published \u201cThe European Reassurance Initiative [ http://cs.is/1SeGM6B ] ,\u201d which discusses President Obama\u2019s FY 2017 budget proposal to quadruple funding for the European Reassurance Initiative (ERI) to $3.4 billion, up from $789 million in FY16.

Plus, last week CSIS\u2019s Kathleen Hicks and Heather Conley published a new report, Evaluating Future U.S. Army Force Posture in Europe [ http://cs.is/1Pm134r ] .


And, CSIS\u2019s Anthony Cordesman published a new commentary, \u201cDefense versus Mandatory Spending: What Drives the Burden on the Budget and Economy [ http://cs.is/1XgBTJR ] ?\u201d


In addition, for more critical defense analysis, visit the CSIS International Security Program\u2019s new micro website, \u201cDefense 360 [ http://cs.is/23tgeSR ] .\u201d

Cyber Revamp
As part of the Obama budget proposal the White House today laid out a broad Cybersecurity National Action Plan, calling for $19 billion to bolster cybersecurity and strengthen IT security defenses, as Defense One\u2019s Aliya Sternstein reports [ http://cs.is/1SeHzVd ] .

Dive Deeper: CSIS\u2019s Strategic Technologies program has developed an interactive timeline [ http://cs.is/1SeHWPK ] of significant cyber events.

CSIS Asia Economic Strategy Commission Micro Website Launched
CSIS\u2019s Asia Economic Strategy Commission today launched its new micro website [ http://cs.is/1SeIIw7 ] which will house all content for the Commission\u2019s work. The bipartisan Commission, chaired by Charlene Barshefsky, Evan Greenberg, and Jon Huntsman will develop a comprehensive strategy for the US to pursue vital interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Don\u2019t miss this website and its fantastic new interview with Co-Chair Jon Huntsman.

In that Number
$3.4 billion
The president\u2019s FY2017 budget proposes quadrupling the European Reassurance Initiative to $3.4 billion.
Source: CSIS [ http://csis.org/publication/european-reassurance-initiative ] .

Critical Quote
\u201cPolitics have changed, deficits have gone down, people are less concerned with the overall deficit and more concerned with security. We see that sentiment reflected in Congress.\u201d
\u2014Todd Harrison, director of defense budget analysis at CSIS, on the new FY2017 budget.
Source: Defense News [ http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense-news/2016/02/09/fiscal-hawks-defense-hike/80041208 ] .
One to Watch


( Photo Credit: Twitter. )
Brendan McGarry (@Brendan_McGarry [ https://twitter.com/Brendan_McGarry ] ) is the managing editor of Military.com. Brendan previously covered defense for Bloomberg News and Gannett. For the latest news on the military and the defense budget, Brendan is one to watch.

Optics


( Photo Credit: Mark Knoller [ https://twitter.com/markknoller/status/697111685811806208 ] . )
In the White House Roosevelt Room, President Obama discusses cybersecurity proposals, including a budget increase to $19 billion in funding.

Highly Recommended
\u201cNorway\u2019s \u2018Hunter Troop\u2019: The World\u2019s First All-Female Special Forces,\u201d [ http://cs.is/1Pj2wKX ] by Elisabeth Braw for Foreign Affairs .

CSIS Today
Today, CSIS hosted CJ Chivers [ http://csis.org/event/isis-hunt-wmds-navigating-nuclear-underworld-cj-chivers ] , a New York Times investigative reporter, for a talk on ISIS, WMDs, and how the international community should respond if terrorist groups were to acquire nuclear material.

This Town Tomorrow
Join the Atlantic Council tomorrow for a discussion on the scope, scale, and policy implications of the ongoing Syrian siege and crisis. Register [ http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/inside-the-sieges-the-scope-and-implications-of-besieged-syria ] online or watch live.

CSIS on Demand
Earlier this week, Andrew Shearer, former national security adviser of Australia, joined CSIS [ http://csis.org/event/australias-opportunities-security-and-international-development ] to discuss how Australia views challenges and opportunities through the lens of international development, and how Australia works with diverse stakeholders, including the private sector, to achieve its development and security objectives.

Sounds
As the United States plans to increase its presence and military readiness in Europe, CSIS\u2019s Kath Hicks talks through the thorny issues [ https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-csis-podcast/id214886950?mt=2 ] of managing the expectations of allies and handling a resurgent Russia.

I Like It Like That
Eye-catching things in CSIS's orbit
Columbia\u2019s Tow Center for Digital Journalism published a paper in December about the current state of Podcasting. Fascinating read. [ http://cs.is/1SGgWcs ]

Smiles
So, Monday\u2019s smile was a clip of America\u2019s current best rock and roll band, Wilco, performing their sensational song, \u201cMonday."

Monday (yesterday) was a big smile for me personally, and Wilco had something to do with it.

Thanks to my friend, the great NPR correspondent Michele Kellemen, I attended a taping of NPR\u2019s \u201cTiny Desk Concerts\u201d featuring Wilco.

At NPR, I had the pleasure of hanging out a bit with lead singer Jeff Tweedy (as you can see from the photo below.) I don\u2019t usually take selfies except with family. But with Jeff, I just had to. Cool guy, great musician, and fun to talk with about Donald Trump and cover tunes.

If you haven\u2019t heard Wilco\u2019s new album \u201cStar Wars,\u201d it\u2019s the best thing currently spinning in the galaxy. Here\u2019s one song [ http://cs.is/1SGd9fd ] from it that they played on The Late Show with Stephen Colbert the other night.

Feedback
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