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Good Evening,

Welcome to The Evening CSIS \u2014my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. If you want to view this in your browser, click here [ http://CSIS.informz.net/InformzDataService/OnlineVersion/Individual?mailingInstanceId=5337128&subscriberId=1062005454 ] . To subscribe, please send me an email at aschwartz@csis.org [ mailto:aschwartz@csis.org ] .

Most Durable
In a news conference at the White House today, President Obama said the US \u201cright now has the strongest, most durable economy in the world,\u201d as Bloomberg\u2019s Toluse Olorunnipa and Justin Sink report [ http://cs.is/1NUEthw ] .

Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal \u2019s Leslie Josephs reports [ http://cs.is/1NUGTMX ] that on Wall Street, the S&P 500 posted its biggest weekly decline since the start of the year, with technology shares suffering particularly sharp losses.

And, the Journal \u2019s Jon Hilsenrath reports [ http://cs.is/1NUEDp8 ] that today\u2019s news regarding job growth \u201clikely leaves Federal Reserve officials in a \u2018watchful waiting\u2019 mode as they consider whether to lift short-term interest rates at their next policy meeting in March.\u201d

Also, the Financial Times reports [ http://cs.is/1NUFBl8 ] on \u201cThe Small but serious threat of a US recession.\u201d

Call Xi
President Obama called President Xi Jinping of China to coordinate a response to North Korea\u2019s January 6 nuclear test, as the Wall Street Journal reports [ http://cs.is/1SQDpl9 ] .

And the Associated Press reports [ http://cs.is/1SQDTrm ] that satellite images showed that Pyongyang is moving closer to another test.

Dive Deeper: The US Korea Institute at SAIS\u2019s blog \u201c38 North\u201d [ http://cs.is/1SQE6uQ ] analyzed new commercial satellite imagery of the Sohae Satellite Launching Station (\u201cTongchang-dong\u201d) from February 3 and 4, which shows the arrival of tanker trucks at the launch pad, specifically at the old fuel/oxidizer bunkers.

And, CSIS\u2019s Bonnie Glaser and Victor Cha testified before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific, in mid-January on the US response to North Korea\u2019s aggression. Their statements and video of the House hearing can be accessed here [ http://bit.ly/1PsqPn6 ] .

Running for Their Lives
The New York Times \u2019 Anne Barnard reports [ http://cs.is/1SQBWv9 ] that the Syrian government, with assistance from Russia, pressed their most dramatic advance in months today, sending insurgents scrambling and tens of thousands of civilians fleeing toward the border with Turkey.

Dive Deeper: The Institute for the Study of War\u2019s Christopher Kozak today authored a must-read commentary: \u201cAssad Regime Gains in Aleppo Alter Balance of Power in Northern Syria.\u201d [ http://cs.is/1SQCjWz ]

Plus, CSIS\u2019s Anthony Cordesman yesterday published an extensive graphic overview of \u201cThe Human Cost of War in the Middle East.\u201d This is an early look [ http://cs.is/1SLM34s ] at a work in progress by Dr. Cordesman and a must see.

In that Number
5
Today is the fifth anniversary of the New START Treaty. The agreement goes into effect on February 5, 2018, and limits both the United States and Russia to an arsenal of 1,550 deployed warheads.
Source: US Department of State [ http://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2016/02/252210.htm ] .

Critical Quote
\u201cSuch sudden, unabashed references to Xi\u2019s dominance in the leadership suggest he finally has turned the page on crushing the cabal of senior officials who opposed his ascension.\u201d
\u2014Christopher Johnson, CSIS Freeman Chair in China Studies, on Chinese president Xi Jinping\u2019s new status as a world leader.
Source: New Y [ http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/05/world/asia/china-president-xi-jinping-core.html?_r=0 ] ork Times [ http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/05/world/asia/china-president-xi-jinping-core.html?_r=0 ] .

One to Watch


( Photo Credit: LinkedIn.)
Dan Lamothe (@DanLamothe [ https://twitter.com/DanLamothe ] ) is the journalist behind the Washington Post \u2019s Checkpoint military blog and was today named [ http://www.cnas.org/release/2016-next-gen-fellows-selected#.VrTZsPkrIdV ] a Next Generation National Security Fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Before joining WaPo , Dan covered national security for Foreign Policy and Marine Corps Times . For defense coverage, Dan is one to watch.

Optics
Colombian photographer Federico Rios [ https://twitter.com/federicorios ] was embedded with FARC guerillas, hoping to demystify them as their conflict with the government approaches a negotiated settlement; photographs and article [ http://nyti.ms/23GKrhE ] via the New York Times \u2019 Kirk Semple [ https://twitter.com/KirkSemple ] .

Highly Recommended
ICYMI: \u201cThe Imam\u2019s Curse: A family accused of financing terrorists,\u201d [ http://cs.is/20es4Mc ] by the New Yorker \u2019s Evan Osnos.

CSIS Today
Today, CSIS hosted a discussion on what\u2019s next for Taiwan after their presidential elections. To catch the event and insightful panel, click here. [ http://csis.org/event/taiwans-path-forward-post-presidential-elections-readout ]

CSIS Monday
Join us Monday as Andrew Shearer, Australia\u2019s former national security adviser, discusses how Australia views challenges and opportunities through the lens of international development and security. Register or watch live here [ http://csis.org/event/australias-opportunities-security-and-international-development ] .

This Town Monday
Join the German Marshal Fund on Monday at noon for a discussion on the shape of US global leadership under the next president. You can also catch the event livestreamed here [ http://www.gmfus.org/events/us-global-leadership-under-next-president-livestreamed ] .

CSIS on Demand
Listen as Tina Kaidanow, ambassador-at-large and coordinator for counterterrorism at the State Department, joined CSIS [ http://csis.org/event/countering-spread-isil-and-other-threats ] to discuss how the US is adapting its approach, partnerships, and tools to address the shifting threat environment of ISIS, specifically the civilian and diplomatic efforts led by State.

Sounds
On the latest episode [ http://warisboring.com/articles/as-conflict-engulfs-the-middle-east-the-israeli-army-cuts-officers ] of War Is Boring \u2019s War College podcast, journalist Noga Tarnopolsky explains why the Israel Defense Force is cutting back on the size of its officer corps and moving its central headquarters out of Tel Aviv.

I Like It Like That
Eye-catching things in CSIS's orbit
\u201cKissinger\u2019s Vision for US-Russia Relations,\u201d [ http://cs.is/1nQw4H7 ] by Dr. Henry Kissinger for the National Interest .

Smiles
Such sad news today that Earth, Wind & Fire\u2019s visionary founder Maurice White passed away at 74 after a battle with Parkinson\u2019s disease.

But I can\u2019t help but smile when I think of Maurice White. Nothing was bigger in the mid to late 1970s in Washington than EWF. They were the soundtrack to my childhood. Kids in my neighborhood brought out boom boxes to line dance in the streets to EWF, we played basketball to the groove of EWF, and my parents had them on the radio in their cars and on the stereo at home. All the time.

Their songs were undeniable masterpieces. And they sold over 100 million albums, making them one of the world\u2019s best-selling bands of all time. The songs were a joyful noise indeed, with titles like \u201cLet\u2019s Groove,\u201d \u201cFantasy\u201d and \u201cShining Star.\u201d

Most of all, their pop fusion was infectious. The contrasting vocal styles of Maurice White and Phillip Bailey blended perfectly. Maurice\u2019s little brother, Verdeen White, anchored the band on bass and ensured that their rhythm was out of this world.

In 1978, EWF played to a sold out audience at Washington\u2019s Capitol Centre. My parents went to the show. It seemed like everyone I knew wanted to go to the show or was talking about it. I remember it so clearly.

And then something astonishing happened. Through the magic of live television, Soul Train host Don Cornelius took viewers to the Capitol Centre to watch EWF live during his regular broadcast! Who knew that was possible back then? Soul Train was always self-contained in the studio. Live directly to the Capitol Centre\u2014where my mom and dad were boogieing in the sold out arena with EWF!

Here\u2019s what I saw and I highly recommend that you watch this whole clip [ http://cs.is/1ocR1Mh ] including the encore. Especially if you want to experience Maurice White\u2019s \u201cSerpentine Fire.\u201d

Maurice White and his music have made so many people smile. His voice \u201cwill ring forever as one\u201d across the globe.

Feedback
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