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Trump at Davos, State of the Union preview
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FROM:
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liz.schrayer@usglc.org
DATE:
2018-01-30 17:39:22
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<cf8552dc3dc04fb0ab19cae2060bbf75@usglc.org>
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TO:
H
Hunter Biden
<hbiden@rosemontseneca.com>
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Hunter- Did you watch President Trump's Davos speech? It was good to see the refrain repeated that "America first does not mean America alone" and that "America hopes for a future in which everyone can prosper and every child can grow up free from violence, poverty, and fear." At the same time, it will be important to see if the speech translates into any policy shifts on the international front. The first opportunity could come as early as tonight with the president said to be addressing 5 themes including trade and national security in his first State of the Union address. I remember 15 years ago when President George W. Bush announced the launch of PEPFAR - the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief - during his 2003 State of the Union address to Congress, a pivotal reminder of how bipartisan leadership from the White House to Capitol Hill can change the course of history for the better. Lots to read in this edition of the GLOBAL GAB including wise words from the top U.S. commander in the Middle East and why the CDC will be forced to pull out of more than three dozen countries. More soon, Liz Liz Schrayer, USGLC THE GLOBAL GAB January 30, 2018 DAVOS DOWNLOAD. President Trump became the first U.S. president in nearly two decades to descend upon the snowed-in Swiss village of Davos for the World Economic Forum, joining heads of state, business leaders, and change-makers from around the world. Fareed Zakaria gave kudos to the president on his speech and reported it as "extremely well received." Yet he noted the tension: "While global economies look reasonably stable, global politics are in turmoil... What will the world look like when China, Russia, Turkey and India have much more weight in global affairs?" Here are 3 of the top moments from some of the leading voices at Davos: * On global competition and development, Senator Bob Corker stated there was no question "China has been stepping it up for years... very aggressive." He added: "We are lacking in that regard" and signaled that he hopes to take some steps in the next couple weeks to counter their expansion, noting "I'm really talking more about... the development side of things." * UPS CEO David Abney made a powerful case for investing in women and girls telling the Davos crowd that "empowering women to participate equally in the global economy could add $28 trillion in GDP growth by 2025." * USAID Chief Mark Green launched the new Smart Communities Coalition to empower refugees through energy and Internet access. Led by USAID's Power Africa initiative and MasterCard, the coalition brings together over 25 private sector partners including World Vision, MercyCorps, and Microsoft. STATE OF THE UNION PREVIEW. A pre-speech memo reveals that the president will tackle 5 issues tonight: the jobs and the economy, infrastructure, immigration, trade, and national security. On the theme of trade, the president will lean on the "fair and reciprocal trade" message that he delivered on his recent speeches in Vietnam and Davos. And on national security, the president will stress the themes of "rebuilding our military" and "returning to a policy of peace through strength." * SMART FACT: At the height of Reagan's peace through strength platform, we spent 3 times what we do now on foreign assistance as a percentage of GDP. SHUTDOWN SHOWDOWN. After a budget impasse shut down the federal government for nearly 3 days, Congress passed its fourth short-term spending bill - extending current funding levels through to February 8th. Yet lawmakers are increasingly concerned about what the lack of a budget deal means for the entire national security portfolio. What would another shutdown mean for America's footprint around the world? Get the details here. http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=XmnzpDnTNKj5VnWfIhO_YA BUDGET DAY. It looks like it will be February 12th when White House Budget Director Mick Mulvaney releases the Administration's Fiscal Year 2019 budget proposal - delayed by a week due to the shutdown. With all the bipartisan pushback from Capitol Hill and the Combatant Commanders, we'll be watching to see if - yet again ¬- the Administration calls for deep and disproportionate cuts to the State Department, USAID, and the rest of America's development agencies. Stay tuned. SAVE THE CHILDREN. Last week brought a terrible reminder of the risks to aid workers with the horrific attack on one of Save the Children's offices in Afghanistan - a tragedy shared by far too many organizations in some of the most dangerous parts of the world. See Save the Children's growing and inspiring message online: "We remain strong for children - #NotATarget." http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=HFP5V5mulDGTIUdTc4sSqw AFRICA RISING. One of the most conservative elected officials, Senator Jim Inhofe (R-OK), writes that the President can put "America First" by engaging African nations as partners: "Trump has the opportunity to chart a new course in Africa focused on achieving mutual goals. 'America First' in Africa means building constructive relationships to advance our economic and security goals. China is already doing this; without action by Trump, we will fall behind." Worth listening to a guy who has traveled to the continent nearly 150 times. http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=-O6oRaQ07vFejEhVEj1hiw REBUILDING RAQQA. CENTCOM Commander General Joseph Votel joined USAID's Mark Green on a visit to Raqqa, Syria to assess the humanitarian needs after U.S.-backed forces drove out ISIS late last year. Recognizing that 80 percent of the Syrian population needs humanitarian assistance, General Votel told NPR, "it's about taking care of people, but it's also about removing the conditions that lead to things like insurgency and lead to instability," highlighting the importance of working with USAID to restore essential services. HEARD ON THE HILL. Three USGLC Advisory Council members testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee last week - President Reagan's Secretary of State, George Shultz; Bush 43's Deputy Secretary of State, Richard Armitage; and Secretary of State Henry Kissinger - discussing the ongoing budget and personnel issues: * Secretary Shultz thanked Congress for rejecting the proposed cuts to the State Department and other civilian agencies, noting "We need a strong [Department of State] and it is particularly important to have a strong inflow of talent. They aren't going to learn from the books, they need strong field experience." * Deputy Secretary Armitage: "You can't have a whole of government approach if you resource the State Department in an insufficient way. If it wasn't for Congress, we'd be down 30% at State." DANGEROUS DRAWDOWN. Troubling news from the CDC: the agency will soon be forced to scale back its work from 49 countries to just 10 when the supplemental funds following the Ebola outbreak run out. Without new resources, the U.S. will be forced to pull back its commitment to the Global Health Security Agenda - limiting our ability to strengthen weak health systems in fragile states and increasing the risk of another pandemic. SUFFERING IN SILENCE. CARE International just published its list of the 10 humanitarian crises that went most underreported in 2017. Among those are the emergencies in Eritrea and Burundi - where ongoing conflict and drought has left millions displaced without adequate food or water. Unless relief efforts are ramped up, the silent crises of today could all too easily become headline news tomorrow. http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=51xuk8IVxmqwvTO5uVSotg FROM CONDI TO REX. Secretary Tillerson sat down with his predecessor, Condoleezza Rice, at Stanford University, where she pushed him on key development issues noting: "There have been concerns about the commitment to... foreign assistance and to having those tools that American diplomats rely on to bring stability." In response, Tillerson hailed PEPFAR as the "gold standard of success" and praised the Millennium Challenge Corporation's accountability model as "wildly successful," but also noted that the president has asked if the rest of the world is doing its fair share. ON DEFENSE. Not to be confused with the National Security Strategy, the Pentagon's recently-released National Defense Strategy laid out its commitment to assisting the State Department, USAID, and other agencies to "identify and build partnerships to address areas of economic, technological, and informational vulnerabilities" adding that "long-term strategic competition requires the seamless integration of multiple elements of national power." RETIREMENTS STACK UP. House Appropriations Chairman Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-NJ) became the 9th GOP Committee Chairman to announce his forthcoming retirement for the end of the 115th Congress. His news comes on the heels of announcements from House Foreign Affairs Chairman Ed Royce (R-CA) and Senate Foreign Relations Chairman Bob Corker (R-TN) - and puts leadership on yet another key committee up for grabs in 2019. * Who is in the running to be the next House Appropriations chief? Reps. Kay Granger (R-TX), Tom Cole (R-OK), and Robert Aderholt (R-AL) - but if the House flips in the mid-term election, expect Rep. Nita Lowey (D-NY). NEW PLAYERS. The Administration kicked off 2018 with a number of new nominations for America's international affairs agencies and programs. Jody Olson - a former volunteer with two decades of service - was tapped to lead the Peace Corps. Sean Cairncross is set to be the next CEO of the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC). And Nadia Schadlow - lead author of the Administration's National Security Strategy - replaces Dina Powell as the next Deputy National Security Advisor. GALLUP GOES GLOBAL. According to a recent Gallup poll, U.S. global leadership took a nose dive this year in the eyes of the world - dropping 18 points from last year and ceding the top spot of "global leader" to Germany. http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=Z9EW9zi87REpgf5Hds6apg SMART READS. A few important pieces that you might have missed: * Bill Gates cautioned against an "America First" agenda that ignores Africa in an interview with Bloomberg from Davos, where he also announced his Foundation's new $83.6 million commitment to eradicate malaria in Central America. http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=Z5IdxDu7uQeyttyFWAXPyA * America's development finance institution has "great support" from the president and the "full support of the Administration" heading into the next budget cycle, according to the President and CEO of the U.S. Overseas Private Investment Corporation, Ray Washburne, in an interview with Bloomberg. http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=Iwx1-RIgD1ecny-QXxzL7A * The State Department should move to immediately "fill diplomatic posts", "cultivate young talent", and "advocate for funding" in order to "keep pace with a rapidly changing world" - from two former Deputy Secretaries of State, Jack Lew and Tom Nides. http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=Mc619LJMKI_d9qsUyl_lBA * The little known, yet remarkable story of how http://action.usglc.org/site/R?i=Y1zCArEgmyOxf1ok7tNQLA an American Foreign Service officer foretold the attack on Pearl Harbor eight months before it happened, from the President of the World Food Prize Foundation, Kenneth Quinn. 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