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Good Evening,

Welcome to The Evening CSIS \u2014my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. If you want to view this in your browser, click here [ http://CSIS.informz.net/InformzDataService/OnlineVersion/Individual?mailingInstanceId=5287967&subscriberId=1062005454 ] .

China Steps Up Construction
Using satellite images and analysis provided by CSIS\u2019s Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI), the Financial Times \u2019s Demetri Sevastopulo reports [ http://on.ft.com/1n1tHQF ] that \u201cChina has stepped up its construction of runways in the South China Sea since President Xi Jinping visited Washington in September, underscoring how US efforts to counter China\u2019s assertive stance there appear to be having little effect.\u201d

\u201cSatellite images of Subi Reef and Mischief Reef obtained by the Financial Times suggest that Beijing will soon complete two runways that will join a newly operational landing strip on a third reef called Fiery Cross in the contested waters.\u201d


Meanwhile, stocks around the world tumbled to their lowest levels in months as steep drops in oil prices and renewed troubles in China heightened investor anxiety about slowing global growth, as the Wall Street Journal \u2019s Corrie Driebusch reports [ http://on.wsj.com/1n1ynGi ] .

Dive Deeper: For more of CSIS\u2019s exclusive satellite images and analysis of Subi and Mischief Reef, visit CSIS\u2019s AMTI [ http://amti.csis.org ] .

ISIS Indonesia Attack
Life in Jakarta returned to normal on Friday as many in Indonesia seemed to shrug off yesterday\u2019s terrorist attack, reports [ http://nyti.ms/1n1wxW5 ] the New York Times \u2019 Joe Cochrane.

Dive Deeper: CSIS\u2019s Anthony Cordesman published a new commentary today, \u201cThe Real Meaning of ISIS\u2019s Expansion into Turkey, Afghanistan, and Indonesia [ http://bit.ly/1n1x1vh ] .\u201d

Burkina Faso Terrorist Attack
Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, the group\u2019s branch in North Africa, has claimed responsibility for the terrorist attack in Ouagadougou, the capital of Burkina Faso, AP reports [ http://bigstory.ap.org/article/5a7f676431f049b9a7d47093a6aab6d2/gunfire-explosions-near-hotel-burkina-fasos-capital ] . For live updates, visit here [ http://nyti.ms/1n1vbKY ] .

25 Years in Iraq
Sunday marks 25 years of bombing Iraq\u2014from the first Gulf War through to present day. CSIS\u2019s Mark Cancian and the CSIS iDeas Lab produced a new 4 minute video today that breaks down the pros and cons of using airpower alone in dealing with threats in the Middle East. It asks tough questions of how far this policy has gotten the US over the last 25 years. Our new video can be viewed here [ http://bit.ly/1n1y4eG ] .

In that Number
$5.1 billion

The amount of humanitarian aid that the US has donated to the Syrian people to date.
Source: White House [ https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2016/01/15/fact-sheet-maintaining-momentum-fight-against-isil ] .

Correction: Last night\u2019s In that Number misidentified Yemen as the destination for 10 Guantanamo Bay detainees. The detainees were in fact transferred to Oman.

Critical Quote
\u201cIt is all too predictable that ISIS will take every opportunity to strengthen its image, its \u2018legitimacy,\u2019 and its ability to raise funds and attract volunteers by affiliating with other violent Islamic extremist movements.\u201d
\u2014Anthony Cordesman, CSIS Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy, on ISIS\u2019s expansion.
Source: CSIS [ http://csis.org/publication/us-west-and-islam-real-meaning-isiss-expansion-turkey-afghanistan-and-indonesia ] .

One to Watch


( Photo Credit: Twitter. )

Fion Li (@fion_li [ https://twitter.com/fion_li ] ) is Bloomberg\u2019s new Hong Kong bureau chief. Fion has reported from Bloomberg\u2019s Hong Kong bureau since 2011 and previously covered China\u2019s financial sector for Reuters. Fion is one to watch for financial news out of Asia.

Optics
The Atlantic released a retrospective photo essay [ http://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2016/01/operation-desert-storm-25-years-since-the-first-gulf-war/424191 ] ahead of the 25th anniversary of Operation Desert Storm.

Highly Recommended
\u201cHappy Birthday Wikipedia [ http://econ.st/1n1t1Lh ] \u201d by The Economist .

CSIS Monday
Join us Monday [ http://csis.org/event/banyan-tree-leadership-forum-malcolm-turnbull ] at 3:00 p.m. as CSIS hosts Australian prime minister Malcolm Turnbull for a discussion on Australia\u2019s foreign policy and the opportunities facing the US-Australia relationship in the coming years.

CSIS on Demand
Yesterday Deborah Lee James, secretary of the US Air Force, joined CSIS for a discussion on the US campaign against ISIS, plans for peace in Syria, and the issues women face in the military. Catch the fascinating discussion here [ http://csis.org/event/smart-women-smart-power-conversation-deborah-lee-james-secretary-air-force ] .

Sounds
Check out the latest episode [ https://soundcloud.com/cfr_org/the-world-next-week-january-14-2016 ] of CFR\u2019s The World Next Week podcast, which covers OPEC, Taiwan, and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.

I Like It Like That
Eye-catching things in CSIS's orbit

People are talkin\u2019 and tweeting about Julian Borger of The Guardian \u2019s new book, \u201cThe Butcher's Trail: How the Search for Balkan War Criminals Became the World's Most Successful Manhunt.\u201d It comes out next week. Preview it here [ http://amzn.to/1n1sbOF ] .

Smiles
It\u2019s hard to believe that Van Morrison once suffered from a horrible case of stage fright. In 1974, in his prime, and after touring the world for 10 years, Morrison settled into a series of small club gigs. He\u2019d hoped that the intimacy of the clubs would help him reconnect with his audience far better than the seas of people he experienced at places like the Montreux Jazz Festival.

In late July of \u201974, Morrison performed the last of his small club shows at the Orphanage in San Francisco. PBS filmed the set in the interests of historic preservation. And historic it is. Just take Van\u2019s reading of the Bobby \u201cBlue\u201d Bland penned \u201cAin\u2019t Nothing You Can Do [ http://bit.ly/1RLXf2j ] .\u201d Nothing you can do but smile.


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