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The Evening: Trump-Russia, Abbas Visit, Tom Petty and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, May 2nd.


** Trump-Putin
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President Trump and President Vladimir Putin of Russia agreed today to work together to broker a cease-fire in Syria, as they sought to move past weeks of tension after a chemical attack on Syrian civilians and a retaliatory American cruise missile strike, as the
New York Times’ Peter Baker and Neil MacFarquhar report (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/02/world/europe/trump-putin-syria.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .

And, during a tense appearance with Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, President Vladimir Putin denied today that Moscow ever interferes in elections in other countries, as the AP reports (http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/germanys-merkel-arrives-russia-talks-putin-47152355?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .


** Another Country Heard From
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South Korea is on the brink of electing a liberal president with distinctly different ideas than the Trump administration on how to deal with North Korea—potentially complicating efforts to punish Kim Jong Un’s regime, as the
Washington Post’s Anna Fifield reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/south-koreas-likely-next-president-warns-the-us-not-to-meddle-in-its-democracy/2017/05/02/2295255e-29c1-11e7-9081-f5405f56d3e4_story.html?utm_term=.4e78c893ab02&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .

And, North Korea complained today about a flyover of a pair of U.S. supersonic bombers, as the Central Intelligence Agency’s director wrapped up a three-day visit to South Korea and the U.S. declared a missile-defense system (THAAD) that it is installing in South Korea operational, as the Wall Street Journal’s Jonathan Cheng reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-protests-flyover-of-u-s-bombers-1493734379?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .

Meanwhile, the United States is negotiating with China on a possible stronger UN Security Council response—such as sanctions—to North Korea’s repeated ballistic missile launches, which the 15-member body normally condemns in a statement, as Reuters’ Michelle Nichols reports (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-nuclear-un-idUSKBN17Y2AG?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s interactive micro-website “Missile Threat” for more on the THAAD system (https://missilethreat.csis.org/system/thaad/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .


** Abbas Visit
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Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas’ relief at being invited to the White House is now clouded by concerns he might have to say no to President Trump in their first meeting Wednesday, as the AP reports (http://wtop.com/government/2017/05/at-white-house-abbas-to-ask-trump-to-back-arab-peace-plan/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .

Meanwhile, Hamas has produced a new policy document that stops short of recognizing Israel, as the BBC’s Yolande Knell reports (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-39775103?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) . Seeking to present a more moderate public face, Hamas waters down the anti-Semitic language from its charter and accepts at least a provisional Palestinian state—though it still does not formally recognize Israel.

Dive Deeper: See the Washington Institute’s “The Trump-Abbas Meeting: Issues, Constraints, and Ways Forward (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/the-trump-abbas-meeting-issues-constraints-and-ways-forward?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) ,” by Ghaith al-Omari, Ehud Yaari, David Makovsky, and Dennis Ross.

And see Brookings’ “A U.S. plan for the Abbas-Trump meeting (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/markaz/2017/05/02/a-u-s-plan-for-the-abbas-trump-meeting/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) ,” by Hady Amr and Ilan Goldenberg.


**
New CSIS Survey
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CSIS is conducting a study of DOD strategy formulation. To get a sense of how the national security community uses current strategy documents, we would like to ask you a few questions (https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/ZNCSCRG) .


** In That Number
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** 6.9%
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The annual rate by which China’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew in the first quarter of 2017—China’s strongest quarterly performance in 18 months. Source: Financial Times (https://www.ft.com/content/cca9dd28-20de-11e7-a454-ab04428977f9?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “The Belt and Road’s expansiveness is a double-edged sword. Chinese officials can highlight individual successes and can claim international support. Beneath its global banner, though, the Belt and Road is mostly bilateral deal-making.”
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—CSIS’s Jonathan E. Hillman authored a new commentary today in the Cipher Brief, “Belt and Road Summit: Beijing’s Push on Trade (https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/asia/belt-and-road-summit-beijings-push-trade-1095?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .”


** iDeas Lab
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In March, CSIS’s International Security Program released Recalibrating U.S. Strategy toward Russia: A New Time for Choosing (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/170329_Hicks_USStrategyTowardRussia_Web.pdf?PHeYffp2ZLh9ZiFy7s99TukdFvRdWRLX&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) , a report that provides policymakers with a clearer understanding of Russia’s strategic motives and objectives and lays out a comprehensive strategy to shift U.S. policy toward Russia. The report features several case studies examining Russia’s use of force in countries such as Syria, Ukraine, and Georgia.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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(Photo Credit: ALEXANDER NEMENOV/AFP/Getty Images.)
Russian president Vladimir Putin shakes hands with German chancellor Angela Merkel today in Sochi.


** Recommended Reading
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“The greatest reporter of our time, and why we should never forget him (https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/the-greatest-reporter-of-our-time-and-why-we-should-never-forget-him/2017/04/27/c97665ea-2435-11e7-bb9d-8cd6118e1409_story.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) ,” on David Halberstam, by the
Washington Post’s Geoff Edgers.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the CSIS Energy and National Security Program at 8:30 a.m. for the launch of a new speaker series, “Energy in America (https://www.csis.org/events/energy-america-conversation-lisa-murkowski-and-maria-cantwell?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) ,” featuring Senators Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Maria Cantwell (D-WA).

Join CSIS’s Europe Program at 11:00 a.m. for "On America's Arctic Frontline (https://www.csis.org/events/americas-arctic-frontline-conversation-admiral-paul-f-zukunft-commandant-us-coast-guard?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) ," featuring a conversation with Admiral Paul F. Zukunft, commandant of the U.S. Coast Guard, on the work of the Arctic Coast Guard Forum and the service’s overall readiness to meet the challenges of an emerging new ocean.

Join the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace at 5:00 p.m. for a book discussion (http://carnegieendowment.org/2017/05/03/superfast-primetime-ultimate-nation-relentless-invention-of-modern-india-event-5571?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) of Superfast Primetime Ultimate Nation: The Relentless Invention of Modern India, by Adam Roberts.


** On Demand
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Today, CSIS and the U.S. Naval Institute (USNI) hosted “Congress & Seapower: The View from the Hill (https://www.csis.org/events/congress-navy-view-hill?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) ,” featuring Representatives Rob Wittman (R-VA) and Joe Courtney (D-CT).


** Sounds
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Russian Roulette released a bonus episode “Of French Elections,” to discuss the French-Russian relationship and how the presidential election in France could play a role.

You can listen on iTunes (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/russian-roulette/id1112258664?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/of-french-elections-russian?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .


** Smiles
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Gotta’ do one more Petty track (yes I’m obsessed) from Farm Aid, this one from the inaugural 1985 concert. It’s a stellar performance of “Refugee (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKQ8_yUiIMc&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789) .” Enjoy!
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=687721f932-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-687721f932-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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