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=?utf-8?Q?Axios_Sneak_Peek:_Europe_jolted_=3F=E2=80=94_Globalist_Gar?= =?utf-8?Q?y_=E2=80=94_Iran_and_Russia_sanctions?=
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2017-05-28 19:59:05
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Presented by Koch Industries:
<p>Europe jolted \u2014 Globalist Gary \u2014 Iran and Russia sanctio=s</p>
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<span class="main-header" style="font-size: 44px; font-family: 'gorditaium', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #008dc8; letter-spacing: -1px= line-height: 1;">Axios Sneak Peek</span>
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<span class="bodytext" style="font-size: 13px; color: #222222; font-fa=ily: 'gorditamedium', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; ">By Jonathan Swan = <span style="margin: 0 6px;">·</span>May 28, 2017<=span>
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<p><strong>Welcome to Sneak Peek,</strong> our weekly lookahead for both en=s of Pennsylvania Avenue. <strong>I'd love</strong> your tips and feedback= <a href="mailto:jonathan@axios.com" target="_blank">jonathan@axios.co=</a>.</p><p><strong>And...you asked for it ... You got it!</strong> Axios =M \u2014 Mike Allen's super-quick take on what's happened while you've n doing actual work \u2014 detonates Tuesday afternoon following the =oliday weekend. <a href="http://link.axios.com/join/pm-signup" target=_blank">Sign up here</a></p>
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1 big thing: Trump jolts Europe
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<p>After spending time with President Trump at the G7, German Chancellor An=ela Merkel has concluded that the United States can no longer be relied up=n as a security blanket for Europe. <strong>Merkel's comments foreshadow a=transformation of</strong><strong> the U.S.-European alliances that have urwritten post-WWII stability. </strong>Her comments, Sunday, <a href="=ttp://link.axios.com/click/9719544.27914/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuYWZwLmNvbS9lbi9uZ=dzLzgyNi9tZXJrZWwtd2FybnMtdXMtYnJpdGFpbi1uby1sb25nZXItcmVsaWFibGUtcGFydG5l=nM_dXRtX3NvdXJjZT1uZXdzbGV0dGVyJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPW5NsZXR0ZXJfYXhpb3NzbmVha3BlZWs/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cB6e4eb21b" target="_blank">per the AFP</a>:</p><ul><li>Europe "must take its fate into its=own hands" faced with a western alliance divided by Brexit and Donald Trum='s presidency, Merkel told a crowd Sunday at an election rally in Munich, =outhern Germany.</li><li>While Germany and Europe would strive to remain o= good terms with America and Britain, "we have to fight for our own destin=", Merkel went on. Special emphasis was needed on warm relations between B=rlin and newly-elected French President Emmanuel Macron, she said.</li><li="We Europeans truly have to take our fate into our own hands."</li><li>"Th= times in which we could completely depend on others are on the way out. <=trong>I've experienced that in the last few days."</strong></li></ul><stro=g></strong><p><strong>What's behind this:</strong> Trump publicly lectured=NATO allies that they must stop shirking their financial commitments and b=gin paying for their own defense rather than relying on the U.S. While the=White House publicly refutes this, Trump's unmistakable message to Europe =n his first foreign trip was that the days of unquestioning protection fro= the U.S. are over. </p><p><strong>Side note: </strong>As the NYT's Maggie=Haberman <a href="http://link.axios.com/click/9719544.27914/aHR0cHM6Ly90=2l0dGVyLmNvbS9tYWdnaWVOWVQvc3RhdHVzLzg2ODg0MzIyNjAyMjc3NjgzMj91dG1fc291cmN=PW5ld3NsZXR0ZXImdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249bmV3c2xldHRlcl9heG=vc3NuZWFrcGVlaw/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cBca0521ba" target="_blank">point= out</a>, the place where Merkel's comments will be best received is Russi=. Putin is constantly looking for ways to sow discord between European cou=tries and the United States. (Though, it's also worth noting that if NATO =ountries respond to Trump's pressure by meeting their defense spending com=itments, this is bad news for Putin.)</p><p><strong>What's next: </strong>=rump unsettled Merkel by making the U.S. the only G7 nation to refusing to=reaffirm the Paris Accord on climate change. (We <a href="http://link.ax=os.com/click/9719544.27914/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuYXhpb3MuY29tL3Njb29wLXRydW1wLXR=bGxzLWNvbmZpZGFudHMtaGUtcGxhbnMtdG8tbGVhdmUtcGFyaXMtY2xpbWF0ZS1kZWFsLTI0Mj=0NDY3NzYuaHRtbD91dG1fc291cmNlPXR3aXR0ZXImdXRtX21lZGl1bT10d3NvY2lhbHNoYXJlJ=V0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1vcmdhbmlj/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cBb962e0c2" target="_b=ank">scooped</a> yesterday that Trump has told confidants he's planning to=exit the Paris deal. With Trump there's always the caveat that he could ch=nge his mind...But based on my conversations over the past 24 hours, I exp=ct EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt will present a detailed withdrawal plan =o Trump and Trump will act on it.) </p>
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2. Hardliners vs \U0001f30e (aka Gary Cohn)
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<p>Almost three days have passed since Gary Cohn expressed <a href="http:=/link.axios.com/click/9719544.27914/aHR0cDovL2FiY25ld3MuZ28uY29tL1BvbGl0aW=zL3dpcmVTdG9yeS93aGl0ZS1ob3VzZS1hZHZpc2VyLWRpZmZlcnMtY29hbC1sb3ZpbmctcHJlc=lkZW50LTQ3NjY2MTU3P3V0bV9zb3VyY2U9bmV3c2xldHRlciZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWlsJnV0=V9jYW1wYWlnbj1uZXdzbGV0dGVyX2F4aW9zc25lYWtwZWVr/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cB6c6fbd" target="_blank">skepticism</a> about the future of the U.S. coal=industry, but expect conservative hardliners to keep weaponizing Cohn's co=ments.</p><p><strong>The offending comments, </strong>made by the Presiden='s top economic advisor Thursday aboard Air Force One: "Coal doesn't even =ake that much sense anymore as a feedstock. Natural gas ... is such a clea=er fuel ... If you think about how solar and how much wind power we've cre=ted in the United States, we can be a manufacturing powerhouse and still b= environmentally friendly."</p><p><strong>The conservative backlash:</stro=g></p><ul><li><strong>Breitbart News,</strong> the right-wing website form=rly run by Trump's chief strategist Steve Bannon, ran an immediate hit pie=e <a href="http://link.axios.com/click/9719544.27914/aHR0cDovL3d3dy5icmV=dGJhcnQuY29tL2JpZy1nb3Zlcm5tZW50LzIwMTcvMDUvMjYvZ2FyeS1jb2huLXJlbGF1bmNoZX=td2FyLW9uLWNvYWwtZnVlbC1mcm9tLWFtZXJpY2FzLWhlYXJ0bGFuZC1kb2VzbnQtbWFrZS1td=NoLXNlbnNlLWFueW1vcmUvP3V0bV9zb3VyY2U9bmV3c2xldHRlciZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWls=nV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1uZXdzbGV0dGVyX2F4aW9zc25lYWtwZWVr/5871993924c17c54d77a8bdd6a3e01" target="_blank">accusing</a> Cohn of launching a "war on coa=." The website followed by <a href="http://link.axios.com/click/9719544.y14/aHR0cDovL3d3dy5icmVpdGJhcnQuY29tL2JpZy1nb3Zlcm5tZW50LzIwMTcvMDUvMjcvZ=hjbHVzaXZlLXNlbi1qb2UtbWFuY2hpbi13ZS1uZWVkLXRvLWVkdWNhdGUtZ2FyeS1jb2huLWEt=Gl0dGxlLWJpdC1iZXR0ZXItb24tY3J1Y2lhbC1yb2xlLW9mLWNvYWwvP3V0bV9zb3VyY2U9bmVxldHRlciZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWlsJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1uZXdzbGV0dGVyX2F4aW9zc2=lYWtwZWVr/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cB0f7db83a" target="_blank">goading</a>=Joe Manchin \u2014 "a Democratic U.S. Senator from the heart of coal co=ntry in West Virginia" \u2014 into attacking Cohn from the right.</li><=i><strong>Fun thing:</strong> Breitbart is embracing the \U0001f30e emoj= in headlines relating to Cohn. (As we told you a few weeks back, this is =he nickname that nationalists in the Trump administration use in text mess=ges to refer to the man they also call "Globalist Gary.")</li><li><strong>=yron Ebell,</strong> who ran Trump's EPA transition team and wrote the age=cy's action plan, isn't happy about Cohn's comments and emails me: "NEC Ch=irman Gary Cohn does not represent the people who voted for Donald J. Trum= ... I hope that what President Trump learned is that the other G7 leaders=are marching in lockstep in the wrong direction and that it is up to him t= lead the world towards energy abundance and prosperity."</li><li><strong>=homas Pyle, </strong>who headed Trump's energy transition team, emailed me=this in response to Cohn's comments: "The wind and solar industry has been=built on the backs of American taxpayers and yet still produce a tiny frac=ion of the energy we consume in the U.S., significantly less than coal. Pr=sident Trump is a successful businessman who understands the severe impact= that the policies of politicians past have had on working class families =n the American Rust Belt. He hardly needs to evolve on this subject."</li>=/ul>
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3. The shows
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<p>The President had the generals representing him on Sunday's shows. Gener=l Mattis outlined the strategy to destroy ISIS and General Kelly beat back=questions about Jared Kushner's reported request for a secret backchannel =o communicate with the Russians. </p><p><strong>Defense Secretary James Ma=tis</strong> to John Dickerson on CBS' "Face the Nation":</p><ul><li><stro=g>On ISIS:</strong> "Probably the most important thing we're doing now is =e're accelerating this fight. We're accelerating the tempo of it."</li><li=<strong>Strategic shift: </strong>"We have already shifted from attrition tics where we shove them from one position to another in Iraq and Syria,=to annihilation tactics where we surround them."</li><li><strong>Elaborati=g: </strong>"You see that right now, for example, in western Mosul that is=surrounded... We have got efforts underway right now to surround their sel=-declared caliphate capital of Raqqa. That surrounding operation is going =n. And once surrounded, then we'll go in and clean them out."</li><li><str=ng>The money quote:</strong> Dickerson asked Mattis what keeps him up at n=ght. Mattis' response <a href="http://link.axios.com/click/9719544.27914=aHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS9GYWNlVGhlTmF0aW9uL3N0YXR1cy84Njg4NDMzNTI1MDYyMT=zNTI_dXRtX3NvdXJjZT1uZXdzbGV0dGVyJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduP=5ld3NsZXR0ZXJfYXhpb3NzbmVha3BlZWs/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cBdcda82ad" targe="_blank">raced</a> around social media: "Nothing. I keep other people a=ake at night."</li></ul><p><strong>Homeland Security Secretary John Kelly<=strong> to Martha Raddatz on ABC's "This Week":</p><ul> <li><strong>On Kus=ner backchannel reports:</strong> "It's both normal, in my opinion, and ac=eptable. Any way that you can communicate with people, particularly organi=ations that are maybe not particularly friendly to us is a good thing."</l=><li><strong>On which security vulnerability concerns him most: </strong>"=viation ... we're very definitely going to raise the bar in terms of bagga=e security."</li></ul><p><strong>Budget bonus:</strong> Lindsey Graham giv=s reason #459 why Trump's budget is dead on arrival. The hawkish Republica= Senator told Dana Bash on CNN's "State of the Union": "Twenty-nine percen= reduction in State Department funding, that takes soft power off the tabl= ... destroying soft power does not make us safer. And that's what his bud=et does."</p>
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<p class="bodytext" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; margin-botto=: 0 !important; font-size: 11px !important; letter-spacing: 1.4px; font-fa=ily: 'gordita', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #008dc8; text-transfo=m: uppercase; font-weight:700;">A message from Koch Industries</p>
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<span class="bodytext hed" style="font-size: 27px; font-family: 'gordit=medium', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #222222; letter-spacing: -0.=px; line-height: 1.5;">Making more with less</span>
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<img src="https://cdn.adsnative.com/media/20388/1c5d1d5c-1852-45a8-a894-5a8eed567.jpg" alt="" width="600" style="width:100%" />
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At Koch, we aren\u2019t afraid to challenge the status quo. Thats why our 70,000 U.S. employees are constantly pushing the boundary of w=at is possible, finding new ways to make life\u2019s essentials better =hile using fewer resources. <a href="http://link.axios.com/click/9719544'914/aHR0cHM6Ly9iZXZvLXVzLWVhc3QtMS5hZHNuYXRpdmUuY29tL2NrP3VybD1odHRwOi8v=nMuc2VydmluZy1zeXMuY29tL3NlcnZpbmcvYWRTZXJ2ZXIuYnM_Y24lM0R0cmQlMjZtYyUzRGN=aWNrJTI2cGxpJTNEMjA2MTA0NzklMjZQbHVJRCUzRDAlMjZvcmQlM0QxNDk1ODkzMDM0NDk1Jm=hdGE9WlRKalpUZGlOV0V5WW1SbFpETm1Nell3T0dFNU1USXpNRGcwWWpOaE56TTBOMkZqTXpGb=ptSTFOemxoT1Rka1pqVmtaREV5TmpRMVpqUTNNelF4TWpFelpHRTVaR0kwTnpnek16UTFOV0pt=kRnNFpqRTNObVF4T0RWbVpqRXlaRE0xTjJSa056UXdNak01T1RFeU9XVmxNRFJqTVRaaFptUmp=amxoT1RSbFpETTFPRGhpWkdGak1qaGlaVGhsTm1ObFlUZ3laVFEzWTJGa00ySmlNRE15WW1SbE=tWXhaV1kzTTJRNU9USmxOekV5WmpOall6WXpabVpoT1dJd1pEQTBPR1ExT0dFek9UVTJNelZoT=RReE4yWXdaVGN6TVRKa09USTNOalF4WlRGaE1XVTBOekl5WVdRME1qbGxNVE15Tm1VNE1XTTJP=1U1Tm1Sa01qbGxOR1U0TVRVek9EQTVPRGc1T0dFMVpqSTJNV0l5TURJNE56QTBZbVkzTWpjd1p=TmxaVEF4WmpWaU1qUmpPV1k0WTJFNFltRmtNMlJqTldKak16VSUzRCZzaWQ9MzJhM2FkODI4OT=lNDBhNDllZDI0OWYxYmVhYmIzZmVfNDcxZDRmZGMlMjZkZWFjdGl2YXRlX2RlZHVwZSUzRDEmd=RtX3NvdXJjZT1uZXdzbGV0dGVyJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPW5ld3Ns=XR0ZXJfYXhpb3NzbmVha3BlZWs/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cBffcf3f7a" target=80_blank\u201d class="adLink">Learn more.</a>
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4. Coming attractions
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<p>The House and Senate are in recess this week, but leadership sources in =oth chambers preview important legislation that'll land when Congress retu=ns on June 5. </p><p><strong>In the House:</strong> A leadership source te=ls me he anticipates the "Financial CHOICE Act" will hit the House floor w=en they return. The bill repeals and rolls back major pieces of the Dodd-F=ank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act \u2014 the sweeping =inancial regulations that President Obama pushed through after the 2008 fi=ancial crash. </p><ul><li>Repealing Dodd-Frank has been a priority for Rep=blicans, led by House Financial Services Committee chair Jeb Hensarling. <=li><li>Republicans say Dodd-Frank crushed community banks and stifled econ=mic growth. Democrats say removing these regulations will likely lead to m=re reckless Wall Street behavior and ultimately another crash.</li></ul><d=v></div><p><strong>In the Senate:</strong> A big veterans' bill designed t= "reform the VA by allowing the secretary to dismiss bad employees and ens=re appropriate due process protections for whistleblowers," says Mitch McC=nnell's spokesman Don Stewart. <strong>Bill highlights,</strong> per Rebec=a Coffman of Concerned Veterans for America<strong>:</strong></p><ul><li>R=duces the time it takes to terminate an employee found to have engaged in =isconduct.</li><li>Requires the VA Secretary to explain to Congress why he=or she didn't follow through on a recommendation to terminate someone.</li=<li>Takes VA employees who are found to have engaged in misconduct off the=payroll while they are going through the termination and appeals process.<=li><li>Allows VA Secretary to retroactively take back bonuses given to emp=oyees who engage in misconduct or commit a crime.</li><li>Reduces pensions=of VA employees found guilty of felonies related to their employment at th= VA.</li></ul>
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5. 1 thing to watch: Dems to tie Russia to Iran
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<p>A well-placed Senate Democratic aide emails this tip: "Expect many Senat= Dems to push for the Senate to not do Iran sanctions without Russian sanc=ions."<br></p><p><strong>What this means:</strong> Democratic leaders will=exploit the ties between Iran and Russia \u2014 and the administration'= weak position with regard to anything concerning Russia \u2014 to dema=d that no new sanctions are imposed on Iran without additional sanctions t= Russia.</p><p><strong>Our thought bubble: </strong>Democrats who support =he Iran nuke deal, like former Secretary of State John Kerry, are worried =bout a <a href="http://link.axios.com/click/9719544.27914/aHR0cDovL3d3dy=3ZWVrbHlzdGFuZGFyZC5jb20vaXJhbi1zYW5jdGlvbnMtYmlsbC1wYXNzZXMtb3V0LW9mLXNlbZS1jb21taXR0ZWUtb3ZlcndoZWxtaW5nbHkvYXJ0aWNsZS8yMDA4MjA1P3V0bV9zb3VyY2U9=mV3c2xldHRlciZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPWVtYWlsJnV0bV9jYW1wYWlnbj1uZXdzbGV0dGVyX2F4aW95lYWtwZWVr/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cBd555b266" target="_blank">bill</a>=that passed through the Senate Foreign Relations Committee last week. The =ill imposes new sanctions on Iran over its ballistic missile tests and oth=r destabilizing behavior. These additional sanctions don't relate to the n=clear deal, but some Democrats are anxious that imposing these sanctions c=uld unravel the Iran deal. </p>
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<p class="bodytext" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; margin-botto=: 0 !important; font-size: 11px !important; letter-spacing: 1.4px; font-fa=ily: 'gordita', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #008dc8; text-transfo=m: uppercase; font-weight:700;">A message from Koch Industries<img src="=ttps://bevo-us-east-1.adsnative.com/ca.gif?action_name=email_open&data=ZjBjZjg5MzhhOWFiOGU2YWRmMTViOTg1NGRmYzkwYzgzNGUwOWM0OGI1ZjFmOGFkMzU0ZDgz=zhlYmNhMDZjN2MzZWZhMWVhZjAzOTEwNWFhMmE0YmE5MWJkNzZmMmU4YTUzMzhlOTNmYTg4NGV=YTc2NjQwYjhhMmYzYzYyNmViYmFmODkzYmI4NDA1OGViNTg5OWM4ZjE5NTJmYTIyMzA0MGU2Zm=iNzEyNGI1YzIyODAzZTM4MWU3MjRhNjQ2YWFmM2Q5YWYyNGJjZDAyNzQ2YjExNjViMmIyNGZjO=gwY2YwNDIyNmRmMTJiMDg2NGYyNWYzNjU5ZjU4ZjhmMDY4MjVlMjA5NTMzNWMzNDVjZTNiZGQ4=mJmYWYyNDhhMTdmMmJkYWM5NTZjYTgzYmI1NzY5NDZhZWUzNmVmMzU%3D&sidf39475a91fc9b9eabec4471e47e_5de4eb13%26deactivate_dedupe%3D1" width="1" />
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<span class="bodytext hed" style="font-size: 26px; font-family: 'gordit=medium', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #222222; letter-spacing: -0.=px; line-height: 1.5;">Where challenge meets opportunity</span>
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Innovating new ways to make everyday products better while using fewer natu=al resources is a huge challenge, but at Koch, it\u2019s one our 70,000=U.S. employees accept every day. <a href="http://link.axios.com/click/9744.27914/aHR0cHM6Ly9iZXZvLXVzLWVhc3QtMS5hZHNuYXRpdmUuY29tL2NrP3VybD1odHR=Oi8vYnMuc2VydmluZy1zeXMuY29tL3NlcnZpbmcvYWRTZXJ2ZXIuYnM_Y24lM0R0cmQlMjZtYy=zRGNsaWNrJTI2cGxpJTNEMjA2MTA0ODAlMjZQbHVJRCUzRDAlMjZvcmQlM0QxNDk1ODkzMDM0N=cxJmRhdGE9WmpCalpqZzVNemhoT1dGaU9HVTJZV1JtTVRWaU9UZzFOR1JtWXprd1l6Z3pOR1V3 NME9HSTFaakZtT0dGa016VTBaRGd6TXpobFltTmhNRFpqTjJNelpXWmhNV1ZoWmpBek9URXd=V0ZoTW1FMFltRTVNV0prTnpabU1tVTRZVFV6TXpobE9UTm1ZVGc0TkdWaFlUYzJOalF3WWpoaE=tWXpZell5Tm1WaVltRm1PRGt6WW1JNE5EQTFPR1ZpTlRnNU9XTTRaakU1TlRKbVlUSXlNekEwT=dVMlptUmlOekV5TkdJMVl6SXlPREF6WlRNNE1XVTNNalJoTmpRMllXRm1NMlE1WVdZeU5HSmpa5TnpRMllqRXhOalZpTW1JeU5HWmpPRGd3WTJZd05ESXlObVJtTVRKaU1EZzJOR1l5TldZek5=VTVaalU0WmpobU1EWTRNalZsTWpBNU5UTXpOV016TkRWalpUTmlaR1E0Wm1KbVlXWXlORGhoTV=kbU1tSmtZV001TlRaallUZ3pZbUkxTnpZNU5EWmhaV1V6Tm1WbU16VSUzRCZzaWQ9ZWVmMzk0N=VhOTVkNDFmYzliOWVhYmVjNDQ3MWU0N2VfNWRlNGViMTMlMjZkZWFjdGl2YXRlX2RlZHVwZSUzmdXRtX3NvdXJjZT1uZXdzbGV0dGVyJnV0bV9tZWRpdW09ZW1haWwmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPW5NsZXR0ZXJfYXhpb3NzbmVha3BlZWs/5871993924c17c54d77a8b8cC0259e4e1" target=\u201d_blank\u201d class="adLink">Learn more.</a>
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