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The Evening: Arab NATO, Iran’s Election, Two Tix to Paradise and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Wednesday, May 17th.


** SK President on High Possibility of Conflict with NK
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South Korean president Moon Jae-in said today there was a “high possibility” of conflict with North Korea, which is pressing ahead with nuclear and missile programs it says it needs to counter U.S. aggression, as Reuters reports (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-southkorea-idUSKCN18D04V?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s micro-website “Missile Threat” on North Korea’s Hwasong-12 (https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/hwasong-12/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) , the longest range transportable missile that NK has successfully tested to date.

Also see the U.S.-Korea Institute at SAIS’s new commentary from Leon Sigal, “Trump and Moon in Harmony for Now (http://38north.org/2017/05/lsigal051617/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .”


** Iran's Presidential Election
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Iranian president Hassan Rouhani faces a hard-line opponent in a national vote Friday that is shaping up as one of the most contentious and consequential elections since the founding of the Islamic Republic in 1979, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Asa Fitch and Aresu Eqbali report (https://www.wsj.com/articles/irans-presidential-election-a-referendum-on-the-nuclear-deal-1495031227?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the Washington Institute’s policy forum, “How Much Has the Trump Presidency Influenced Iran's Election? (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/how-much-has-the-trump-presidency-influenced-irans-election?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) ”


** British MPs Hacked
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British MPs were targeted in a coordinated hacking attempt this year, according to intelligence officials, an attack that has raised concern over foreign meddling in the forthcoming election, as the
FT’s Sam Jones reports (https://www.ft.com/content/71f1d13a-3b03-11e7-ac89-b01cc67cfeec?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CFR’s “Transforming Election Cyber Security (https://www.cfr.org/report/transforming-election-cybersecurity?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .”


** Arab NATO
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When President Trump arrives in Riyadh this week, he will lay out his vision for a new regional security architecture, which White House officials call an “Arab NATO,” to guide the fight against terrorism and push back against Iran, as the Washington Post’s Josh Rogin reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/josh-rogin/wp/2017/05/17/trump-to-unveil-plans-for-an-arab-nato-in-saudi-arabia/?utm_term=.96b77fde2e22&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Jon Alterman has a new commentary: “Trump of Arabia (https://www.csis.org/analysis/trump-arabia?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .”


** In That Number
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** 50
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The number of new submarines that Singapore expects will enter into the military balance in the western Pacific within the next eight years—a rapid build-up, bringing the total to approximately 250 submarines. Source: Financial Times’ Jeevan Vasagar (https://www.ft.com/content/21c1da2c-3ad4-11e7-821a-6027b8a20f23?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “Russia and China are investing in the Arctic. That will affect U.S. waters, coastlines, and peoples, and we’re not preparing. The U.S. has forgotten why this region is so important.”
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—CSIS’s Heather Conley on the strategic implications of a melting Arctic. Source: Bloomberg’s Eric Roston and Blacki Migliozzi (https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2017-arctic/the-political-arctic/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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New analysis from CSIS’s Reconnecting Asia Project examines how changing temperatures, globalization, and natural resources are reshaping the global shipping enterprise in the Arctic Ocean (https://reconasia.csis.org/analysis/entries/arctic-maritime-connections/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) , mapped here.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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(Photo Credit: Behrouz Mehri/AFP/Getty Images.)
Iranian president and candidate in the upcoming elections Hassan Rouhani speaks today during a campaign rally in the northwestern city of Ardabil.


** Recommended Reading
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“Why Do Iranians Bother Voting? (https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/05/why-do-iranians-even-bother-voting/526866/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) ” via the
Atlantic’s Shervin Malekzadeh.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS’s Global Food Security Project at 4:00 p.m. for a book discussion on Lisa Palmer’s Hot, Hungry Planet (https://www.csis.org/events/book-launch-hot-hungry-planet-lisa-palmer?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .

And join the Hudson Institute at 11:45 a.m. for a conference on regional issues facing the Black Sea and their importance to both NATO and U.S. security (https://hudson.org/events/1428-emerging-tensions-in-the-black-sea-and-the-region-s-importance-to-the-west52017?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .


** On Demand
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Today, CSIS hosted “On the Road to the 19th Party Congress: Elite Politics in China Under Xi Jinping (https://www.csis.org/events/road-19th-party-congress-elite-politics-china-under-xi-jinping?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) ” with Christopher K. Johnson, Bill Bishop, and Joseph Fewsmith.


** Sounds
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On this week’s Take as Directed, CSIS’s Janet Fleischman talks to Celina Schocken, CEO of Pink Ribbon Red Ribbon, on the organization’s work in reducing deaths from cervical cancer and breast cancer in low- and middle-income countries.

You can listen on iTunes (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/take-as-directed/id1186398300?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/pink-ribbon-red-ribbon-and-the-fight-against-cervical-cancer?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) .


** Smiles
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In the music business you’ve got to give the people what they want—and the people STILL want Eddie Money!

I do too. Yesterday I played my favorite Money tune “Shakin.’” Of course another Eddie hit, “Two Tickets to Paradise” is more well known. It’s a remarkable song with an undeniable catchiness. This is a song which will be forever ensconced in the rock ‘n’ roll cannon.

The feelings “Two Tickets to Paradise” evokes are timeless. If you’ve been lucky enough to speed down a hot, dusty US highway with someone you really dig next to you in the passenger seat and “Two Tickets to Paradise” blasting through the car stereo, you can say you’ve lived a version of the American dream.

This 1977 performance of “Two Tickets to Paradise (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49hdPj7hNz0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789) ” reminds me of those feelings.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=d28ff61cd8-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_05_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-d28ff61cd8-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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