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The Evening: China’s Offer, NAFTA War, Two for Tuesday and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, June 5th.


** Big Offer from China
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China offered to purchase nearly $70 billion of U.S. farm, manufacturing and energy products if the Trump administration abandons threatened tariffs, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei and Bob Davis report (https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-offers-to-buy-nearly-70-billion-of-u-s-farm-and-energy-products-1528208835?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “China: The Dust Never Settles (https://www.csis.org/analysis/china-dust-never-settles?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s William Reinsch.

“Tariffs Against Chinese Imports to Protect US Intellectual Property Would Mostly Hit Non-Chinese Supply Chains (https://piie.com/research/piie-charts/tariffs-against-chinese-imports-protect-us-intellectual-property-would-mostly?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ” by the Peterson Institute’s Mary Lovely and Yang Liang.

“China's Strength Is in Making the West Doubt the Value of Doubt (https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/chinas-strength-making-west-doubt-value-doubt?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ,” by Chatham House’s Kerry Brown.


** Iran’s New Centrifuge Assembly Center
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Iran announced today that it had completed a new centrifuge assembly center at the Natanz nuclear site, in a first step to increasing its enrichment capacity, as the
New York Times’ Thomas Erdbrink reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/05/world/middleeast/iran-nuclear-deal.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .

Plus, a Russian troop deployment in Syria near the Lebanese border this week caused friction with Iran-backed forces including Hezbollah which objected to the uncoordinated move, as Reuters’ Laila Bassam and Tom Perry report (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-deploymen/exclusive-in-syria-a-russian-move-causes-friction-with-iran-backed-forces-officials-idUSKCN1J125S?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .

And, as the Journal’s Asa Fitch and Ian Talley report (https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-companies-wind-down-iran-business-after-nuclear-deal-pullout-1528225532?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) , dozens of major American companies are preparing to pull out of Iran as the Trump administration closes a narrow legal window that has allowed firms to operate there without violating U.S. sanctions.

Dive Deeper: “Tactical Issues Surrounding a U.S. Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Agreement (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/tactical-issues-surrounding-a-u.s.-withdrawal-from-the-iran-nuclear-agreeme?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Patrick Clawson.


** Singapore Meeting Place
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The White House announced today that President Trump will meet North Korea's Kim Jong Un next week at the Capella hotel on the resort island of Sentosa, just off the southern coast of Singapore, as the
Washington Post’s David Nakamura and John Hudson report (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2018/06/05/trump-to-meet-with-kim-jong-un-at-hotel-on-resort-off-coast-of-singapore-white-house-says/?utm_term=.5ec36cf24869&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Next Steps on U.S. Policy Toward North Korea (https://www.csis.org/analysis/next-steps-us-policy-toward-north-korea?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ,” testimony before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations Subcommittee on East Asia, the Pacific, and International Cybersecurity Policy by CSIS’s Victor Cha.

“North Korean Human Rights and the Singapore Summit—a Goal or a Tool? (https://www.csis.org/analysis/north-korean-human-rights-and-singapore-summit%E2%80%94-goal-or-tool?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ” by CSIS’s Robert King.


**
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** NAFTA Trade War
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Mexico imposed tariffs on U.S. imports including bourbon, apples, potatoes, cheese and pork in retaliation to the Trump administration’s levies on steel and aluminum, as the FT reports (https://www.ft.com/content/7a95ea1c-68c8-11e8-8cf3-0c230fa67aec?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .

Meanwhile, President Trump wants to end three-way talks on NAFTA and deal with Canada and Mexico separately, White House National Economic Council director Larry Kudlow said today, as Politico’s Adam Behsudi reports (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/06/05/trump-nafta-2-deals-624244?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Mexico Knows How to Fight a Trade War (https://www.cfr.org/blog/mexico-knows-how-fight-trade-war?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Shannon O’Neil.


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** $70 billion
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China offered to purchase nearly $70 billion of U.S. farm and energy products if the Trump administration abandons threatened tariffs. Source: WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-offers-to-buy-nearly-70-billion-of-u-s-farm-and-energy-products-1528208835?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “The president is not going to leave NAFTA, he‘s not going to withdraw from NAFTA. He’s just going to try a different approach.”
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— White House National Economic Council director Larry Kudlow (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/06/05/trump-nafta-2-deals-624244?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789)


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt Several countries and non-state actors are developing, or have already developed, counterspace weapons that could be used against vulnerable U.S. space assets. A new report from the CSIS Aerospace Security Project (https://aerospace.csis.org/space-threat-assessment-2018/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) assesses open-source information and analyzes what space and counterspace assets China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and other actors are developing.
The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo Credit: Win McNamee/Getty Images.) U.S. President Donald Trump sings the national anthem today during a “Celebration of America” event on the south lawn of the White House.


** Recommended Reading
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“Religion and Violence in Russia (https://www.csis.org/analysis/religion-and-violence-russia?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Olga Oliker.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at 11:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/why-americans-should-study-military-history?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) for a discussion on the study of military history and its impact on the modern citizen and statesman.

At 2:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/global-peace-index-2018-launch?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) , join CSIS for a conversation on the launch of the 12th edition of the Global Peace Index (GPI), which helps identify and measure the attitudes, institutions, and structures that build a more peaceful society.

At 5:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/peace-works-americas-unifying-role-turbulent-world?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) , join CSIS for a book talk on Peace Works: America's Unifying Role in a Turbulent World featuring the author, Ambassador Rick Barton.

At 6:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/film-debut-all-one-one-all?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) , join CSIS for a U.S. debut screening of “All for One, One for All,” a collaborative documentary produced by filmmakers with disabilities from Russia and the U.S.
And on June 12 at 4:00 p.m. (http://On?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789 June 12 at 4:00 p.m., join CSIS for a discussion on the Global Food Security Act and the evolution of U.S. Feed the Future initiatives, feautring Representatives Betty McCollum (D-MN) and Chris Smith (R_NJ), as well as other distinguished panelists) , join CSIS for a discussion on the evolution of U.S. Feed the Future initiatives, featuring Representatives Betty McCollum (D-MN) and Chris Smith (R-NJ), as well as other distinguished panelists.


** Video
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Around the world, governments are using a variety of approaches—ranging from controlling the media, creating onerous registration requirements, and passing restrictive legislation to cut off foreign funding, to depriving human rights activists of their nationality, detaining civil society leaders, and in some cases, engaging in targeted killing—to limit the space for civil society to operate. Watch (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O7LnQtwLFDU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) a (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O7LnQtwLFDU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O7LnQtwLFDU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) new explainer video on civil society (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O7LnQtwLFDU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) from the CSIS Human Rights Initiative.


** Sounds
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North Korea is the impossible state (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/impossible-state?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) . For over 45 years no American president has figured it out. Now, the stakes may be higher than ever as Donald Trump and the Trump administration come to the negotiating table. Each week join the people who know the most about North Korea—CSIS's Victor Cha, Mike Green, and Sue Mi Terry—for an insider’s discussion with host H. Andrew Schwartz (that's me) about the United States’ top national security priority. Listen to the trailer here (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/trailer-the-impossible-state?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789) .


** Smiles
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Rock and Roll FM radio was once a primary mover of American culture and in cities all over this land it provided a sense of community. Radio in general still reaches a large audience, about 54 percent of the U.S. population daily according to Statista, but it’s fragmented, with news/talk radio taking up a big listenership.

Rock stations are still important in some places—I love listening to FM rock radio in Los Angeles or Cleveland for example. It’s still soulful in those cities and it still feels like the radio stations know their audience. But in DC, rock radio is dead. I now listen to Spotify and to Sirius XM with all of its specialized channels.

Growing up in DC, the big rock radio stations were DC 101 and WHFS. They provided the soundtrack of our lives. And Tuesdays, were always “Two for Tuesdays” on DC 101. As in, “Sweet Home Alabama” and “Free Bird” from Skynyrd or “Black Dog” and “Stairway to Heaven” from Zeppelin.

So in that spirit, let’s do two from The Who:
1) www.youtube.com/watch?v=WX_96uKZ7yQ
2) www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rUqQ9p0XPI
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=eb47611272-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_05_09_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-eb47611272-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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