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The Evening: No Re-Negotiations, South China Missiles, SRV and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Thursday, May 3rd.


** No Renegotiations
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Iran’s foreign minister said today that U.S. demands to change its 2015 nuclear agreement with world powers were unacceptable, as Reuters’ Parisa Hafezi reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-usa/iran-says-will-not-renegotiate-nuclear-deal-warns-against-changes-idUSKBN1I41CO?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .

And, as the FT’s Katrina Manson reports (https://www.ft.com/content/d7ffcdf2-4ede-11e8-a7a9-37318e776bab?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) , the Trump administration has secured European backing to impose sanctions on Iran should it ever seek to develop an intercontinental ballistic missile.

Plus, Reuters’ Francois Murphy explains (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-iaea-explainer/u-s-risks-reversing-iran-nuclear-deals-inspection-gains-idUSKBN1I425L?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) what a U.S. withdrawal would likely mean for the UN’s nuclear watchdog and its policing of Iran’s nuclear activities.

Dive Deeper: “Critical Questions: May 12 Deadline May Not Settle Iran Sanctions (https://www.csis.org/analysis/may-12-deadline-may-not-settle-iran-sanctions?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Jon Alterman.

“Tactical Issues Surrounding a U.S. Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Agreement (http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/tactical-issues-surrounding-a-u.s.-withdrawal-from-the-iran-nuclear-agreeme?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Patrick Clawson.

And, the Institute for Science and International Security today published a “Nuclear Non-Proliferation Technical Primer (http://isis-online.org/conferences/detail/nuclear-non-proliferation-technical-primer?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .”


** South China Sea Moves by China
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China has quietly installed anti-ship cruise missiles and surface-to-air missile systems on three of its fortified outposts west of the Philippines in the South China Sea, as CNBC’s Amanda Macias reports (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/02/china-added-missile-systems-on-spratly-islands-in-south-china-sea.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .

Today at the White House, White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders said (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-china-missiles-usa/u-s-says-will-be-consequences-for-chinas-south-china-sea-militarization-idUSKBN1I42FY?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) of the development, “We’re well aware of China’s militarization of the South China Sea. We’ve raised concerns directly with the Chinese about this and there will be near-term and long-term consequences.”

Dive Deeper: Visit CSIS’s micro website, the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI) (https://amti.csis.org/island-tracker/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) , for an interactive Island Tracker which documents the development of nearly 70 disputed reefs and islets spread across the South China Sea.


** Trade Negotiations with China
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Trade negotiators from the U.S. and China are digging in for the first round of what they expect to be recurring, difficult talks that don’t produce an immediate settlement, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-and-china-dive-in-for-prolonged-trade-talks-1525357850?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Enroll for Fall
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Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** $1.7 Trillion
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Total world military expenditure rose to $1.7 trillion in 2017, a marginal increase of 1.1 per cent in real terms from 2016. Source: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) (https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2018/global-military-spending-remains-high-17-trillion?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-138475657&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789)


** Critical Quote
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** “I’m of the opinion that unless Putin is made to regret his decision he will return to the scene of the crime again and again.”
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— U.S. Senator John McCain (R-AZ) (https://www.defensenews.com/breaking-news/2018/05/03/mccain-book-us-should-consider-cyberattack-to-punish-putin/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) on considering a cyber attack against Russia.


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
CSIS is excited to announce a new podcast, “The Trade Guys (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/trade-guys?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) ,” where trade experts Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch break down the buzz around trade, how it affects policy, and how it impacts your day-to-day life.

Check out the first episode, “To Be / Or Not to Be in the TPP (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/trade-guys?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) ,” on what to make of the President’s recent announcement that the U.S. might rejoin the deal—even though he pulled out of it on his third day in office. You can find The Trade Guys on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/1-to-be-or-not-to-be-in-the?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .


** Optics
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Die Welt
(Photo Credit: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.) White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders speaks to members of the media today.


** Recommended Reading
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“Life in Emmanuel Macron’s inner circle (https://www.ft.com/content/3d3856d4-4d96-11e8-97e4-13afc22d86d4?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) ,” by the
FT Magazine’s Anne-Sylvaine Chassany.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at 1:30 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/holy-humanitarians-american-evangelicals-and-global-aid?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) to discuss the book “Holy Humanitarians: American Evangelicals and Global Aid,” and what it can teach us about modern debates over the politics of poverty relief and international aid.

At 9:00 a.m. (https://www.brookings.edu/events/advancing-opportunity-for-black-collegians-in-tech-and-business/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) , join the Brookings for a conversation on the rewards and barriers that black collegians face in technology and business, and how colleges can innovate to meet current workforce demands in tech fields.

And on May 8th, at 12:00 p.m. (http://www.aei.org/events/advancing-american-interests-through-philanthropy-a-conversation-with-spirit-of-americas-jim-hake/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) join the American Enterprise Institute to discuss how nonprofits can work both with and outside government to solve the most difficult challenges of our time.


** Video
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What is the Iran Deal May 12th deadline? In this short video, CSIS's Jon Alterman explains the deadline and its implications. Watch (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArT45fzubcc&feature=youtu.be&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArT45fzubcc&feature=youtu.be&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .


** Sounds
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Today, CSIS launched its newest podcast, The Trade Guys. The first episode explores the Trans-Pacific Partnership and what to make of the President’s recent announcement that the U.S. might rejoin the deal.

Listen here on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/1-to-be-or-not-to-be-in-the?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .


** Smiles
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Thanks for all of your great emails about Stevie Ray Vaughan. Some of you told me about the epic SRV shows you attended. Many of you sent me SRV clips. This one is by far my favorite (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uVI7I-WDGx4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789) .
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=8fcd796b19-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-8fcd796b19-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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