EMAIL DETAILS
SUBJECT:
Poll Accuracy Rankings
PRI: NORMAL
FROM:
E
eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com
DATE:
2012-11-07 21:54:32
MSG_ID:
<B362793D-44E6-4A09-A8A5-795890FAC8CB@rosemontseneca.com>
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TO:
H
Hunter Biden
<hbiden@rosemontseneca.com>
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PROCESSED
Posted on Wednesday Nov 7th at 1:55pm A Fordham University study ranked 28 polling firms on how their pre-election national surveys compared to the results on Election Day. The ranking: 1. PPP (D) 1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP 3. YouGov 4. Ipsos/Reuters 5. Purple Strategies 6. NBC/WSJ 6. CBS/NYT 6. YouGov/Economist 9. UPI/CVOTER 10. IBD/TIPP 11. Angus-Reid 12. ABC/WP 13. Pew Research 13. Hartford Courant/UConn 15. CNN/ORC 15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA 15. Politico/GWU/Battleground 15. FOX News 15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics 15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics 15. American Research Group 15. Gravis Marketing 23. Democracy Corps (D) 24. Rasmussen 24. Gallup 26. NPR 27. National Journal 28. AP/GfK John Sides plots the data from the study on a nice chart Tom Jensen of PPP told New York magazine the key to the firm's success: "We just projected that African-American, Hispanic, and young voter turnout would be as high in 2012 as it was in 2008, and we weighted our polls accordingly. When you look at polls that succeeded and those that failed that was the difference." Eric D. Schwerin eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com Sent from my iPhone
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