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The Evening: NK’s Mini Nukes, Iranian Drone, Wichita Lineman and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, August 8th.


** NK Mini Nukes
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North Korea has successfully produced a miniaturized nuclear warhead that can fit inside its missiles, crossing a key threshold on the path to becoming a full-fledged nuclear power, U.S. intelligence officials have concluded in a confidential assessment, as the
Washington Post’s Joby Warrick, Ellen Nakashima, and Anna Fifield report (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/north-korea-now-making-missile-ready-nuclear-weapons-us-analysts-say/2017/08/08/e14b882a-7b6b-11e7-9d08-b79f191668ed_story.html?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_nkorea-1212p%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.b53e1b03e69e&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) .

And as the New York Times’ Peter Baker and Choe Sang-Hun report (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/08/world/asia/north-korea-un-sanctions-nuclear-missile-united-nations.html?_r=0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) , President Trump threatened on Tuesday to unleash “fire and fury” against North Korea if it endangers the United States.

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s micro-website “Missile Threat (https://missilethreat.csis.org/country/dprk/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) ” for NK’s ballistic missiles, mapped.

And, see CFR’s backgrounder on NK’s military capabilities (https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/north-koreas-military-capabilities?utm_medium=social_earned&utm_source=tw&utm_campaign=backgrounder&utm_term=north-koreas-military-capabilities&utm_content=080817&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) .


** Iranian Drone
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An Iranian drone came within 100 feet of a U.S. Navy F/A-18 attempting to land on the aircraft carrier USS Nimitz in the Persian Gulf on Tuesday, according to two U.S. defense officials with knowledge of the incident. The officials said the drone forced the U.S. aircraft to take evasive action, as CNN’s Barbara Starr and Ryan Browne report (http://www.cnn.com/2017/08/08/politics/us-jet-iranian-drone-evasive-action/index.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See CSIS’s “U.S. and Iranian Strategic Competition (https://www.csis.org/programs/burke-chair-strategy/iran/us-and-iranian-strategic-competition?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) ” by Anthony Cordesman.


** Airstrikes Against ISIS in the Philippines
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The United States is considering a plan to conduct airstrikes on ISIS in the Philippines, NBC News reports.

And, the Australian reports (http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/defence/region-facing-a-mosul-of-its-own-in-marawi/news-story/e668d955fec0680474dabb16d53b9649?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) that the Marawi Region is facing a “Mosul of its own.”


** In That Number
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** 30 to 60
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The number of nuclear warheads that experts estimate North Korea has. Source: Washington Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/north-korea-now-making-missile-ready-nuclear-weapons-us-analysts-say/2017/08/08/e14b882a-7b6b-11e7-9d08-b79f191668ed_story.html?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_nkorea-1212p%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.b53e1b03e69e&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “The brittle character of today’s AMD force was illustrated in June 2017 when North Korea used a drone to surveil the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or THAAD, site in South Korea. If instead of surveillance that drone had delivered an explosive device to the sole TPY-2 radar on which THAAD depends, it would have virtually incapacitated the THAAD battery on the Korean peninsula.”
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—CSIS’s Thomas Karako. Source: Defense News. (https://www.defensenews.com/smr/space-missile-defense/2017/08/08/more-distributed-operating-concepts-needed-for-us-army-air-missile-defense-commentary/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789)


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
CSIS’s ChinaPower Project released a new interactive feature, “How much trade transits the South China Sea? (https://chinapower.csis.org/much-trade-transits-south-china-sea/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) ”

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo Credit: Peter Kneffel/AFP/Getty Images.)
The moon is seen during a partial lunar eclipse in Germany on August 7.


** Recommended Reading
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“Five things we learnt from the US earnings season (https://www.ft.com/content/64da172a-7c24-11e7-ab01-a13271d1ee9c?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) ,” by the
FT’s Ed Crooks.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the Library of Congress every Wednesday this month for the “August Brown Bag Series (https://www.eventbrite.com/e/august-brown-bag-series-the-library-of-congress-tickets-36195172736?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) ” from noon to 1:00 p.m., featuring speakers discussing the history, art, architecture, and collections of the Library.


** On Demand
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“How It Works: Midcourse Discrimination (https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=5&v=I9XuQ7_p1DU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) ” explains one of the most important aspects of hit-to-kill ballistic missile defense.


** Sounds
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The latest from Building the Future features a conversation with Ambassador Dan Fried on the future of U.S.-Russia relations, America’s role as a global leader, and what it’s like to serve as a foreign service officer.

You can listen on iTunes (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/building-future-freedom-prosperity-foreign-policy-dan/id1163347389?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/building-future-freedom-prosperity-foreign-policy-dan/id1163347389?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) .


** Smiles
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Glen Campbell brought so many people so many smiles. He passed away at 81 today. “Wichita Lineman (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rjzTNWWO7U0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789) ,” written by Jimmy Webb and recorded by Campbell in LA with The Wrecking Crew is one of my favorite songs of all time.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=9a5984739d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-9a5984739d-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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