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The Outlook for Senate Control Fewer Than 30 Days Out<http://blog.livableworld.org/story/2012/10/9/11487/1397>
Oct 09, 2012 - John Isaacs

Recent developments have provided Democrats with increased hope for this November. Yet control of the Senate in 2013 remains in doubt.

National Journal periodically polls political insiders<http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/insiders-democrats-bullish-on-senate-majority-20120927> about their predictions. In September 2011, 79% of about 90 Republican political pros polled thought there was a "high probability" that their party would take control of the Senate. At the end of last month, only four percent of the GOP insiders were now so optimistic.

Politico pointed out <http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/80944.html> on September 30: "Five weeks from Election Day, both parties jousting for control of the Senate face a stark fact: Neither has yet locked down races that should have been put away by now. That means the Senate map has gotten bigger, not smaller, leaving races from New England to the Upper Plains to the Southwest all in play."

There are three Senate seats in Maine, Missouri and Indiana that Republicans had counted in the win column at the beginning of the year, but instead have provided nasty surprises.

Click here<http://blog.livableworld.org/story/2012/10/9/11487/1397> to read full blog.


John Isaacs
Executive Director
Council for a Livable World & Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation
322 4th Street, NE
Washington, DC 20002
(202) 543-4100 x.2222
jdi@clw.org