EMAIL DETAILS
SUBJECT:
Solar opportunities
PRI: NORMAL
FROM:
A
abelnavarro@navarrosic.com
DATE:
2010-08-08 12:59:03
MSG_ID:
<6E0FDDE5BEAF4FA389C7106DEA35B694@CPDMAD.local>
RECIPIENTS:
TO:
E
eschwerin@rosemontseneca.com
L
Lorenzo Roccia
<lorenzo@transatlanticeg.com>
P
Pio Mortera
<pio@transatlanticeg.com>
CC:
A
ABEL NAVARRO HOMET
<abelnavarro@navarrosic.com>
D
Devon Archer
<darcher@rosemontcapital.com>
H
Hunter Biden
<hbiden@rosemontseneca.com>
CONTENT:
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PROCESSED
Hello everyone I have been going through both solar opportunities and beside the very preliminary information that we have I have some thoughts that I would like to share with you guys to see if you can add some others to make a wider picture strategically talking This two solar farms are altogether 58,6 MW, I am not sure if is Photovoltaic ( PV ) energy or if it the new solar technology that it has been in the marketfor already 1-2 years . If it is PV then the total investment would be aprox 220 - 240 mill USD if is solar I will have to check but I don´t think it would differ much. Taking in to consideration that we are supposed to be partners with Iberdola renovables in the development of both projects, I would guess that the IRR will be attractive depending always in the negotiated PPA with the Public service company of Colorado ( PSCO ) and Salt river projects ( SRP ). I am a little bit worry about the low price of Natural Gas for the last 2 years as the PPA for wind and solar energy are very much correlated with this variable. However I would bet that the IRR it will not be below 9% unleverage. This projects are normally leverage in a 70-75%, so it would be very good if Iberdrola deals with the debt management as the conditions for them will be considerable better than if we go ourselves to the market. At the end I would be expecting the projects to give 11 to 12% IRR Estrategically for our group Transatlantic - Rosemont Seneca it would be a very important first operation together with IBR, that would give as very good reputation not only for futures operartions but also for the advisory activity. Perhaps we could give an opportunity to our partners to make an offer for the panels ( Atersa or perhaps Acciona ?? ), medium tension equipment ( Ormazabal ) etc.. increasing even more our incentive fees In the presentation, it is also mentioned that the total investment in the project wil be the CAPEX + the development fee. This development fee should be called Development Cost as we would be paying the 49% of all the cost involved in the process, I would not pay a premium for it In terms of the equity that we would have to rise I would guess that it will be 25% of the project * 230 mill USD = 57,5 mill USD which doesn´t worry me much, and less if Blackstone is interested in the operation in which he would be having 50% of the 49% From the technical side I am not really an specialist so, I am going to let Pio give you a sense of the tecnology that is meant to be used aswell as the " Solar Resources and Modules ", please Pio, send as a short summary of the equipment is mentioned in the presentations Finally, my opinion is that we should be moving forward with the process of obtaining more financial information to see if it is interesting enough. From my point of view, it would be important to have Blackstone with us in the operation, it would make an enormous difference to help us to make all the financial models in order to take the final decission Let me know your thoughts. Best Abel Price for PPA Subsidies Partner associations . Ormazabal, Atersa. Important to let them make an offer to obtain their trust. Ormazabal for sure, lets see Atersa or Acciona?? 25 mill USD equity Debt? Good opportunity to start working, more in the future Development costs ??.What % . In what stage are we??. Pay the % of the development cost?? not a price Technical issues of the project ( Solar Resource and modules ) Management Contract Opportunities Disadvantages First operation - Important to do it with IBR, gives a lot of reputation for futures transactions Might not be that profitable Ask Acciona who is goung to be the constructor, perhaps them =2
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