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The Evening: Weapons to Ukraine, Qatar, Guest Smiles and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Thursday, August 24th.

Note: The Evening will be “gone fishin’” until Tuesday, August 29.


** Weapons to Ukraine
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Defense Secretary Jim Mattis vowed on Thursday to help Ukraine stand up to Russian violations of its sovereignty and signaled that the Trump administration was considering providing defensive weapons to the Ukrainian military, as the New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/24/world/europe/mattis-ukraine-russia.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) ’ Michael Gordon reports.

And, on the subject of Ukraine and weapons, see CNN’s report on “The North Korean spies Ukraine caught stealing missile plans (http://www.cnn.com/2017/08/24/europe/ukraine-north-korea-spies/index.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .”

Plus, listen to today’s The Daily with NYT's William Broad on “North Korea’s Nuclear Boost (https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/24/podcasts/the-daily/north-korea-nuclear-missiles-ukraine.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .”


** Qatar Restores Ties with Iran
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Qatar said Thursday it has restored diplomatic relations with Iran, marking a further break with Arab nations that have joined against Qatar for its links to Islamist groups and others perceived by U.S. allies as regional threats, as the
Washington Post’s Sudarsan Raghavan and Erin Cunningham report (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/qatar-restores-diplomatic-ties-with-iran-despite-demands-by-arab-neighbors/2017/08/24/9288e05c-6666-492f-8f32-bc68541c3867_story.html?utm_term=.ad44c4429721&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the CSIS Commentary by Anthony Cordesman, “Iran, Qatar, Terrorism, and the Wars for the Future of Islam (https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-qatar-terrorism-and-wars-future-islam/?block2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .”


** NAFTA Warning
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Three top U.S. business groups have fired a warning shot at the Trump administration, threatening to drop their support for its renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement if a controversial investment protection provision is abandoned, as the
FT’s Shawn Donnan reports (https://www.ft.com/content/f8bd9e3c-88e3-11e7-bf50-e1c239b45787?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: See the Peterson Institute briefing “A Path Forward for NAFTA (https://piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/path-forward-nafta?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) ,” by Fred Bergsten and Monica de Bolle.


** In That Number
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** $840.7 billion
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The amount the U.S. will spend in Afghanistan by the end of 2018, if the president's fiscal year budget is approved. Source: CSIS via the W (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/08/23/trump-decision-to-bolster-u-s-forces-in-afghanistan-will-add-to-the-trillions-of-dollars-of-war-costs/?utm_term=.ccff09caab74&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) ashington Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/08/23/trump-decision-to-bolster-u-s-forces-in-afghanistan-will-add-to-the-trillions-of-dollars-of-war-costs/?utm_term=.ccff09caab74&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** "Turkey’s actions are a pivotal component of a continuing global adjustment to a less involved and—more recently—less predictable United States."
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— CSIS’s Olga Oliker, in The Nation (http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/report-russia-just-signed-deal-sell-the-s-400-air-defense-22026?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
“The Macri Government’s Reform Program: A Scorecard (http://argentinareforms.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) ” is a list of the most significant reforms being planned and executed by President Mauricio Macri of Argentina.

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Mark P. Jones recently authored a Commentary (https://www.csis.org/analysis/banner-night-and-brighter-future-argentinas-president-macri?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) on Argentina’s primary election results.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo Credit: U.S. Air Force Staff Sgt. Jette Carr.) Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis talks with U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Stephen Townsend, the commander of Combined Joint Task Force Operation Inherent Resolve, during a flight in Baghdad on Aug. 22.


** Recommended Reading
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On Yemen, “‘It’s a Slow Death’: The World’s Worst Humanitarian Crisis (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/08/23/world/middleeast/yemen-cholera-humanitarian-crisis.html?smid=tw-share&_r=0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789 ) ,” via the
New York Times’ Shuaib Almosawa, Ben Hubbard, and Troy Griggs.


** This Town Next Week
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On Tuesday,
Marshalling Peace (https://www.linktank.com/event/nextgen-voices-the-untold-story-in-the-nuclear-nonproliferation-saga?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) filmmaker Autumn Bordner will join Young Professionals in Foreign Policy for a discussion on future nuclear weapons threats.


** On Demand
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The CSIS Transnational Threats Project hosted a discussion on national security (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pe3ApagvwNM&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) with The Honorable Mike Pompeo, Director of the Central Intelligence Agency.


** Sounds
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The latest from Energy 360 (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/energy-360?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) explores what the NAFTA renegotiations could mean for Mexico’s changing political climate and energy sector.

Listen on iTunes (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/energy-360/id1227481277?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/energy-geopolitics-mexico-and?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) .


** Smiles
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I’ve been smiling all week about this smile. My colleague Corynne Fish offered to write a “guest smiles,” and I’m so glad she did.

As many of you know who read this space, I’m not particularly dialed into contemporary popular music. So when Corynne offered this smile, I jumped at the chance. Take it away Corynne:

In recent weeks, I have been smiling about the strategic reemergence of the multifaceted artistry of Garrett Borns - better known by his band name, BØRNS. Heavy with the weight of an anxious world, Washington would be wise to pull from BØRNS’ playbook. The lead single off of his forthcoming sophomore album, Faded Heart, offers us a playful and addictive throwback to the fantastical American Dream of the 1960s. Having directed the music video himself, BØRNS follows his own Faded Heart (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eF2hDcFIfqs&feature=youtu.be%C2%A0&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789) , escaping his skeletons and embracing new challenges. I hope he inspires you to smile and dance through the chaos.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=740f6b5260-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-740f6b5260-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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