The Evening: ISIS Leader, Defense Budget, Bob Seger and More

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The Evening: ISIS Leader, Defense Budget, Bob Seger and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, February 12th.


** North Korea’s Overtures
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Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said “it’s too early to judge” whether new overtures involving North and South Korea could lead to a serious diplomatic process regarding Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons program, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Felicia Schwartz reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/tillerson-too-early-to-assess-latest-north-south-korea-overtures-1518443910?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Bloody Nose Policy on North Korea Would Backfire: Ex-CIA Analysts (https://www.csis.org/analysis/bloody-nose-policy-north-korea-would-backfire-ex-cia-analysts/?block2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Sue Mi Terry and the Korea Chair Platform.

And, see “The Education of Kim Jong-Un (https://www.brookings.edu/essay/the-education-of-kim-jong-un/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) ,” by Brookings’ Jung H. Pak.

Plus, “The Pyeongchang Winter Olympiad and South Korea’s Diplomatic Goals (https://www.cfr.org/blog/pyeongchang-winter-olympiad-and-south-koreas-diplomatic-goals?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Scott Snyder.


** Defense Budget
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President Trump’s fiscal 2019 budget is requesting $686.1 billion in military funding, with a focus on great power competition with Russia and China, as Defense News’ Joe Gould and Tara Copp report (https://www.defensenews.com/breaking-news/2018/02/12/pentagon-unveils-686-billion-military-budget-for-2019/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .

Also, see a round-up from Stars and Stripes (https://www.stripes.com/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) on the proposed defense budget.

Dive Deeper: Visit CSIS’s micro-website “Defense 360 (https://defense360.csis.org/category/budget/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) ” for resources on the DoD budget.


** ISIS Leader Baghdadi Wounded But Alive
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ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is wounded and being treated at a medical facility in northeastern Syria, a senior Iraqi intelligence said today, as Axios’ Zachary Basu reports (https://www.axios.com/isis-leader-al-baghdadi-alive-but-wounded-1518452587-909a1258-9f6b-4d79-b66b-62b49633dcc6.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=organic&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .

Meanwhile, the U.S. is urging its allies to help deal with hundreds of foreign ISIS fighters captured in Syria as concerns rise that Kurdish-led militias holding them lack the capacity to imprison the jihadis securely, as the Financial Times’ Katrina Manson, Erika Solomon, and David Bond report (https://www.ft.com/content/9d76776e-0f71-11e8-940e-08320fc2a277?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .


** Malware Hit Pyeongchang Ahead of Opening Ceremony
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Over the weekend, the Pyeongchang Olympics organizers confirmed that they're investigating a cyberattack that temporarily paralyzed IT systems ahead of Friday's opening ceremonies, shutting down display monitors, killing Wi-Fi, and taking down the Olympics website so that visitors were unable to print tickets, as Wired’s Andy Greenberg reports (https://www.wired.com/story/olympic-destroyer-malware-pyeongchang-opening-ceremony/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .


** Executive M.A. from CSIS/Syracuse U
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CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.maxwell.syr.edu/dc/emir/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** $686.1 billion
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President Trump’s fiscal year 2019 defense budget request calls for $686.1 billion in spending.
Source: DoD (https://www.defense.gov/News/Article/Article/1439211/presidents-fiscal-2019-defense-budget-request-calls-for-6861-billion/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “This may be the most complicated budget anyone's ever going to do.”
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—White House Budget Director Mick Mulvaney (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/11/trump-budget-cuts-domestic-programs-403636?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
Last year, CSIS published Missile Defense 2020: Next Steps for Defending the Homeland (https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile-defense-2020/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) , a report that describes how the current U.S. Ballistic Missile Defense system works, lists potential plans to modernize the system, and offers recommendations for its future evolution. This map, included in the report, shows U.S. missile defense assets around the world.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo credit: Cameron Spencer/Getty Images.) Gold medalist Jamie Anderson today in Pyeongchang.


** Recommended Reading
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“The Big Read: Xi takes aim at military in anti-graft drive (https://www.ft.com/content/3dba1f32-0c2a-11e8-8eb7-42f857ea9f09?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) ,” by the
Financial Times’ Charles Clover.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join the CSIS Simon Chair in Political Economy at 9:00 a.m. for a discussion on U.S.-Japan cooperation (https://www.csis.org/events/winning-frontier-us-japan-cooperation-global-standards-emerging-technologies-ai-5g?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) on global standards for emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence (AI) to 5G.

At 1:00 p.m., join CSIS fora conversation on how to manage state fragility (https://www.csis.org/events/managing-fragility-peace-security-and-sustainable-development?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) for peace, security, and sustainable development.

And, at 3:30 p.m., join CSIS’s Global Food Security Project for the report launch (https://www.csis.org/events/report-launch-role-social-protection-investments-support-food-and-nutrition-security-lessons?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) of A Role for Social Protection Investments to Support Food and Nutrition Security: Lessons from Ghana.


** Video
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Today, CSIS hosted Admiral James G. Foggo, III for a conversation with CSIS experts on NATO and U.S. Navy operational approaches in the Eastern Mediterranean (https://www.csis.org/events/geostrategic-flashpoint-eastern-mediterranean?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .


** Sounds
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On the latest episode of 35 West, “Is Democracy on the Defensive in Latin America?” Thomas Carothers of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace explores the recent drop in support for democracy across the region.

Listen here on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/is-democracy-on-the-defensive-in-latin-america?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/35-west/id1288098233?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789) .


** Smiles
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It’s fun to play the “If I could be a rock star for one day I would be…” game. There are some obvious easy choices: Dylan, Keith, James Brown, etc. But I’m a simple man. And sometimes I think it would be so cool to be Bob Seger for a day. Did anyone ever have more fun performing rock and roll? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDEroB7zFMY&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789)
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=80ea32e0aa-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_02_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-80ea32e0aa-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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