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SUBJECT:
=?utf-8?Q?Re:_Washington_Post_=28The_Fix=29_-_Polls_say_Joe_Bi?=
=?utf-8?Q?den=E2=80=99s_age_isn=E2=80=99t_necessarily_hurting_him_with?=
=?utf-8?Q?_young_Democrats?=
PRI: NORMAL
FROM:
F
f.biden1800@gmail.com
DATE:
2018-12-05 21:45:34
MSG_ID:
<CAKuUFe6yzUOUzY4AUHdvWV22=84-AAo_PFFFTVhk-rynBgOv8Q@mail.gmail.com>
RECIPIENTS:
TO:
W
Bill Russo
<wrusso@vpbiden.org>
CC:
6
JRB ware
<67stingray@gmx.com>
F
Finnegan James
<fbiden17@gmail.com>
H
Valerie Owens
<hurricane5155@gmail.com>
J
jbiden@lionhallgp.com
J
Jill Biden
<jill.tracy2@gmail.com>
M
Maisy Biden
<mbiden19@gmail.com>
N
Naomi Biden
<nbiden.26@gmail.com>
R
rhbdc@icloud.com
CONTENT:
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PROCESSED
No surprise . He is wildly popular with Kids at FAU. I spoke there last week about Opioid Crisis with States Attorney Dave Arronberg And was approached by a host of students urging me to tell him to run. On Wed, Dec 5, 2018 at 4:23 PM Bill Russo <wrusso@vpbiden.org> wrote: > All - > > Per the VP’s request, sharing this piece from the Washington Post, with > the content pasted below: > > > https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/12/05/polls-say-joe-bidens-age-isnt-necessarily-hurting-him-with-young-democrats/ > > Regards, > Bill > > — > > Democratic voters have split along generational lines in the past two > presidential primary cycles. And the very early front-runner for 2020, > former vice president Joe Biden has been criticized for being, well, old. > > In the limited polling we have, Biden, 76, leads the pack of potential > 2020 Democratic nominees, a substantial portion of whom are older than 65. > On Monday, the Wall Street Journal released a survey > <https://www.wsj.com/articles/iowa-democrats-say-they-want-generational-change-1543833001> of > Iowa Democratic Party chairs that found many were hesitant to support an > older candidate in 2020. The biggest worry among that group was that older > candidates would not garner enthusiasm from younger voters. > > “I can’t see how my generation, 18- to 34-year-olds, can get excited about > a 70-year-old candidate ever again,” Bryce Smith, 26, the Dallas County > chairman, told the Journal. > > Beyond party officials, does early polling show that Biden has a problem > with younger Democratic voters? > > In 2008 primaries and caucuses where exit polls were conducted, Democratic > voters younger than 30 supported eventual nominee Barack Obama by a > 20-point margin (58 percent to 38 percent), while voters 65 and older > favored Hillary Clinton by a similarly wide 24 points (58 percent to 34 > percent). The generation gap grew to a chasm in 2016, with Sen. Bernie > Sanders (Vt.) winning Democrats younger than 30 by a whopping 43-point > margin, while Clinton won seniors by 42 points. Younger voters did not get > their way that year. > > Early 2020 polls cast doubt on the idea that Biden is destined to fare > poorly among younger Democrats. A Washington Post-Schar School poll > <https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2018/politics/midterm-battleground-districts/> of > battleground congressional-district voters in the 2018 midterms found that > younger and older Democrats were about equally supportive of Biden as the > party’s 2020 nominee. Among voters who supported Democratic House > candidates, 35 percent of those ages 18 to 34 said they would like Biden to > win the party’s 2020 presidential nomination, identical to his 35 percent > support among Democrats age 65 and older. > > As in 2016, Sanders in this poll received far more support from younger > Democrats than seniors (31 percent vs. 5 percent), although he did not > quite match Biden’s level of support, even among the youngest cohort of > voters. Sanders’s strength with younger adults appears to have come more at > the expense of potential candidates Michael R. Bloomberg and Sen. Cory > Booker (D-N.J.) than from Biden. > > An earlier CNN poll > <https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/5002040-2020.html> in October > found Biden weaker among younger Democratic and leaning-Democratic > independents when asked whom they support for the 2020 nomination. Biden > garnered 33 percent support among Democratic-leaning adults overall, but > his support was 13 points higher among those ages 45 and older (39 percent) > than among Democrats younger than 45. Nonetheless, that age gap is smaller > than it was for Clinton in 2016, and Biden’s level of support among voters > under 45 is at least slightly higher than Sanders at 21 percent, Sen. > Kamala D. Harris (Calif.) at 13 percent, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) at > 11 percent and others in the single digits. > > A separate CNN poll in > <https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4426174-2020.html>March found > large majorities of younger and older Democrats at least open to supporting > Biden for the party’s nomination in 2020. Among Democratic-leaning adults, > 81 percent of those younger than 45 said they would be very or somewhat > likely to support Biden if he runs for the Democratic nomination, similar > to 86 percent of those 45 and older. Both figures were similar to or higher > than those for other potential candidates tested, including Sanders. > > None of the polls above guarantee that Biden will fare well among younger > Democrats in caucuses and primaries, which are > <https://www.wsj.com/articles/iowa-democrats-say-they-want-generational-change-1543833001> more > than one year away. The past two cycles suggest younger and older Democrats > are attracted to different types of candidates, making it one of the key > factors to watch in 2020, along with racial and ideological divisions > within the party. > > Biden’s potential candidacy could also falter if he doesn’t generate > excitement among Democratic Party officials and activists such as those > highlighted by the Wall Street Journal, which could sap his campaign of > donations and volunteers. But the consistency of support for Biden across > age groups shows that the extremely early front-runner has appeal across > generations. > -- > > --- > Bill Russo > Spokesperson > Office of Vice President Joe Biden
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