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new Castle/Coons poll -- 49/37
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smacklera@gmail.com
DATE:
2010-08-06 21:20:55
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<AANLkTimpHmzLqD03mFK1HOFJdUj8n=2mOHB1mbERRZSU@mail.gmail.com>
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Highlights: Castle 49, Coons 37 (last month was Castle 47-Coons 36) Castle still under 50, Coons only getting 56% of D vote. (A new/first PPP poll comes out next week) Coons now ahead of O'Donnell by 10. Obama at 55/44, Markell 65/32. No Beau, JRB, or any others. Views on Coons still clearly soft and all over the map -- as many consider him "very conservative" as "very liberal" And how about this nugget: 9* Suppose you had a choice between extending the Bush Administration tax cuts for all Americans or extending the Bush Administration tax cuts for everyone except the wealthy. Which would you prefer? 47% Extending the Bush Administration tax cuts for all Americans 48% Extending the Bush tax cuts for everyone except the wealthy 5% Not sure Article: Election 2010: Delaware Senate Delaware Senate: Castle (R) 49%, Coons (D) 37% Friday, August 06, 2010 Delaware's U.S. Senate race is basically unchanged from last month, with Republican Mike Castle again earning less than 50% support. But, still, the longtime GOP congressman holds a 12-point lead over his Democratic opponent. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Castle picking up 49% of the vote, while Democrat Chris Coons gets 37% support. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. Last month was the first time in Rasmussen Reports surveying of the race this year that support for Castle dipped below the 50% mark<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/delaware/delaware_senate_castle_r_47_coons_d_36>. He held a 47% to 36% lead over Coons, a county executive who has not previously sought statewide office, in July. Prior to that survey, support for Castle has ranged from 53% to 56%, while Coons has earned 27% to 32% of the vote. Delaware, which has long been considered a potential GOP pickup with Castle in the race, is now rated Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rank<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/election_2010_senate_balance_of_power> ings<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/election_2010_senate_balance_of_power>. Conservative activist Christine O’Donnell, who is challenging Castle for the GOP Senate nomination in a September 14 primary, now runs 10 points behind Coons. The Democrat gets 46% of the vote to O’Donnell’s 36%. Ten percent (10%) favor another candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. Last month, O’Donnell was running virtually even with Coons, 41% to 39%. The seat at stake was formerly held by Vice President Joe Biden who resigned following the November 2008 elections. His chief of staff, Ted Kaufman, was named to the seat by the state’s Democratic governor but has opted not to seek a full term. *(Want a free daily e-mail update<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/daily_updates>? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).* Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter <http://twitter.com/RasmussenPoll> or Facebook<http://www.facebook.com/pages/Asbury-Park-NJ/Rasmussen-Reports/86959124863?ref=nf>. The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Delaware was conducted on August 5, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC<http://www.pulseopinionresearch.com/>. See methodology<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/about_us/methodology>. If Castle is the nominee, the GOP makes serious inroads into the Democratic vote. Castle gets 81% of the Republican vote, while Coons carries just 56% of Democrats. But if O'Donnell is in the race, her GOP support is 66%, and 75% of Democrats support Coons. Voters not affiliated with either major party break close to even no matter which Republican is in the race. Fifty-four percent (54%) of all voters in Delaware regard Castle as a conservative, while 61% feel this way about O’Donnell. Fifty-seven percent (57%) consider Coons a liberal. Sixty-nine percent (69%) describe Castle’s political views as mainstream, and only 16% think they are extreme. Coons is viewed as in the mainstream by 46% and extreme by 23%. Just 28% say O'Donnell's views are mainstream. Thirty-eight percent (38%) regard them as extreme. Castle is viewed Very Favorably by 27% of voters in the state and Very Unfavorably by nine percent (9%). Twenty-one percent (21%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Coons, while eight percent (8%) view him Very Unfavorably. For O’Donnell, Very Favorables total 14% and Very Unfavorables 18%. At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers. Forty-seven percent (47%) rate their personal finances as good or excellent, well above the national average<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/business/indexes/rasmussen_consumer_index/rasmussen_consumer_index> .* * Fourteen percent (14%) say their finances are poor. But just 20% feel their finances are getting better these days, while 42% say they’re getting worse. Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters in Delaware say the Bush tax cuts should be extended, while 35% feel they should end this year. Thirty-percent (30%) say if these tax cuts expire, it will help the economy. Fifty-three percent (53%) take the opposing view and say expiration will hurt the economy. These findings are roughly in line with the level measured nationally<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/business/taxes/august_2010/54_favor_extension_of_bush_tax_cuts>. Voters are more evenly divided on whether they prefer extending the Bush tax cuts for all Americans or for everyone except the wealthy: 47% say they should extend the cuts for everyone, while 48% feel everyone but the wealthy should be included. Fifty-five percent (55%) of Delaware voters approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as president. Forty-four percent (44%) disapprove of his job performance. This is slightly better than Obama does nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll> . Sixty-five percent (65%) approve of Democratic Governor Jack Markell's performance. Thirty-two percent (32%) disapprove. See survey questions and toplines<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/delaware/toplines/toplines_delaware_senate_august_5_2010>. Crosstabs<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/election_2010_state_polls/delaware/crosstabs_delaware_senate_august_5_2010> are available to Platinum Members<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum_service_description> only. ShareThis <javascript:void(0)> -- Alexander Snyder-Mackler (302) 598-867
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