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The Evening CSIS: Fed Holds Steady, US Nuclear Narrative, Boogie Chillen & More
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** Good Evening,
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Welcome to
The Evening CSIS—my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day plus HIGHLY RECOMMENDED content from around the world. To subscribe, please sign up here (http://bit.ly/ecs1s?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .


** Duterte's Deal
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As the
Washington Post’s Simon Denyer today reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/11/02/dutertes-deal-with-china-seen-by-satellite-fishing-allowed-but-no-change-in-control-of-disputed-shoal/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) , CSIS satellite images show the Philippines’ deal with China where fishing is allowed but there is no change in control of a disputed shoal in the South China Sea.

Dive Deeper: You can view all of CSIS’s new satellite imagery and analysis on Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea by visiting our interactive micro-website, the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (https://amti.csis.org/china-scarborough-fishing/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .


** Dear Leader
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The
Washington Post’s Anna Fifield today reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/what-do-north-koreans-think-about-kim-jong-un-this-survey-tries-to-find-out/2016/11/01/2a2cc357-34a9-464c-b32f-1291d16dd1b0_story.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) on CSIS’s latest polling data about what North Koreans think about their leader, Kim Jong-un.

And, Vice News’ Keegan Hamilton today reports (https://news.vice.com/story/exclusive-photos-show-flood-devastation-in-north-korea?cl=fp&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) on exclusive CSIS photos that show the extent of flood devastation in North Korea.

Dive Deeper: Visit CSIS’s interactive micro-website Beyond Parallel (http://beyondparallel.csis.org/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) for more information and analysis on North Korea.


** Hold Steady
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The Federal Reserve held short-term interest rates steady today and sent new hints it expects to raise rates in December at its final scheduled meeting of 2016, as the
Wall Street Journal’s Kate Davidson reports (http://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-sends-new-signals-about-a-possible-december-rate-increase-1478109738?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: The Peterson Institute’s Olivier Blanchard’s analysis “The State of Advanced Economies and Related Policy Debates: A Fall 2016 Assessment (https://piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/state-advanced-economies-and-related-policy-debates-fall-2016-assessment?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .”


** US Nuclear Narrative
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CSIS today launched a new micro-website, the “US Nuclear Narrative (http://nuclearnarrative.csis.org/?block1&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .”


** In That Number
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** 12
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The number of terror attacks thwarted by authorities in the United Kingdom over the past three years. Source: Guardian (https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/nov/01/andrew-parker-mi5-director-general-there-will-be-terrorist-attacks-in-britain-exclusive?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .


** Critical Quote
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** “This isn’t something where you can say, ‘if we move slowly, air-power and artillery power are going to deal with the issues,’ because it also gives ISIS time to consolidate.”
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— CSIS’s Anthony H. Cordesman on the battle for Mosul. Source: AP (http://www.timesofisrael.com/on-mosuls-southern-front-fight-against-is-a-slow-grind/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .


** One to Watch
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Lisa Sawyer Samp is a senior fellow in CSIS’s International Security Program and formerly the director for NATO and European strategic affairs at the National Security Council. Lisa recently authored “World Cup 2018: Russia Wins Just by Hosting (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/58120fa2e4b09b190529c131?timestamp=1477580989935&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) ” via the Huffington Post.


** Optics
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(Photo Credit: Drew Angerer/Getty Images.)

Chinese artist and activist Ai Weiwei spoke at the Council on Foreign Relations today in New York.


** Highly Recommended
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New from CSIS’s Chris Johnson and Scott Kennedy, “Now China’s ‘Core’ Leader, Xi Jinping Looks to Dominate Leadership Shuffle (https://www.csis.org/analysis/now-chinas-core-leader-xi-jinping-looks-dominate-leadership-shuffle?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .”


** CSIS Today
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CSIS’s International Security Program at hosted a Maritime Security Dialogue, “The Role of Space in Maritime Operations with Rear Admiral Christian Becker (http://csis.us11.list-manage.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=90999af80b&e=3369d0b43&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .”

CSIS’s Energy and National Security Program hosted “Pathways for US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction: What Options are on the Table? (http://csis.us11.list-manage.com/track/click?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=04d31e9da7&e=3369d0b43f&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) ”

CSIS’s International Security Program hosted “Semiconductors and the Future of the Tech Economy (https://www.csis.org/events/semiconductors-and-future-tech-economy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) ,” featuring Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker.

And we hosted the book launch (https://www.csis.org/events/book-launch-war-and-politics-battlefield-inside-washingtons-beltway?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) of On War and Politics: The Battlefield Inside Washington's Beltway by Maj. Gen Arnold Punaro, featuring Senator Sam Nunn, Senator John Warner, Lt. Gen. Brent Scowcroft, and Gen. James Jones.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join GW’s Elliot School of International Affairs at 9:00 a.m. for “Corruption, Transparency and Citizenship in Latin America (http://elliott.gwu.edu/events-calendar?trumbaEmbed=view%3devent%26eventid%3d121199761&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .”

Join the Atlantic Council at 9:00 a.m. for “New Dawn: Russia and the West After the US Presidential Elections (http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/new-dawn-russia-and-the-west-after-the-us-presidential-elections?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .”

And join Johns Hopkins SAIS at 5:00 p.m. for a CACI (Central Asia-Caucasus Institute) Forum: “Afghanistan: What Does the Future Hold? (https://www.eventbrite.com/e/caci-forum-afghanistan-what-does-the-future-hold-registration-20636184383?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) ”


** CSIS On Demand
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Last week, CSIS’s Project on Prosperity and Development hosted “The Refugee Crisis and International Organizations,” featuring Matthew McGuire, U.S. executive director of the World Bank. Catch the event on demand here (https://www.csis.org/events/refugee-crisis-and-international-organizations?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .


** Sounds
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ChinaPower recaps Duterte’s first state visit to China in a new podcast (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/chinapower?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) released today.


** I Like It Like That
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A fantastic interview with Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx by Tamara Warren of the Verge, “The Future of America is Driverless (http://www.theverge.com/a/verge-2021/secretary-anthony-foxx?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .”


** Smiles
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The great New Orleans listener supported radio station, WWOZ, is chock full of smiles. They had me grinning last week nonstop—even when I had to leave the Crescent City for my flight home.

Driving up I-10 toward the airport, bouncing along to WWOZ is one of my favorite pastimes. Last Friday afternoon was sun splashed with soft bayou breezes blowing and WWOZ played a mix of blues, funk, rock and jazz—the very DNA of rock and roll. When they played a groovy number over the airwaves by the late bluesman John Lee Hooker, I indeed felt lucky to be where I was.

How influential is John Lee Hooker? How fantastic of a musician was he? Was there ever a cooler performer? You can answer that after you watch this (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUjXFVk5LtE&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=7bdeb81e17-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2016_11_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-7bdeb81e17-145367789) .


** Feedback
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I always welcome and benefit from your feedback. Please drop me a line at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org)

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The Evening CSIS is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Brandon Schwartz, and Jackie Ramsay.

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