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The Evening: Missiles Coming, Detailed Diplomacy, Juke Box Hero and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Wednesday, April 11th.

Note: The Evening will be “gone fishin’” until Monday, April 16.


** Missiles Coming
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President Trump today said that U.S. missiles “will be coming” to Syria, and warned he was willing to challenge Russia directly in launching a military strike against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad over an alleged chemical-weapons attack, as the
Wall Street Journal reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-warns-russia-u-s-plans-missile-strike-on-syria-1523445684?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Critical Questions: U.S. Response to the Reported Chemical Attack in Douma (https://www.csis.org/analysis/us-response-reported-chemical-attack-douma-syria?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Rebecca Hersman and Melissa Dalton.

“Syria: Act Decisively or Not at All (https://www.csis.org/analysis/syria-act-decisively-or-not-all?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

“Q&A: Chemical Weapons Attack in Syria (http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/qa-chemical-weapons-attack-syria?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) ,” by the Institute for the Study of War’s Jennifer Carfarella.


** Detailed Talks on Trump-Kim Meeting
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The United States and North Korea have been negotiating with “will and sincerity” over the details of the planned talks between President Trump and Kim Jong-un, President Moon Jae-in of South Korea said today, as the
New York Times’ Choe Sang Hun reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/11/world/asia/north-korea-trump-kim-jong-un.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: CSIS’s Victor Cha testified today on Capitol Hill regarding, “North Korea’s Diplomatic Gambit: Will History Repeat Itself? (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/congressional_testimony/ts180411_Testimony_House_Victor_Cha.pdf?eri3vN5H.eC3ugVyUIGv01pCB9YqG6Am&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) ”


** Yemen’s Rebels Fire on Riyadh
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Saudi forces said today that their air defense systems intercepted a ballistic missile fired by Yemen's Shiite rebels directed at Riyadh, as the AP reports (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/saudi-forces-intercept-ballistic-missile-targeting-riyadh-houthis/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .

CNBC Market Insider editor Patti Domm points out (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/04/11/potential-for-big-oil-price-spike-grows-after-provocative-missile-strikes.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) that the potential for big oil price spikes is growing after such provocative attacks.


** Fed Minutes
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Minutes from the Fed’s March meeting revealed an in-depth discussion of the recent flare-up in trade tension between the U.S. and its allies, and policymakers all warned a tit-for-tat trade conflict presents “downside risks” to the outlook. Officials expressed increasing confidence in the U.S. recovery predicting the path of rate rises may need to be slightly steeper than they previously expected, as the Financial Times’ Sam Fleming reports (https://www.ft.com/content/70e25006-3dac-11e8-b7e0-52972418fec4?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .


** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.


** Executive M.A. from CSIS/Syracuse U
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CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.maxwell.syr.edu/dc/emir/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .


** In That Number
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** 90%
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Almost 90 percent of Venezuela’s population has dropped below the poverty line.
Source: “CSIS Brief: Venezuela’s Crisis Is Now a Regional Humanitarian Disaster (https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/180323_Rendon_VenezuelasCrisis_layout.pdf?ztQVNi753OsfK51083shD4H8iN176cYV&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .”


** Critical Quote
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** “Russia vows to shoot down any and all missiles fired at Syria. Get ready Russia, because they will be coming, nice and new and ‘smart!’”
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—President Donald Trump (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/04/11/trump-syria-missile-attack-514499?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .


** iDeas Lab
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Die Welt
In 2017, Beijing carried out most of its South China Sea construction (https://amti.csis.org/constructive-year-chinese-building/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) in the disputed Spratly Islands. This photo of Fiery Cross Reef shows the significant infrastructure upgrades covering about 110,000 square meters.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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Die Welt (Photo credit: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.) Day 2 of Zuckerpalooza on Capitol Hill.


** Recommended Reading
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“How to Make Facebook More Accountable (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/10/opinion/facebook-zuckerberg-privacy.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) ,” by Mark Penn for the
New York Times.


** This Town Tomorrow
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Join CSIS at 8:30 a.m. for a conversation on China’s Maritime Silk Road (https://www.csis.org/events/chinas-maritime-silk-road-strategic-and-economic-implications-indo-pacific-region?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) , and the strategic and economic implications for the Indo-Pacific Region.

At 1:00 p.m., join CSIS for adiscussion on the threats shaping Northern Europe’s maritime landscape (https://www.csis.org/events/contested-seas-maritime-challenges-northern-europe?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) , featuring the Navy Chiefs of Sweden and Germany. The panel will discuss key findings from a new CSIS report, Contested Seas: Maritime Domain Awareness in Northern Europe (https://www.csis.org/analysis/contested-seas?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .

And, at 6:00 p.m., join the Elliott School of International Affairs for a film screening of Take My Pictures For Me (https://elliott.gwu.edu/calendar?trumbaEmbed=view%3Devent%26eventid%3D127353121&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) , a film capturing Palestinian frustrations over restricted movement.


** Video
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Today, Victor Cha testified before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific on North Korea’s diplomatic strategy. Watch the full testimony here (https://www.csis.org/analysis/north-koreas-diplomatic-gambit-will-history-repeat-itself?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .


** Sounds
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On this week’s ChinaPower podcast: What to expect from China’s recent government reorganization, and the implications of these changes for Chinese foreign policy.

Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/chinapower/id1144663360?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) or SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/implications-of-chinas-government-restructuring-a-conversation-with-yanmei-xie?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) .


** Smiles
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It’s funny but I have been hearing a lot of Foreigner’s music lately. The band’s music holds up so well that I think it never really went away. Take a 1980s hit like “Juke Box Hero (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lPWGOvHBCZU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789) ,” it holds up surprisingly well.
I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=4e10d2143a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_04_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-4e10d2143a-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay.

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