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The Evening: Iran Deal, Russia Military Spending, Stevie Ray and More
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2018-05-02 21:35:29
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The Evening: Iran Deal, Russia Military Spending, Stevie Ray and More ------------------------------------------------------------ Email not displaying correctly? View it in your browser (https://mailchi.mp/csis.org/the-evening-iran-deal-russia-military-spending-stevie-ray-and-more?e=e55aaf27de) . c48bd2c1-9b25-42f7-aa17-3c814b9557f7.jpg ** Good Evening, ------------------------------------------------------------ It's Wednesday, May 2nd. ** Iran Deal ------------------------------------------------------------ President Donald Trump has just 10 days left to decide whether to pull the U.S. out of the Iran. A new Morning Consult/Politico poll shows a majority of respondents support the deal, as the Hill’s Aris Folley reports (http://thehill.com/policy/defense/385839-poll-us-support-for-iran-deal-reaches-its-highest-level?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . More on the poll here (https://morningconsult.com/2018/05/02/public-support-iran-deal-returns-record-high-ahead-may-12-deadline/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . Dive Deeper: “Critical Questions: May 12 Deadline May Not Settle Iran Sanctions (https://www.csis.org/analysis/may-12-deadline-may-not-settle-iran-sanctions?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Jon Alterman. ** Chinese Telecom Restrictions Weighed ------------------------------------------------------------ The Trump administration is considering executive action that would restrict some Chinese companies’ ability to sell telecommunications equipment in the U.S., based on national-security concerns, as the Wall Street Journal’s John McKinnon reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-weighs-curbs-on-chinese-telecom-firms-over-national-security-concerns-1525279627?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . Dive Deeper: “ZTE and Building America’s Competitors (https://www.csis.org/analysis/zte-and-building-americas-competitors?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s James Andrew Lewis. ** Trade Talks ------------------------------------------------------------ A U.S. delegation led by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin arrives in Beijing on Thursday with a list of asks for China: reduce China’s trade surplus with the U.S., better protect intellectual property and end policies that Washington says favor Chinese national champions and discriminate against American companies. The FT’s Shawn Donnan reports (https://www.ft.com/content/eb2e5f84-4d93-11e8-8a8e-22951a2d8493?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) that there are four key points behind Washington’s push to ensure the U.S. is not a “victim” of China’s system. Dive Deeper: “Is Trump in a Trade War with China? An Up-to-Date Guide (https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/trump-trade-war-china-date-guide?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ,” by PIIE’s Chad Brown and Melina Kolb. ** Russian Military Spending Falls ------------------------------------------------------------ Russian military spending fell by a fifth last year, its first decline in nearly two decades, with tighter purse-strings likely to affect Moscow’s military activity ahead, according to a report by defense think-tank SIPRI released today, as Reuters reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-military-spending/russian-military-spending-falls-could-affect-operations-think-tank-idUSKBN1I24H8?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . Dive Deeper: Read the SIPRI report (https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2018/global-military-spending-remains-high-17-trillion?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) on global military spending. ** North Korea Must Denuclearize ------------------------------------------------------------ North Korea must commit to dismantling its nuclear weapons program, new U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said today, as Reuters’ Lesley Wroughton reports (https://www.yahoo.com/news/north-korea-must-dismantle-weapons-program-pompeo-154320016.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . Dive Deeper: “North Korean Nuclear Negotiations 1985-2018 (https://www.cfr.org/timeline/north-korean-nuclear-negotiations?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ,” by CFR. ** Your Questions ------------------------------------------------------------ Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast. ** Enroll for Fall ------------------------------------------------------------ Now enrolling for the Fall, CSIS & Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs offer a new Executive Master's in International Relations. Information here (https://www.csis.org/programs/abshire-inamori-leadership-academy/executive-education/executive-masters-international?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . ** In That Number ------------------------------------------------------------ ** $78 billion ------------------------------------------------------------ The U.S. has spent more than $78 billion trying to build up Afghanistan’s army and police forces since the American-led invasion of Afghanistan in 2001 that forced the Taliban from power. Source: Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (https://www.sigar.mil/pdf/quarterlyreports/2018-04-30qr.pdf?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . ** Critical Quote ------------------------------------------------------------ ** “I want the State Department to get its swagger back.” ------------------------------------------------------------ —Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (https://www.npr.org/2018/05/02/607728832/secretary-of-state-pompeo-promises-new-swagger-at-state-department-swearing-in?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . ** iDeas Lab ------------------------------------------------------------ Die Welt CSIS’s Middle East Program published a new report today, Destination Maghreb (https://www.csis.org/analysis/destination-maghreb?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) , to illustrate how migration patterns in the North African Maghreb are changing and how governments in the region are responding to these shifts at an important juncture. The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video. ** Optics ------------------------------------------------------------ Die Welt (Photo credit: James Lavine via AP). Flames and smoke rise from an Air National Guard C-130 cargo plane after it crashed Wednesday near Savannah, GA., killing at least five National Guard members from Puerto Rico. ** Recommended Reading ------------------------------------------------------------ “How the Beijing elite sees the world (https://www.ft.com/content/c4df31cc-4d26-11e8-97e4-13afc22d86d4?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ,” by the FT’s Martin Wolf. ** This Town Tomorrow ------------------------------------------------------------ Join CSIS at 10:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/japans-security-strategy-political-update-nagatacho?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) for a discussion with Japanese experts on the security policy debate in Nagatacho, (the location of the Diet of Japan and the Prime Minister's residence), and priorities for the U.S.-Japan alliance. At 2:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/xis-three-battles-chinas-anti-poverty-campaign?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) , join CSIS for a discussion of poverty alleviation in China. Experts will discuss the political, economic, and social aspects of addressing poverty, and China's policy implementation for poverty alleviation. And, at 9:30 a.m. (https://www.thedialogue.org/event/inside-perspectives-on-possible-scenarios-in-venezuela/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) , join the Inter-American Dialogue for a discussion with Venezuelan experts on the mission toward a peaceful and consensual solution to the country’s current crisis. ** Video ------------------------------------------------------------ Peace in Korea? CSIS’s Beyond Parallel analyzes the prospect for peace on the Korean Peninsula, and what you need to know about the Koreas summit & the Trump-Kim summit. Watch here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxpT0FV0UGU&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . ** Sounds ------------------------------------------------------------ On the latest episode of Smart Women, Smart Power, Dr. Kori Schake discusses her book, Safe Passage: The Transition from British to American Hegemony, and how these historical contexts can be applied to current conflicts with China and Russia. Listen on Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/smart-women-smart-power/id924940383?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) and SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/from-british-to-american-hegemony-lessons-for-today?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . ** Smiles ------------------------------------------------------------ I’m often asked about my favorite live music experiences. So many of them have taken place over the years in small venues in New Orleans. Hands down, one of the greatest live performances I have ever witnessed was Stevie Ray Vaughn and Double Trouble at Jazz Fest in May, 1990. Vaughn died several months later that August in a helicopter crash. I’ll never forget seeing the great SRV one last time. It was an honor to watch him perform. Here’s about 40 minutes of that performance (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqVFNAKYbqQ&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) . I invite you to email me at aschwartz@csis.org (mailto:aschwartz@csis.org) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ============================================================ The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Colm Quinn, Sofie Kodner, and Jackie Ramsay. Follow CSIS ** 4bde2700-3f50-471c-8398-aaf2d39e7ea7.png (https://twitter.com/CSIS?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ** a4a0cd19-112c-4480-b04d-b5fc26ca3857.png (https://www.facebook.com/CSIS.org?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=a9633d8b57-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_05_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-a9633d8b57-145367789) ** 7ad0947c-e23a-43b0-bc32-0720c3c5361a.png (http://us11.forward-to-friend.com/forward?u=833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac&id=a9633d8b57&e=e55aaf27de) Connect w/ H. 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