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Re: WSJ/Sinopec/SOE
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FROM:
J
jbulger@thorntonai.com
DATE:
2015-02-18 02:12:03
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<CANzY62945+N9efJ4q+-GC6N41H_k1PPkMyU32Xj3UYsFXNFQXQ@mail.gmail.com>
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TO:
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Hunter Biden
<hbiden@rosemontseneca.com>
CC:
D
Devon Archer
<darcher@rosemontcapital.com>
M
Michael Leonard
<mleonard@thorntonai.com>
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I share your frustration this is a good example of why we need those bi- weekly calls On Tuesday, February 17, 2015, Hunter Biden <hbiden@rosemontseneca.com> wrote: > All good here- just venting. > > RHB > 202.333.1880 > > On Feb 17, 2015, at 9:01 PM, James Bulger <jbulger@thorntonai.com > <javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','jbulger@thorntonai.com');>> wrote: > > It is absurd but let's just wait a few days Xin might get back to us > Patience Kingpin > Us going apeshit won't help the outcome one way or another. Frustrated as > hell here but we are dealing with the Chinese they might be buying time > to get Sinopec done without telling us something that has anyone at BHR > loosing "face" > We should sit still for two days then follow up with another email inquiry > Let's circle up in Thursday morning > Ok? > > > On Tuesday, February 17, 2015, Hunter Biden <hbiden@rosemontseneca.com > <javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','hbiden@rosemontseneca.com');>> wrote: > >> That's absurd. No one can even reply to an email w/ a simple yes or no >> for two weeks? >> >> RHB >> 202.333.1880 >> >> On Feb 17, 2015, at 8:17 PM, James Bulger <jbulger@thorntonai.com> wrote: >> >> No idea what is going on this deal. The Holiday break in China is now in >> full swing so we may not hear anything for the next two weeks. >> Jimmy >> >> On Tuesday, February 17, 2015, Hunter Biden <hbiden@rosemontseneca.com> >> wrote: >> >>> And still no word on whether they called and we delivered the $??? >>> What's the deal? >>> >>> RHB >>> 202.333.1880 >>> >>> On Feb 17, 2015, at 4:45 PM, James Bulger <jbulger@thorntonai.com> >>> wrote: >>> >>> Take a look at this article >>> >>> >>> ---------- Forwarded message ---------- >>> From: *Eileen Kerwin* <agkerwin@gmail.com> >>> Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2015 >>> Subject: WSJ/Sinopec/SOE >>> To: James <bulgerthor@aol.com>, James Bulger <jbulger@thorntonai.com> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> BUSINESS >>> <http://www.wsj.com/public/search?article-doc-type=%7BBusiness%7D&HEADER_TEXT=business&mod=flashline> >>> China Considering Mergers Among Its Big State Oil CompaniesGovernment >>> economic advisers are conducting a feasibility study of options for >>> consolidation >>> [image: Drivers wait to fill their tanks at a Sinopec gas station in >>> Zhengzhou, Henan province, Feb. 9, before China was set to raise retail >>> prices after global oil prices recovered some 20 percent in the past two >>> weeks.]ENLARGE >>> Drivers wait to fill their tanks at a Sinopec gas station in Zhengzhou, >>> Henan province, Feb. 9, before China was set to raise retail prices after >>> global oil prices recovered some 20 percent in the past two weeks. >>> PHOTO: REUTERS >>> By >>> LINGLING WEI And >>> >>> BRIAN SPEGELE >>> Feb. 17, 2015 7:30 a.m. ET >>> 2 COMMENTS >>> <http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-considering-mergers-among-its-big-state-oil-companies-1424176242#livefyre-comment> >>> >>> BEIJING—China is considering forging megamergers among its big state oil >>> companies, seeking to create new national champions able to take on the >>> likes of Exxon Mobil <http://quotes.wsj.com/XOM>Corp. and produce >>> greater efficiencies at a time of low prices. >>> >>> At the request of China’s leadership, government economic advisers are >>> conducting a feasibility study of options for consolidation, according to >>> officials with knowledge of the research. One involves potentially >>> combining the country’s largest oil companies, China National Petroleum >>> Corp., or CNPC, and its main domestic rival, China Petrochemical Corp., or >>> Sinopec, the officials said. Other options look at merging two other major >>> energy companies, China National Offshore Oil Corp., or Cnooc, and Sinochem >>> Group. >>> >>> No timetable has been set for a decision on whether or when to proceed >>> with the various proposed mergers, said the officials. Spokespeople for the >>> four Chinese oil companies and the State-owned Assets Supervision and >>> Administration Commission, which oversees the largest state enterprises, >>> declined to comment or didn’t respond to queries. >>> Advertisement >>> >>> The possible mergers would be the latest consolidation of state >>> companies blessed by the government as it tries to regear a slowing economy >>> for a new phase of growth. As part of that effort, President Xi Jinping >>> <http://topics.wsj.com/person/J/Xi-Jinping/6475>, now more than two >>> years in office, is trying to revamp major state firms to make them more >>> competitive globally. >>> >>> Though the government has taken some tentative steps to allow more >>> private and foreign capital to flow into infrastructure, resources, banking >>> and other areas long the preserve of state firms, Mr. Xi has said state >>> companies remain an “important pillar of the national economy.” The >>> government “must ensure they thrive,” Mr. Xi said in remarks in August. >>> Bigger and stronger state companies, according to officials and scholars >>> familiar with the leadership’s thinking, are viewed by Mr. Xi as key to >>> China’s reclaiming its prominence in the world. >>> Advertisement >>> >>> Mergers could also boost efficiencies in an economy increasingly >>> burdened by excess capacity—a problem that has caused Chinese manufacturers >>> to compete against one other by cutting prices. Late last year, the >>> government announced a plan to merge the country’s top two state-owned >>> railcar makers with a goal of making the combined company capable of >>> competing with Siemens <http://quotes.wsj.com/XE/XETR/SIE>AG in >>> Germany and Canada’s Bombardier <http://quotes.wsj.com/CA/XTSE/BBD.B> >>> Inc. >>> >>> The four oil companies—CNPC, Sinopec, Cnooc and Sinochem—have long >>> dominated every phase of the industry; for years each had a geographic or >>> business area of specialty. For instance, CNPC focused on exploration and >>> production, and Sinopec on refining. Over the past 15 years, in response to >>> earlier reform plans to spur competition, they’ have expanded into the >>> others’ turf, creating overlapping operations that span exploration, >>> refining to running gas pumps. >>> RELATED >>> >>> >>> - Oil Prices Edge Higher >>> <http://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-futures-trade-near-friday-close-1424068921> >>> - Europe’s Oil Companies Get a Boost From Their Refineries >>> <http://www.wsj.com/articles/europes-oil-companies-get-a-boost-from-their-refineries-1424104067> >>> - Pemex Delays Refinery Upgrades Due to Budget Cuts >>> <http://www.wsj.com/articles/pemex-delays-refinery-upgrades-due-to-budget-cuts-1424131058> >>> >>> “They’re increasingly fighting among each other,” said one of the >>> officials with knowledge of the consolidation plan. “That has led to lots >>> of waste and inefficiency.” >>> >>> With international oil prices having halved in less than a year, those >>> problems have become more pronounced, giving reform new urgency. Combining >>> and then streamlining the operations of the major Chinese oil producers >>> could help reduce waste caused by redundant staff and projects, the >>> officials said. A combined enterprise could then focus on building up a >>> better-funded company to compete around the world. >>> >>> Low oil prices have spurred talk of new deals activity across the globe, >>> as stronger companies engage in opportunistic buying of weaker firms. Among >>> big deals last year, Spain’s Repsol <http://quotes.wsj.com/ES/XMCE/REP>SA >>> agreed to acquire Canadian oil-and-gas producer Talisman Energy >>> <http://quotes.wsj.com/CA/XTSE/TLM>Inc. for $8.3 billion. >>> >>> “We want to create a big Chinese brand to better compete overseas,” the >>> Chinese official said. “We want our own Exxon Mobil.” >>> >>> The potential shake-up would cap what has been a tumultuous period for >>> China’s oil industry. Chinese oil giants—in particular CNPC—have been the >>> focus of an antigraft campaign championed by President Xi. Leading industry >>> executives have been detained for suspected graft, and added scrutiny has >>> helped spur a huge pullback in new investment by wary executives. >>> >>> A decision to consolidate China’s oil sector by making big state firms >>> even bigger could end up tamping competition at home and stymie >>> market-oriented reforms, some analysts said. It is unclear whether a >>> possible consolidation would be followed by reforms, such as lowering >>> barriers that have marginalized independent oil-and-gas producers. >>> >>> “If you are focused on the foreign market, you certainly want to >>> consolidate because it’s more competitive abroad,” said Lin Boqiang, >>> director of the China Center for Energy Economics Research at Xiamen >>> University. “But if just for the domestic market it’s better to have more >>> competition, because competition leads to efficiency.” >>> >>> Beijing has started inviting private capital into the oil industry. >>> Sinopec last year sold a nearly 30% stake in its retail sales-and-marketing >>> unit to a group of 25 investors, mostly Chinese. But none of the >>> initiatives involves selling a controlling stake to the private sector. >>> >>> A bigger challenge is whether the government would allow the combined >>> entities to improve performance by reducing their huge workforces or >>> shedding assets, said Philip Andrews-Speed, an expert on energy governance >>> in China at the National University of Singapore. “That will be the test of >>> whether this is old state-ism ... or are they really looking for better >>> performance,” he said. >>> >>> PetroChina <http://quotes.wsj.com/CN/XSHG/601857>Co. , the listed arm >>> of CNPC, has nearly 550,000 employees world-wide, more than seven times as >>> big as Exxon Mobil Corp. The Chinese company delivered revenue of $361 >>> billion in 2013, compared with more than $420 billion in sales and other >>> revenue at Exxon. >>> >>> These days, all of China’s big oil companies have been under pressure >>> from prices and from the government to cut costs and focus on improving >>> returns. For example, Cnooc <http://quotes.wsj.com/HK/XHKG/0883>Ltd. , >>> the listed unit of China National Offshore Oil, says it will cut capital >>> spending by as much as 35% in 2015 as a result of falling global oil >>> prices. Expenditures at PetroChina and Sinopec are also expected to fall >>> this year. >>> >>> Marrying CNPC and Sinopec would create one of the world’s biggest >>> companies. A combined entity at least in the short run could control a vast >>> majority of China’s onshore oil-and-gas production and would hold total >>> assets of hundreds of billions of dollars. >>> >>> In the case of Cnooc, a merger with Sinochem, would give it more >>> refining operations, giving it more sources of revenue that over time could >>> help shield it against oil-market volatility. Cnooc is regarded by analysts >>> as the most vulnerable to the oil-and-gas price drop, in part because it >>> expanded aggressively abroad, buying assets including Canadian oil-sands >>> operator Nexen Inc. for $15.1 billion in 2013 when prices were high. >>> >>> Write to Lingling Wei at lingling.wei@wsj.com and Brian Spegele at >>> brian.spegele@wsj.com >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> James J. Bulger >>> Chairman >>> Thornton Group LLC >>> 14 Beacon Street, Suite 804A >>> Boston, MA 02108 >>> Office tel: 617.248.9440 >>> >>> >> >> -- >> James J. Bulger >> Chairman >> Thornton Group LLC >> 14 Beacon Street, Suite 804A >> Boston, MA 02108 >> Office tel: 617.248.9440 >> >> > > -- > James J. Bulger > Chairman > Thornton Group LLC > 14 Beacon Street, Suite 804A > Boston, MA 02108 > Office tel: 617.248.9440 > > -- James J. Bulger Chairman Thornton Group LLC 14 Beacon Street, Suite 804A Boston, MA 02108 Office tel: 617.248.944
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